Exactly. With the notable exceptions of PAE and STS, two wealthy niche markets where AS is very strong, p2p wasn't really working from SNA before the pandemic. Failed AS services from SNA like ABQ, PVR, RNO and SJD spring to mind.
Now, Hawaii has worked from SAN - but will that still be the case now that WN offers its loyal FFer base (as well as connecting passengers) nonstop service to Hawaii? Expansion into the heartland certainly didn't go too well (I recall DAL, ELP, MCI, MSP, SLC and STL getting cut but believe there were others), and unfortunately it looks like other AS services competing against WN such as BWI and SMF could now be in trouble too. AS may very well have found a few niche services from SAN that will be fine, like BOS, EWR and MRY, but overall it seems like SAN could be destined to become more of a spoke operation than any strategic focus for AS - as seems to be true in places like SJC and SMF where WN is also a major concern. WN, in turn, seems to be reacting by making life a little bit easier for AS in its key strongholds like PDX, SEA and even SFO. Seems this truce between AS and WN, if only temporary, is serving both airlines well.
You are aware of the cuts WN is making in SAN late this year? Ten nonstop routes are being dropped (as compared to last Nov's schedule), reducing the routes from SAN by 1/3, and ~20% of the departures overall are being eliminated with this winter's skeds! It appears that percentage-wise, WN is cutting SAN more than anyone else, especially AS. (I'm not going into details and lists of the SAN cuts here as this has all been discussed elsewhere a lot.)
That sounds to me exactly like some golden opportunities for AAG at SAN. In fact, the winter sked changes released by AS just last Sunday show increases in freq to BOI, GEG, MCO (going double-daily!), PDX, PVR (to daily service!), & SEA. These markets are being increased
by AS as fast as they are being dropped by WN! As usual, EA CO AS
knows what he's talking about and AS is jumping on opportunities as they become available. I have a feeling SAN's status as at least a Focus city for AAG is not in jeopardy once the dust settles.
I might also note that WN still has no service between SAN and Hawaii on their schedules into next January -- the duration of their open booking window -- while AS seems to be chomping at the bit to get those 4 routes to the Islands from SAN going as soon as the State of HI opens back up for tourism. We'll have to wait and see how WN deals with their very long awaited inaugural of service to any markets in HI from SAN....