Flying-Tiger wrote:I would be very careful to believe any fleet number circulated, released, mentioned or whatever by any airline, regardless if it is Lufthansa, Delta, China Eastern, Ryanair or else.
A lot of this is communication towards the public, OEMs and staff, giving the message "look, we´re doing things and need you to be flexibile".
Yes, this figure is based on a certain traffic flow plan, and yes, that´s the figure mentioned. Though I´m pretty sure that the actual number of new planes being taken delivery of will aligned on a constant basis.
For now everything what is deferrable will be defered, certainly with the attempt to have flexibility in an earlier or even later delivery, depending on traffic development.
MIflyer12 wrote:You're too cynical. Yes, forcecasts of demand can change with resulting changes in fleet plan, but capital spending is material information subject to SEC disclosure rules. U.S. carriers - and shares of foreign carriers traded on U.S. exchanges - can't deliberately misinform.
chonetsao wrote:Would not the B779 arrive from or after 2023? So B779 will definitely be the prime suspect of deferred delivery.
chonetsao wrote:Then LH made a pledge to buy European aircraft. So A359 will be coming. I would guess out of 27 models, maybe up to 20 will get delivered before 2023.
na wrote:chonetsao wrote:Would not the B779 arrive from or after 2023? So B779 will definitely be the prime suspect of deferred delivery.
First 779 deliveries were postponed to mid-2021 before Corona. The inofficial LH fleetpage now mentions 2022.
I expect some 779-orders to be switched to 777Fs and most of the 15 remaining 779 deliveries to be deferred into the future by one to three years. LH doesn´t need new large widebodies before 2023/2024. The A350 is much better suited for the needs of the early 2020s so most orders will be delivered on time or only slightly stretched.
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