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enilria
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OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:12 pm

FAQ

AS OF JULY 2018 THERE ARE CHANGES TO THE FORMAT OF THIS REPORT...SEE BELOW

WHAT IS THIS REPORT?
This compares departures for sale THIS WEEK for the stated period versus what was for sale LAST WEEK...prior year departures are now shown in brackets e.g. [0].

THE SCHEDULES SHOWN HERE CHANGE AFTER YOU POST???
-To improve is to change; to be perfect is to change often---Winston Churchill. This is data the carriers filed at the point in time it was captured. It's changed since then. You are just going to have to live with it.

HOW DO I READ IT?
XXX-YYY DEC 4>5[4] JAN 4>5[4]
XXX Departure IATA code, YYY Arrival IATA code, Month, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of last week, Average Departures/Day over the month for sale as of this week, in brackets is the number of Average Departures/Day over the month that were scheduled one year earlier. So, it means that the listed airline changed the frequency between the two airports to add from 4 to 5 roundtrips in December and January. It also means that there were 4 roundtrips the prior year in each month. No other months were changed. I average two directions.

WHAT ABOUT CARRIERS THAT DON'T PUBLISH A SCHEDULE 9 MONTHS IN ADVANCE?
NEW CHANGE-Sometimes airlines do not load their schedules for the entire 330 day standard sales window. Southwest and many LCCs load their schedules for as little as 5 months into the future. When these flight are extended into a new sales month, it becomes a "schedule change". Previously, I have manually deleted these in many cases and replaced them with a Year-Over-Year compare. Effective immediately, this will now change. When a flight is loaded from 0 departures X departures, where X was the same the prior year, the record will not be shown. For example, if Delta loaded ATL-EGE MAR 0>1(1), it would not be shown because this additional flight does not represent a real year-over-year addition. Similarly, if B6 extended their schedule a record like this ATL-BOS JUL 0>4(4) would not be shown. It will be shown if the flight frequency changed from the prior year. So B6 ATL-BOS JUL 0>3(4) would be shown. If a partial month was loaded in a core schedule that became a full schedule month, those changes may be shown under this logic. For example, WN BNA-SEA 0.3>2(2). Because only a fraction of the month was previously loaded for sale, these changes will not be filtered out. I may, however, manually remove them to declutter.

HOW ARE THE DAILY DEPARTURES CALCULATED?
This report uses total operations for the month listed, divided over the days in the month. The following criteria are used to show a change: 1) The change must be at least 6 roundtrips per month with no exceptions, 2) changes of at least 6/week are always shown, 3) routes that are added or dropped are shown subject to the change minimum, and 4) in all other cases routes must change by 20% to be shown. For example, if a route changed from 21/week to 18/week it would not be shown because the change is -14.3%. This is done to filter minor changes that occur in large numbers.

WHAT ARE THE FRACTIONAL FLIGHTS?
Flights that do not operate every day of the month create fractional service. If the route has more than 2 daily flights, departures are rounded, but in cases of less than 2 departures per day a fraction is shown. For example, if a flight operates 4 times in April it will show 4/30=0.133=0.1. Also , a flight that only operates once per week may vary between 0.1 and 0.2 because a weekday may repeat either 4 or 5 times depending on the month.

THOSE FLIGHTS AREN'T DELTA, THEY ARE SKYWEST
This report only shows the marketing code. It is too complicated to show all the operators.

THE FREQUENCIES MAY HAVE CHANGED AS YOU SHOW, BUT THE SEATS DIDNT CHANGE BECAUSE OF EQUIPMENT SWAPS
Seats are not shown. That is a natural weakness of a frequency based report, but it provides something to discuss below.

THIS LOOKS LIKE AN ERROR?
The carriers file the schedules. They do make mistakes. Most of the mistakes I have seen are either related to code shares not being marked as "duplicates" or carriers filing flights with invalid data such as equipment codes that are not standard or overlapping schedule periods that see the same flight number in two places at once. These cause flights to not appear.

CHARTERS?
Lately charters have been showing up in the database. I have no idea if that will continue.

I marked some of the ones I thought were interesting with an "*".

2D GEO-MIA SEP 0.2>0[0]
2D GYE-JFK NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.2[0.3]
2D GYE-MIA NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0]
2D JFK-PAP AUG 0>0.3[0] SEP 0>0.3[0]
2D JFK-SJD AUG 0.3>0.0[0] NOV 0>0.3[0] DEC 0>0.3[0] JAN 0>0.3[0] FEB 0>0.3[0] MAR 0>0.3[0]

3M BHB-BOS OCT 0.6>0.9[0]
3M FLL-GHB NOV 0.6>0.3[0.4]

4B PHX-SOW OCT 0.8>0[3] NOV 0.6>0[3]

9K ACK-HYA AUG 10>13[9] SEP 10>13[10] OCT 8>9[9]

15 departures moved out of PHL. I wonder what the logic is? Congestion is no longer an issue.
**AA ABE-CLT OCT 3>4[3] NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3] MAY 3>4[2]
**AA ABE-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.0]
**AA AVP-CLT OCT 4>5[4] NOV 3>4[4] DEC 3>4[4] JAN 3>4[4] FEB 3>4[4] MAR 3>4[4] APR 4>5[4] MAY 4>5[2]
**AA AVP-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.1]
*AA BDA-JFK SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AA BDA-MIA SEP 0>0.7[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]
AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]
**AA CLT-HVN SEP 0>1.4[0.1] OCT 0>1.8[0.1] NOV 0>1.9[0.2] DEC 0>1.9[0.1] JAN 0>1.8[0.1] FEB 0>1.9[0.2] MAR 0>1.9[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
**AA CLT-ITH SEP 0.1>1.5[0] OCT 0.2>2[0.1] NOV 0.1>2[0.2] DEC 0.1>2[0.1] JAN 0.2>2[0.1] FEB 0.1>2[0.2] MAR 0.1>2[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3] OCT 2>3[3]
AA DFW-FAT APR 5>4[3] MAY 5>4[1.9]
**AA HVN-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[1.6] FEB 3>0[1.8] MAR 3>0[2] APR 3>0[2] MAY 3>0[0.7]
**AA ITH-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[4] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 3>0[3] MAR 3>0[3] APR 2>0[3] MAY 2>0[0.7]
AA LAX-SJD JAN 1.2>1.9[0.9] FEB 1.0>1.9[0.9] MAR 1.6>2[1.0]
AA MIA-STT NOV 2.4>3.0[2.1]
**AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.5>0[0.9] OCT 1.8>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
**AA PHL-SAT SEP 0.7>0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0.9] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[0.3] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0] APR 1.0>0[0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
AA PHL-STT NOV 0.4>1.0[0.4]

AF ATL-CDG SEP 2>1.4[2] OCT 2>1.5[2]
AF BOS-CDG SEP 2>0.8[1.0] OCT 1.8>1.0[1.0]
AF CDG-DFW SEP 0.5>0[0.4] OCT 0.3>0[0.4]
AF CDG-DTW SEP 1.0>0.4[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.6[1.0]
AF CDG-IAD SEP 1.7>0.7[1.5] OCT 1.6>1.0[1.5]
AF CDG-IAH SEP 1.0>0.4[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AF CDG-JFK SEP 5>3[4] OCT 5>4[4]
AF CDG-MIA AUG 0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AF CDG-MSP SEP 0.5>0[0.7]
AF CDG-SEA SEP 0.8>0[0.8] OCT 0.6>0.1[0.7]
AF CDG-SFO SEP 3>0.7[2] OCT 2>1.0[1.7]
AF JFK-ORY SEP 1.0>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.7[1.0]

AM LAX-MEX AUG 3>2[3]

AR EZE-JFK AUG 0.8>0[0.9]
AR EZE-MIA AUG 1.4>0[1.9]

AS ABQ-PDX SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS ABQ-SEA SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS AKN-ANC AUG 1.2>1.5[0.2]
AS ANC-BET SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS ANC-BRW SEP 0.5>1.0[0.5]
AS ANC-FAI SEP 5>4[6]
AS ANC-HNL SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS ANC-JNU SEP 4>2[4]
AS ANC-LAX SEP 1.3>0.7[0.7]
AS ANC-OME SEP 1.5>1.0[1.5]
AS ANC-ORD SEP 1.0>0[0.9]
AS ANC-OTZ SEP 1.5>1.0[1.5]
AS ANC-PDX SEP 4>1.0[3]
AS ANC-SEA SEP 12>14[17]
AS ANC-SFO SEP 0.3>0[0]
AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]
AS ATL-SEA SEP 3>1.9[1.9]
AS AUS-PDX SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS AUS-SAN SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS AUS-SEA SEP 3>2[2]
AS AUS-SFO SEP 2>1.0[1.8]
AS AUS-SJC SEP 2>1.0[1.8]
AS BIL-PDX SEP 1.7>1.0[1.0]
AS BLI-SEA SEP 4>2[5]
AS BOI-GEG SEP 4>2[2]
AS BOI-PAE SEP 1.0>0[0]
AS BOI-PDX SEP 8>4[7]
AS BOI-SEA SEP 10>9[11]
AS BOI-SMF SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS BOS-PDX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS BOS-SAN SEP 1.3>0.9[1.0]
AS BOS-SEA SEP 4>3[3]
AS BOS-SFO SEP 2>0.9[1.9]
AS BRW-FAI SEP 0.5>0[0.5]
AS BRW-SCC SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS BUR-PDX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS BWI-SEA SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS BZN-PDX SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS CHS-SEA AUG 1.0>0[0.8]
AS DAL-LAX SEP 3>0[3]
AS DAL-PDX SEP 3>0[2]
AS DAL-SEA SEP 4>2[3]
AS DAL-SFO SEP 3>1.0[2]
AS DEN-SEA SEP 6>4[6]
AS EAT-SEA SEP 3>2[3]
AS EUG-PDX SEP 3>0[3]
AS EWR-LAX SEP 3>0.9[3]
AS EWR-PDX SEP 1.0>0[0.9]
AS EWR-SAN SEP 1.0>0[0.9]
AS EWR-SEA SEP 3>2[3]
AS EWR-SFO SEP 3>1.0[3]
AS EWR-SJC SEP 0.9>0[0.9]
AS FAI-SCC SEP 0.4>0[0.4]
AS FAI-SEA SEP 4>3[4]
AS FAT-PDX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS FAT-SAN SEP 4>2[3]
AS GDL-SJC SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS GEG-PAE SEP 1.0>0[0]
AS GEG-PDX SEP 7>4[9]
AS GEG-SAN SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS GEG-SEA SEP 6>12[17]
AS GEG-SFO SEP 2>1.0[0]
AS HLN-SEA AUG 0.5>1.0[1.0] SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS HNL-LAX SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS HNL-OAK SEP 0.4>0[0.4]
AS HNL-SAN SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
AS HNL-SEA SEP 3>2[3]
AS HNL-SFO SEP 0.6>0[1.0]
AS IAD-SEA SEP 3>2[1.9]
AS IAD-SFO SEP 2>0[2.0]
AS IAH-SEA SEP 2>1.0[1.9]
AS IND-SEA SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS JFK-PDX SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS JFK-SEA SEP 3>2[3]
AS JFK-SFO SEP 4>1.0[4]
AS JNU-SEA SEP 5>3[4]
AS JNU-SIT SEP 1.9>1.0[2]
AS KOA-OAK SEP 0.6>0[0.6]
AS KOA-PDX SEP 1.0>0[0]
AS KOA-SAN SEP 1.0>0.6[0.4]
AS KOA-SEA SEP 3>1.0[1.4]
AS KTN-SEA SEP 4>3[4]
AS KTN-SIT SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS LAS-LAX SEP 2>0[4]
AS LAS-PAE SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS LAS-PDX SEP 4>3[3]
AS LAS-SEA SEP 9>6[8]
AS LAX-LIR SEP 0.4>0.1[0.6]
AS LAX-MSO SEP 1.0>0[0]
AS LAX-OGG SEP 0.8>0[1.0]
AS LAX-PAE SEP 2>0[3]
AS LAX-PDX SEP 8>6[8]
AS LAX-PVR SEP 1.3>1.0[1.0]
AS LAX-SEA SEP 14>10[14]
AS LAX-SFO SEP 13>8[9]
AS LAX-SJC SEP 7>4[4]
AS LAX-SJD SEP 3>1.0[1.6]
AS LAX-STS SEP 4>2[3]
AS LIH-OAK SEP 0.4>0[0.4]
AS LIH-PDX SEP 0.6>0[0]
AS LIH-SAN SEP 1.0>0.7[0.6]
AS LIH-SEA SEP 2>1.0[1.6]
AS MCI-SEA SEP 3>2[2.0]
AS MCO-PDX SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS MCO-SAN SEP 1.0>0.3[0.7]
AS MCO-SFO SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS MFR-PDX SEP 6>2[6]
AS MRY-SAN SEP 1.7>1.0[1.0]
AS MSO-PDX SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS MSP-SEA SEP 3>2[3]
AS OAK-OGG SEP 0.6>0[1.0]
AS OAK-PDX SEP 4>0[3]
AS OAK-SEA SEP 4>3[4]
AS OGG-SEA SEP 3>2[2]
AS OGG-SFO SEP 0.4>0[1.0]
AS OMA-PDX SEP 0.3>0[0]
AS OMA-SEA SEP 2.0>1.0[1.0]
AS OME-OTZ SEP 0.5>0[0.5]
AS ONT-PDX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS ORD-PDX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS ORD-SEA SEP 5>4[5]
AS ORD-SFO SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS PAE-PDX SEP 2>0[4]
AS PAE-PHX SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS PAE-SAN SEP 2>0[2]
AS PAE-SFO SEP 2>0[2]
AS PAE-SJC SEP 2>0[2]
AS PAE-SNA SEP 2>0[1.0]
AS PDX-PHX SEP 3>2[2]
AS PDX-PSP SEP 0.7>0[0.1]
AS PDX-RDM SEP 4>2[4]
AS PDX-RNO SEP 4>2[4]
AS PDX-SAN SEP 6>5[4]
AS PDX-SBP SEP 1.0>0[0]
AS PDX-SEA SEP 12>17[22]
AS PDX-SFO SEP 7>5[6]
AS PDX-SJC SEP 5>3[5]
AS PDX-SLC SEP 3>2[2]
AS PDX-SMF SEP 4>2[4]
AS PDX-SNA SEP 4>3[4]
AS PDX-STS SEP 2>1.0[2.0]
AS PDX-YVR SEP 1.3>0[1.0]
AS PHL-SEA SEP 2>1.0[2]
AS PHL-SFO SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
AS PHX-SFO SEP 2>1.0[0]
AS PIT-SEA SEP 2>1.0[1.0] OCT 1.2>0.6[1.0]
AS PSC-SEA SEP 6>4[6]
AS PSP-SFO SEP 5>3[4]
AS PUW-SEA SEP 4>2[0.9]
AS PVR-SFO SEP 1.0>0.1[1.0]
AS PVR-SJC SEP 0.9>0.1[0]
AS RDU-SEA SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS SAN-SEA SEP 9>7[8]
AS SAN-SFO SEP 8>5[4]
AS SAN-SJC SEP 7>3[4]
AS SAN-SJD SEP 1.4>1.0[1.7]
AS SAN-STS SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS SAT-SEA SEP 1.3>1.0[2]
AS SEA-SFO SEP 13>8[12]
AS SEA-SIT SEP 0.4>1.0[0.5]
AS SEA-SJC SEP 9>6[8]
AS SEA-SMF SEP 6>5[6]
AS SEA-SNA SEP 8>6[8]
AS SEA-STL SEP 2>1.0[1.9]
AS SEA-STS SEP 4>2[3]
AS SEA-TPA SEP 1.3>1.0[1.0]
AS SEA-TUS SEP 1.7>1.0[1.0]
AS SEA-YEG SEP 3>1.0[3]
AS SEA-YKM SEP 3>2[3]
AS SEA-YVR SEP 6>4[6]
AS SEA-YYC SEP 3>1.0[3]
AS SEA-YYJ SEP 4>1.0[4]
AS SFO-SLC SEP 2>1.0[1.0]
AS SFO-SNA SEP 7>4[6]
AS SNA-STS SEP 2>1.0[1.0]

AV IAD-SAL AUG 0.8>0.4[3]
AV JFK-SAL AUG 0.8>0.4[2]
AV LAX-SAL AUG 1.6>0.9[3]
AV MIA-SAL AUG 0.4>0.2[1.0]
AV SAL-SFO AUG 0.4>0.2[2]

AY HEL-JFK AUG 0.4>0[1.0]

AZ BOS-FCO AUG 1.0>0.4[1.0]
AZ FCO-JFK AUG 3>1.0[3]
AZ JFK-MXP AUG 1.0>0.2[1.0]

B0 EWR-NCE AUG 0.6>0[0.6]
B0 EWR-ORY AUG 1.4>0[1.1]

**B6 AUS-LAX OCT 0>0.8[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0]
**B6 AUS-LGB OCT 1.0>0.2[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 0.4>0[1.0]
**B6 BOS-LGB OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 0.4>0[1.0]
Surprised they moved a non-daily, I guess it got better with COVID
*B6 BZN-LAX DEC 0>0.2[0] JAN 0>0.4[0]
*B6 BZN-LGB DEC 0.5>0[0.2]
Moved from LGBJFK to LAXEWR
*B6 EWR-LAX OCT 3>4[0] NOV 3>5[0] DEC 3>5[0] JAN 3>5[0] FEB 1.1>1.8[0]
B6 EWR-SDQ AUG 2>1.3[1.0] SEP 1.3>1.0[1.0]
**B6 JFK-LGB OCT 1.8>0.0[1.9] NOV 1.9>0[1.8] DEC 1.9>0[1.9] JAN 1.8>0[1.9] FEB 0.7>0[1.8]
**B6 LAS-LAX OCT 0>1.6[0] NOV 0>2[0] DEC 0>2[0] JAN 0>2[0] FEB 0>0.7[0]
**B6 LAS-LGB OCT 2>0.2[3] NOV 2>0[3] DEC 2>0[3] JAN 2>0[3] FEB 0.7>0[3]
**B6 LAX-RNO OCT 0>0.8[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0]
**B6 LAX-SEA OCT 0>0.8[0] NOV 0>1.0[0] DEC 0>1.0[0] JAN 0>1.0[0] FEB 0>0.4[0]
**B6 LAX-SFO OCT 0>1.6[0] NOV 0>2[0] DEC 0>2[0] JAN 0>2[0] FEB 0>0.7[0]
**B6 LAX-SLC OCT 0>1.6[0] NOV 0>2[0] DEC 0>2[0] JAN 0>2[0] FEB 0>0.7[0]
PDX wasn't moved, but SLC was. Hmm...
**B6 LGB-PDX OCT 1.0>0.1[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 0.4>0[1.0]
**B6 LGB-RNO OCT 1.0>0.1[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 0.4>0[1.0]
**B6 LGB-SEA OCT 2>0.1[2] NOV 2>0[2] DEC 1.5>0[2] JAN 1.0>0[1.2] FEB 0.4>0[2.0]
**B6 LGB-SFO OCT 2>0[2] NOV 2>0[2] DEC 2>0[2] JAN 2>0[2] FEB 0.7>0[2]
**B6 LGB-SLC OCT 3>0.4[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 1.1>0[3]

BA LHR-SEA AUG 1.0>0.4[2]

CA EWR-PEK AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
CA IAD-PEK AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
CA IAH-PEK AUG 0.9>0[0.9]
CA IAH-PTY AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
CA JFK-PEK AUG 2>0[2.0]
CA LAX-PEK AUG 3>0[3]
CA LAX-SZX AUG 0.5>0[0.4]
CA PEK-SFO AUG 1.0>0[1.4]

CI JFK-TPE AUG 0.6>0.1[0.5]

CX EWR-HKG AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
CX HKG-JFK AUG 4>0.6[3]
CX HKG-LAX AUG 3>0.8[3]
CX HKG-SFO AUG 3>0.6[3]

D7 HNL-KIX AUG 1.0>0[1.0]

**DE MUC-SEA NOV 0.3>0[0] DEC 0.3>0[0] JAN 0.3>0[0] FEB 0.3>0[0] MAR 0.2>0[0]

DI BOS-LGW APR 0>0.6[1.0] MAY 0>0.6[0]
DI JFK-LGW APR 0>1.0[3] MAY 0>1.0[0]
DI LAX-LGW APR 0>0.7[1.1] MAY 0>0.7[0]
DI LGW-MCO APR 0>0.6[1.0] MAY 0>0.6[0]
DI LGW-MIA APR 0>0.4[1.0] MAY 0>0.4[0]
DI LGW-SFO APR 0>0.6[0.7] MAY 0>0.6[0]

It appears all the UK routes are on a rolling cancellation until they relax the COVID entry limits
DL AMS-JFK AUG 1.7>1.0[2]
DL AMS-MSP AUG 0.7>0[3] SEP 1.0>0.8[3]
DL AMS-PDX SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL AMS-SEA AUG 1.0>0.7[2]
DL AMS-SLC SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL ATH-JFK AUG 1.0>0[2] SEP 1.0>0.8[2.0]
DL ATL-BCN AUG 0.4>0[1.0]
DL ATL-CDG AUG 2>1.0[2]
DL ATL-FCO AUG 0.4>0[2] SEP 1.0>0.8[2]
DL ATL-FRA AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
DL ATL-JNB SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL ATL-LHR AUG 1.0>0.7[2]
DL ATL-MAD AUG 0.4>0[1.0]
DL ATL-SAL AUG 0.2>0[1.0]
DL ATL-SAP AUG 0.2>0[1.0]
DL BOS-CDG AUG 0.6>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL BOS-LHR SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL BRU-JFK SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL CDG-MSP SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL CDG-SEA SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL DTW-LHR AUG 0.4>0[2] SEP 1.0>0.8[2]
DL DUB-JFK AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL EDI-JFK AUG 0.5>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL FCO-JFK AUG 1.0>0.4[2]
DL FRA-JFK SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL JAX-LGA AUG 1.0>0[3]
DL JFK-LHR AUG 0.6>0.9[2]
DL JFK-LIS AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL JFK-MXP AUG 1.0>0.4[1.0]
DL JFK-ZRH SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
DL LHR-MSP SEP 1.0>0.8[1.0]
**DL MSP-YEG SEP 1.5>0[2] OCT 2>0[2] NOV 2>0[1.9] DEC 2>0[1.8] JAN 2>0[1.8] FEB 2>0[1.8] MAR 2>0[1.9] APR 2>0[2] MAY 2>0[0.6]

DY CDG-JFK APR 0>0.6[0.9] MAY 0>0.6[0]
DY CDG-LAX APR 0>0.6[1.2] MAY 0>0.6[0]

**EI DUB-MIA OCT 0.4>0[0.3] NOV 0.4>0[0.5] DEC 0.4>0[0.5] JAN 0.5>0[0.5] FEB 0.4>0[0.5]
**EI DUB-MSP OCT 0.6>0[1.0] NOV 0.6>0[1.0] DEC 0.6>0[0.9] JAN 0.7>0[0.6] FEB 0.7>0[0.6] MAR 0.3>0[0.7]

EK ATH-EWR AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
EK BOS-DXB AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0]
EK DFW-DXB AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
EK DXB-IAD AUG 1.0>0.5[1.0]
EK DXB-IAH AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
EK DXB-LAX AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
EK DXB-MCO AUG 0.7>0[0.7]
EK DXB-ORD AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
EK DXB-SEA AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
EK DXB-SFO AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
EK JFK-MXP AUG 1.0>0[1.0]

**EW FRA-LAS SEP 0.3>0[0] OCT 0.3>0[0.1] NOV 0.4>0[0.4] DEC 0.5>0[0.5] JAN 0.4>0[0.4] FEB 0.4>0[0.4] MAR 0.4>0.1[0.5]

EY AUH-IAD AUG 1.0>0.4[1.0]
EY AUH-JFK AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
EY AUH-LAX AUG 0.6>0[0.6]
EY AUH-ORD AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]

F9 EWR-MIA AUG 0.6>0[0] SEP 1.7>0.8[0]
F9 IAD-MCO AUG 0.6>0[0.6]
*F9 ILG-MCO NOV 0.3>0[0] DEC 0.5>0[0] JAN 0.4>0[0]
*F9 LGA-MIA AUG 0.5>0[0] SEP 0.8>0[0]

FI BOS-KEF AUG 1.0>0.7[1.9]
FI DEN-KEF AUG 0.6>0.4[1.0]
FI EWR-KEF AUG 0.6>0.4[1.0]
FI IAD-KEF AUG 1.0>0.6[1.8]
FI JFK-KEF AUG 1.0>0.6[1.9]
FI KEF-MSP AUG 0.5>0.4[1.0]
FI KEF-ORD AUG 0.7>0.5[1.8]
FI KEF-SEA AUG 1.0>0.6[2]

HY JFK-TAS AUG 0.5>0[0.4]

IB BCN-BOS SEP 0.6>0[0.4] OCT 0.5>0.1[0.4]
IB BCN-JFK SEP 0.6>0.3[0.4]
IB BCN-SFO SEP 0.4>0[0.4] OCT 0.4>0.1[0.4]
IB JFK-MAD AUG 1.0>0.7[2]
IB MAD-MIA AUG 1.0>0.7[2]

JL BOS-NRT AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.3[1.0]
JL DFW-HND AUG 1.0>0.3[0] SEP 1.0>0.3[0]
JL HND-HNL AUG 2>0[0]
JL HND-JFK AUG 2.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 2>0.3[1.0]
JL HND-LAX AUG 1.0>0.3[0] SEP 1.0>0.3[0]
JL HND-ORD AUG 1.0>0.5[0] SEP 1.0>0.4[0]
JL HND-SFO AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
JL HNL-KIX AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
JL HNL-NGO AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
JL HNL-NRT AUG 2>0[4]
JL KIX-LAX AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.1[1.0]
JL KOA-NRT AUG 1.0>0[1.0]
JL LAX-NRT AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.1[1.0]
JL NRT-SAN AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
JL NRT-SEA AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0[1.0]
JL NRT-SFO AUG 1.0>0.3[0] SEP 1.0>0.3[0]

KG AIA-DEN OCT 3>1.7[1.7] NOV 3>1.7[1.7] DEC 3>1.7[1.7]
KG CVN-DEN NOV 1.7>0[0] DEC 1.7>0[0]
KG DEN-TEX AUG 1.0>2[1.0] SEP 0.3>1.3[1.0] OCT 0>1.0[0.5]
KG MSP-TVF NOV 1.7>0[0] DEC 1.7>0[0]

KL AMS-BOS SEP 0.7>0.4[0.6]
KL AMS-IAD SEP 1.0>0.4[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.5[1.0]
KL AMS-JFK SEP 3>2[3] OCT 3>2[3]
KL AMS-LAX SEP 1.9>1.0[1.9] OCT 1.6>1.0[1.7]
KL AMS-SFO SEP 1.7>0.5[1.7] OCT 1.5>0.8[1.6]

LH CLT-MUC AUG 0.5>0[1.0] SEP 0.7>0.4[1.0]
LH DEN-MUC AUG 0.7>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
LH FRA-MCO AUG 0.4>0[1.0]

Reverses last week
MU JFK-PVG AUG 0>0.3[2] SEP 0>2.0[2] OCT 0>2[1.9] JAN 0>2[1.9] FEB 0>2[2.0] MAR 0>2[0.5] APR 0>2[1.1] MAY 0>2[1.8]
MU LAX-NKG DEC 0>0.5[0.4] MAR 0>0.4[0] APR 0>0.4[0] MAY 0>0.4[0]
MU LAX-PVG SEP 0>2.0[1.9] OCT 0>2[1.8] JAN 0>2[1.9] FEB 0>2[1.9] MAR 0>2[0.5] APR 0>2[1.1] MAY 0>2[1.8]
MU ORD-PVG SEP 0>1.0[0.7] OCT 0>0.9[0.7] MAR 0>0.7[0.0] APR 0>1.0[0.6] MAY 0>1.0[0.9]
MU PVG-SFO MAR 0>1.0[0.0] APR 0>1.0[0.7] MAY 0>1.0[0.9]

Huge cut for Spirit
NK ACY-ATL AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.8]
NK ACY-FLL AUG 3>0.8[1.3] SEP 3>2[1.7]
NK ACY-MCO AUG 3>0.8[2] SEP 3>2[2]
NK ACY-MYR AUG 1.2>0.6[1.0]
NK ATL-AUS AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK ATL-BOS AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK ATL-BWI AUG 3>0.8[3] SEP 3>2[3]
NK ATL-DFW AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK ATL-DTW AUG 3>1.1[3] SEP 2>1.7[2]
NK ATL-EWR AUG 2>1.1[1.0]
NK ATL-FLL AUG 5>2[4] SEP 5>4[4]
NK ATL-LAS AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK ATL-MCO AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK ATL-MSY AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK ATL-TPA AUG 1.9>1.0[3]
NK AUS-BNA AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0]
NK AUS-BWI AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.9>0.6[0.8]
NK AUS-CUN AUG 0.5>0[0]
NK AUS-DEN AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[1.0]
NK AUS-DTW AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[1.0]
NK AUS-EWR AUG 1.0>0.1[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK AUS-LAS AUG 0.9>0.6[1.0]
NK AUS-MCO AUG 1.5>1.0[1.0]
NK AUS-MSY AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.8]
NK AUS-ORD AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.8]
NK BDL-FLL AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK BDL-MCO AUG 2>0.9[2] SEP 1.6>1.2[1.8]
NK BDL-MYR AUG 2>0.9[1.3]
NK BNA-BWI AUG 1.0>0.1[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK BNA-CUN AUG 0.4>0[0]
NK BNA-EWR AUG 1.0>0.6[0]
NK BNA-FLL AUG 1.0>0.5[0]
NK BNA-LAS AUG 0.9>0.6[0]
NK BNA-MCO AUG 1.4>0.5[0] SEP 1.3>1.0[0]
NK BNA-MSY AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK BNA-TPA AUG 1.0>0.1[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK BOS-BWI AUG 4>2[2]
NK BOS-CLE AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.7>0.4[0.7]
NK BOS-DFW AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.3>0[0.1]
NK BOS-DTW AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.7>0.4[0.7]
NK BOS-EWR NOV 0>0.9[0] DEC 0>2[0] JAN 0>2[0] FEB 0>0.6[0]
NK BOS-FLL AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK BOS-LAS AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK BOS-MCO AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK BOS-MSY AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.8]
NK BOS-MYR AUG 1.7>1.1[1.0]
NK BUR-LAS AUG 1.8>0.6[3] SEP 1.8>1.4[3]
NK BUR-SEA AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK BWI-CLT AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[1.0]
NK BWI-CUN AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.5]
NK BWI-DEN AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.7>0.4[0.7]
NK BWI-DFW AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK BWI-DTW AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK BWI-IAH AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK BWI-JAX AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK BWI-MBJ AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.8]
NK BWI-MCO AUG 4>1.3[2] SEP 4>3[2]
NK BWI-MSP AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK BWI-MSY AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK BWI-MYR AUG 1.9>0.8[1.6]
NK BWI-ORD AUG 1.9>0.1[2] SEP 2>1.5[1.8]
NK BWI-RDU AUG 0.9>0[1.6] SEP 0.8>0.5[1.1]
NK BWI-SAL AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0]
NK BWI-SEA AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.1]
NK BWI-SJU AUG 1.9>1.0[1.4]
NK BWI-TPA AUG 2.0>0.9[1.6]
NK CLE-CUN AUG 0.5>0[0]
NK CLE-EWR AUG 1.0>0.6[0]
NK CLE-FLL AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK CLE-LAS AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK CLE-MCO AUG 3>1.1[1.6]
NK CLE-MSY AUG 0.4>0.1[0.4]
NK CLE-MYR AUG 1.8>1.0[1.0] SEP 1.2>1.0[0.8]
NK CLT-EWR AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK CLT-FLL AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK CMH-MSY AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
NK CMH-MYR AUG 0.3>0[0.6]
NK CRW-MCO AUG 0.4>0.2[0]
NK CRW-MYR AUG 0.3>0.0[0.3]
NK CUN-DFW AUG 1.0>0.5[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.8]
NK CUN-DTW AUG 0.9>0[0.2] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.1]
NK CUN-IAH AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK CUN-MSY AUG 0.5>0[0]
NK CUN-ORD AUG 1.0>0.1[0.6] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.5]
NK CUN-PHL AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0]
NK CUN-PIT AUG 0.4>0[0]
NK DEN-FLL AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK DEN-LAS AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK DEN-MCO AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK DEN-ORD AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK DFW-DTW AUG 1.4>1.0[1.4]
NK DFW-FLL AUG 3>1.1[3]
NK DFW-LAX AUG 4>2[4]
NK DFW-MCO AUG 3>1.1[3] SEP 2>1.7[2]
NK DFW-MSY AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK DFW-MYR AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
NK DFW-ORD AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK DTW-FLL AUG 3>1.1[2]
NK DTW-LAS AUG 4>1.7[3]
NK DTW-LAX AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK DTW-LGA AUG 1.9>0.1[2] SEP 2>1.5[2]
NK DTW-MCI AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.8]
NK DTW-MCO AUG 3>1.3[3]
NK DTW-MSP AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK DTW-MSY AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK DTW-OAK AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 0.3>0[0.1]
NK DTW-PHL AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK DTW-RDU AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[0.9]
NK DTW-SEA AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.3>0[0.1]
NK EWR-LAS NOV 1.0>1.4[1.0] DEC 1.0>2[1.0] JAN 1.0>2[1.0] FEB 0.3>0.6[1.0]
NK EWR-MCO AUG 4>2[4]
NK EWR-MSY AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK EWR-MYR AUG 3>1.9[1.0]
NK EWR-PBI NOV 0>0.9[0] DEC 0>2[0] JAN 0>2[0] FEB 0>0.6[0]
NK EWR-RSW AUG 1.0>0.8[0] NOV 1.0>1.4[0.6] DEC 1.0>2[1.0] JAN 1.0>2[1.0] FEB 0.3>0.6[1.0]
NK EWR-SJU AUG 1.9>1.0[0]
NK FLL-GUA AUG 0.8>0.5[1.0]
NK FLL-IAG AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK FLL-IAH AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK FLL-KIN AUG 0.9>0.4[1.0]
NK FLL-LBE AUG 1.0>0.6[0.7]
NK FLL-LGA AUG 4>2[4]
NK FLL-MCO AUG 2>0.3[2] SEP 2>1.5[2]
NK FLL-MSY AUG 1.9>0.8[2]
NK FLL-MYR AUG 1.9>0.8[1.3]
NK FLL-OAK AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 0.3>0[0]
NK FLL-ORD AUG 3>2[2]
NK FLL-PBG AUG 0.2>0[0.3]
NK FLL-PHL AUG 4>2[2]
NK FLL-PIT AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK FLL-PUJ AUG 0.9>0.5[1.0]
NK FLL-RDU AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK FLL-RIC AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK FLL-SAL AUG 1.2>0.8[0.6]
NK FLL-SDQ AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK FLL-SJO AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK FLL-SJU AUG 2.0>1.1[1.3]
NK FLL-TPA AUG 2>0.3[1.0] SEP 2>1.5[1.9]
NK GUA-IAH AUG 0.3>0[0.6]
NK GUA-MCO AUG 0.5>0[0.6] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.6]
NK IAH-LAS AUG 3>1.5[2]
NK IAH-LAX AUG 3>2[2]
NK IAH-MCO AUG 3>1.1[2]
NK IAH-MSY AUG 1.0>0.3[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK IAH-MYR AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK IAH-ORD AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK IAH-SAL AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
NK IAH-SAN AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK IAH-SAP AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
NK IAH-SEA AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.3>0[0.1]
NK IAH-TPA AUG 1.0>0.8[1.0]
NK IND-LAS AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK IND-MCO AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK IND-RSW AUG 0.9>0[0] SEP 0.5>0.2[0]
NK IND-TPA AUG 1.0>0.1[0] SEP 0.5>0.2[0]
NK LAS-LAX AUG 3>1.1[3]
NK LAS-MCI AUG 1.9>0.8[1.0]
NK LAS-MSY AUG 0.9>0.6[1.0]
NK LAS-OAK AUG 4>1.7[4]
NK LAS-ORD AUG 3>2[3]
NK LAS-PDX AUG 3>1.5[3]
NK LAS-SAN AUG 3>1.7[4]
NK LAS-SEA AUG 3>1.5[4]
NK LAS-SMF AUG 3>1.7[3]
NK LAX-MSP AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK LAX-OAK AUG 1.9>1.0[2]
NK LAX-PIT AUG 1.9>0.8[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK LBE-MCO AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK LBE-MYR AUG 1.4>1.1[1.4]
NK LGA-MYR AUG 2>1.1[2]
NK MBJ-MCO AUG 0.4>0[0.6]
NK MCI-MCO AUG 1.3>1.0[1.0]
NK MCI-MYR AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK MCO-MSY AUG 1.9>0.8[1.0]
NK MCO-MYR AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK MCO-PHL AUG 3>2[3]
NK MCO-PIT AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]
NK MCO-RDU AUG 1.9>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.7>1.1[0.9]
NK MCO-RIC AUG 1.0>0.1[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK MCO-SAL AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK MCO-SAP AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
NK MCO-SJO AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK MCO-SJU AUG 3.9>3.0[3.2]
NK MSP-MSY AUG 0.5>0[0.6]
NK MSP-MYR AUG 0.3>0[0.4]
NK MSY-ORD AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK MSY-PHL AUG 0.6>0.1[0.6]
NK MSY-RDU AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.8]
NK MSY-TPA AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
NK MYR-PBG AUG 0.3>0.0[0.3]
NK MYR-PIT AUG 1.7>1.1[1.0]
NK OAK-ORD AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
NK ORD-RDU AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 0.8>0.5[1.0]
NK ORD-SEA AUG 0.9>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[0.1]
NK PHL-SJU AUG 1.9>1.0[1.0]

OS EWR-VIE AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0] SEP 1.0>0.7[1.0] OCT 1.0>0.8[1.0]
OS IAD-VIE AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]
OS JFK-VIE AUG 1.0>0[1.0] SEP 1.0>0[1.0] OCT 0.9>0.2[1.0]
OS LAX-VIE AUG 0.7>0[1.0] SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 0.5>0[0.8]
OS ORD-VIE AUG 1.0>0.7[1.0]

OZ HNL-ICN AUG 1.0>0[0.9]
OZ ICN-JFK AUG 2.0>1.0[1.0]
OZ ICN-LAX AUG 2>1.4[2]

PS JFK-KBP NOV 0.7>0[0.7] DEC 0.7>0[0.7] JAN 0.7>0[0.7] FEB 0.7>0[0.7] MAR 0.7>0.1[0.7]

SV IAD-JED AUG 0.5>0.3[0.4] SEP 0.6>0.3[0.4] OCT 0.5>0.3[0.3]
SV JED-JFK AUG 0.6>0[0.6] SEP 0.6>0[0.6] OCT 0.6>0.1[0.6]
SV JED-LAX AUG 0.7>0[0.7] SEP 0.4>0[0.5] OCT 0.5>0.1[0.4]
SV JFK-RUH AUG 0.4>0[0.3] SEP 0.4>0[0.4] OCT 0.4>0.1[0.4]

TK IAD-IST AUG 1.5>0.7[1.0]
TK IAH-IST AUG 1.0>0.5[1.0]
TK IST-JFK AUG 3>1.0[3]
TK IST-LAX AUG 1.5>0.7[1.0]
TK IST-MIA AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
TK IST-ORD AUG 1.5>1.0[1.0]
TK IST-SFO AUG 1.4>0.6[1.0]

UA AUS-ORD AUG 3>2.0[4]
UA BNA-EWR AUG 5>4[6]
UA BUF-ORD AUG 3>2.0[5]
UA CHS-ORD AUG 3>1.8[4]
UA CLT-EWR AUG 4>3[6]
UA CLT-ORD AUG 3>2[5]
UA CUN-DEN AUG 0.9>0.7[0.8]
UA CUN-ORD AUG 0.9>0.7[1.8]
UA DEN-LAS AUG 3>1.9[5]
UA DEN-ONT AUG 1.0>0.1[2.0]
UA DEN-SAT AUG 3>2[4]
UA DEN-SLC AUG 4>3[7]
UA EWR-FLL AUG 7>5[6]
UA EWR-LAS AUG 4>3[6]
UA EWR-LAX AUG 8>7[11]
UA EWR-MCO AUG 7>6[9]
UA EWR-MIA AUG 5>4[4]
UA EWR-MSY AUG 3>1.9[3]
UA EWR-PBI AUG 5>4[4]
UA EWR-PHX AUG 4>3[2]
UA EWR-RDU AUG 4>2[8]
UA EWR-RSW AUG 5>4[2.0]
UA EWR-SAN AUG 3>1.9[3]
UA EWR-SAV AUG 3>1.7[3]
UA EWR-SFO AUG 8>7[14]
UA EWR-SNA AUG 0.9>0[3]
UA EWR-SRQ AUG 3>1.9[1.1]
UA EWR-TLV AUG 1.0>1.4[2] SEP 1.0>1.4[2.0] OCT 1.3>1.6[1.9]
UA EWR-TPA AUG 6>5[6]
UA HSV-ORD AUG 1.8>0.9[1.8]
UA IAH-ICT AUG 1.8>3[4]
UA IAH-LIT AUG 2>3[5]
UA IAH-MEM AUG 2>3[5]
UA IAH-SJU AUG 0.5>1.5[1.6]
UA IAH-TYS AUG 3>1.9[4]
UA IAH-XNA AUG 1.5>3[4]
UA ICN-SFO AUG 0.5>0.7[1.7]
UA JAX-ORD AUG 2.0>1.1[3]
UA LAS-ORD AUG 3>2.0[5]
UA LAX-MRY AUG 1.6>0.7[4]
UA LAX-ORD AUG 6>5[10]
UA LAX-PHX AUG 1.9>1.5[3]
UA MEM-ORD AUG 3>2[4]
UA ORD-SAN AUG 3>2[4]
UA ORD-SAV AUG 1.9>1.0[3]
UA ORD-SMF AUG 1.9>1.0[3]
**UA ORD-TLV SEP 0>0.3[0] OCT 0>0.5[0] NOV 0>0.4[0] DEC 0>0.4[0] JAN 0>0.4[0] FEB 0>0.4[0] MAR 0>0.4[0] APR 0>0.4[0] MAY 0>0.5[0]
UA PHX-SFO AUG 3>2[5]
UA PVG-SFO AUG 0.9>0[2] SEP 1.0>0.8[2]
UA SFO-SLC AUG 3>2[5]
UA SFO-TLV SEP 0.8>0.4[0.9] OCT 0.9>0.5[0.9]

UP FLL-NAS AUG 4>2[3]
UP MHH-PBI AUG 0.9>0.4[0.9]

VA LAX-SYD SEP 0.7>0[0.9] OCT 0.9>0.2[1.0]

WS ATL-YYC AUG 1.0>0.6[1.0]
WS AUS-YYC AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
WS BNA-YYC AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
WS BNA-YYZ AUG 1.1>0[1.4]
WS BOS-YYC AUG 0.7>0[0]
WS BOS-YYZ AUG 1.7>0[3]
WS DEN-YYC AUG 0.5>0[0.6]
WS FLL-YYZ AUG 0.6>0[1.0]
WS HNL-YVR AUG 0.9>0[1.0]
WS IAH-YYC AUG 1.5>0[1.8]
WS JFK-YYC AUG 0.9>0[1.0]
WS LAS-YEG AUG 0.5>0[0.6]
WS LAS-YVR AUG 1.4>0[1.6]
WS LAS-YWG AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
WS LAS-YYC AUG 3>0.3[3]
WS LAS-YYZ AUG 1.7>0[2]
WS LAX-YEG AUG 0.9>0[0.8]
WS LAX-YVR AUG 3>0.4[3]
WS LAX-YYC AUG 1.6>0.5[1.7]
WS LAX-YYZ AUG 1.7>0[2]
WS LGA-YYZ AUG 6>0.7[7] SEP 7>6[7]
WS MCO-YYC AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
WS MCO-YYZ AUG 1.7>0.2[2]
WS OGG-YVR AUG 0.9>0[1.0]
WS PDX-YYC AUG 1.7>0[1.0]
WS PHX-YYC AUG 1.5>0[1.7]
WS PSP-YVR AUG 0.3>0[0.3]
WS PSP-YYC AUG 0.6>0[0.7]
WS RSW-YYZ AUG 0.5>0[0.5]
WS SAN-YVR AUG 0.4>0[0.4]
WS SAN-YYC AUG 0.4>0[0.5]
WS SFO-YVR AUG 1.7>0[2] SEP 1.2>1.0[1.1]
WS SFO-YYC AUG 1.5>0[1.8]
WS SNA-YVR AUG 0.9>0[1.0]
WS TPA-YYZ AUG 0.4>0[0.4]

YR BLD-GCW AUG 0>0.7[0] SEP 0>0.7[0] OCT 0>0.7[0] NOV 0>1.0[0.9] MAR 0>0.4[0.2]
Last edited by enilria on Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
chonetsao
Posts: 646
Joined: Sun Nov 06, 2005 3:55 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:23 pm

Transatlantic traffic is done for 2020. More cut for August and September ahead, as US has no intention to relax EU travel ban yet. I worry this may last until March 2021, that would be a disaster. I do hope the travel ban can be relaxed a little bit by middle of August so at least airlines can savage the remaining of winter season.
 
User avatar
enilria
Topic Author
Posts: 10247
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2008 7:15 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:25 pm

chonetsao wrote:
Transatlantic traffic is done for 2020. More cut for August and September ahead, as US has no intention to relax EU travel ban yet. I worry this may last until March 2021, that would be a disaster. I do hope the travel ban can be relaxed a little bit by middle of August so at least airlines can savage the remaining of winter season.

People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.
 
Cointrin330
Posts: 1993
Joined: Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:23 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:40 pm

chonetsao wrote:
Transatlantic traffic is done for 2020. More cut for August and September ahead, as US has no intention to relax EU travel ban yet. I worry this may last until March 2021, that would be a disaster. I do hope the travel ban can be relaxed a little bit by middle of August so at least airlines can savage the remaining of winter season.


It's the other way around. The EU has no intention of relaxing the US travel ban it applied this month. The US, Brazil, Iran, and Russia are the epicenters of the pandemic and the US will remain in that club for some time,. TATL will be bare bones through year-end.
 
panamair
Posts: 4326
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2001 2:24 am

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:40 pm

enilria wrote:
People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Actually the US implemented a ban on all non-US citizens residents coming from the EU/EEA/Schengen area back in March; that rule still has not been lifted.
 
Cointrin330
Posts: 1993
Joined: Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:23 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:43 pm

panamair wrote:
enilria wrote:
People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Actually the US implemented a ban on all non-US citizens residents coming from the EU/EEA/Schengen area back in March; that rule still has not been lifted.


Yes, we know that, but it's Americans unable to travel to most countries at the moment that's at issue, not the other way around. Europeans and others really don't want to come to America and want to keep Americans out, and rightly so given the train wreck the country is right now in handling the pandemic.
 
panamair
Posts: 4326
Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2001 2:24 am

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:45 pm

Cointrin330 wrote:
panamair wrote:
enilria wrote:
People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Actually the US implemented a ban on all non-US citizens residents coming from the EU/EEA/Schengen area back in March; that rule still has not been lifted.


Yes, we know that, but it's Americans unable to travel to most countries at the moment that's at issue, not the other way around. Europeans and others really don't want to come to America and want to keep Americans out, and rightly so given the train wreck the country is right now in handling the pandemic.


I was responding to the previous assertion that there was no reverse ban.
 
MIflyer12
Posts: 8034
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2013 11:58 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:46 pm

enilria wrote:
15 departures moved out of PHL. I wonder what the logic is? Congestion is no longer an issue.
**AA ABE-CLT OCT 3>4[3] NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3] MAY 3>4[2]
**AA ABE-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.0]
**AA AVP-CLT OCT 4>5[4] NOV 3>4[4] DEC 3>4[4] JAN 3>4[4] FEB 3>4[4] MAR 3>4[4] APR 4>5[4] MAY 4>5[2]
**AA AVP-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.1]
*AA BDA-JFK SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AA BDA-MIA SEP 0>0.7[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]
AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]
**AA CLT-HVN SEP 0>1.4[0.1] OCT 0>1.8[0.1] NOV 0>1.9[0.2] DEC 0>1.9[0.1] JAN 0>1.8[0.1] FEB 0>1.9[0.2] MAR 0>1.9[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
**AA CLT-ITH SEP 0.1>1.5[0] OCT 0.2>2[0.1] NOV 0.1>2[0.2] DEC 0.1>2[0.1] JAN 0.2>2[0.1] FEB 0.1>2[0.2] MAR 0.1>2[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3] OCT 2>3[3]
AA DFW-FAT APR 5>4[3] MAY 5>4[1.9]
**AA HVN-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[1.6] FEB 3>0[1.8] MAR 3>0[2] APR 3>0[2] MAY 3>0[0.7]
**AA ITH-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[4] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 3>0[3] MAR 3>0[3] APR 2>0[3] MAY 2>0[0.7]
AA LAX-SJD JAN 1.2>1.9[0.9] FEB 1.0>1.9[0.9] MAR 1.6>2[1.0]
AA MIA-STT NOV 2.4>3.0[2.1]
**AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.5>0[0.9] OCT 1.8>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
**AA PHL-SAT SEP 0.7>0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0.9] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[0.3] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0] APR 1.0>0[0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
AA PHL-STT NOV 0.4>1.0[0.4]


OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?
 
Nicknuzzii
Posts: 1148
Joined: Sat Sep 15, 2018 5:57 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:49 pm

From what I have seen all these routes performed decently well out of PHL with the exceptions being SAT and OKC. This looks like more of DL move by me than anything else. Let everything connect in ATL (in this case CLT) even if it doesn’t make sense. I could see some of these routes being pulled back .
 
Nicknuzzii
Posts: 1148
Joined: Sat Sep 15, 2018 5:57 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 12:51 pm

I think it’s interesting B6 is already going 5x daily on EWR-LAX. Will this put the final nail in the coffin for AS?

NK added lots of EWR capacity. Starting November 18th they will have 29 daily flights which is close to what F9 offers out of PHL.
 
flyfresno
Posts: 1049
Joined: Tue May 02, 2006 6:18 am

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:01 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:
enilria wrote:
15 departures moved out of PHL. I wonder what the logic is? Congestion is no longer an issue.
**AA ABE-CLT OCT 3>4[3] NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3] MAY 3>4[2]
**AA ABE-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.0]
**AA AVP-CLT OCT 4>5[4] NOV 3>4[4] DEC 3>4[4] JAN 3>4[4] FEB 3>4[4] MAR 3>4[4] APR 4>5[4] MAY 4>5[2]
**AA AVP-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.1]
*AA BDA-JFK SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AA BDA-MIA SEP 0>0.7[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]
AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]
**AA CLT-HVN SEP 0>1.4[0.1] OCT 0>1.8[0.1] NOV 0>1.9[0.2] DEC 0>1.9[0.1] JAN 0>1.8[0.1] FEB 0>1.9[0.2] MAR 0>1.9[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
**AA CLT-ITH SEP 0.1>1.5[0] OCT 0.2>2[0.1] NOV 0.1>2[0.2] DEC 0.1>2[0.1] JAN 0.2>2[0.1] FEB 0.1>2[0.2] MAR 0.1>2[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3] OCT 2>3[3]
AA DFW-FAT APR 5>4[3] MAY 5>4[1.9]
**AA HVN-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[1.6] FEB 3>0[1.8] MAR 3>0[2] APR 3>0[2] MAY 3>0[0.7]
**AA ITH-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[4] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 3>0[3] MAR 3>0[3] APR 2>0[3] MAY 2>0[0.7]
AA LAX-SJD JAN 1.2>1.9[0.9] FEB 1.0>1.9[0.9] MAR 1.6>2[1.0]
AA MIA-STT NOV 2.4>3.0[2.1]
**AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.5>0[0.9] OCT 1.8>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
**AA PHL-SAT SEP 0.7>0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0.9] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[0.3] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0] APR 1.0>0[0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
AA PHL-STT NOV 0.4>1.0[0.4]


OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?


There was a time when *ALL* HVN and ITH had from US were Dash 8's to PHL. I agree with your confusion on those two plus AVP...sort of punts a lot of Europe traffic from
those cities (but how much was there?) and makes any NE connecting much less desirable (ITH to HVN, for example, just got at least an hour longer). At least ABE is a bit more like PAE is to SEA in that passengers can just drive to PHL if they need to...prioritizing CLT makes sense out of there.
 
DLASFlyer
Posts: 148
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 4:06 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:34 pm

Flown Delta to Edmonton many times. That will be a big hole in the network if permanent.
 
Cubsrule
Posts: 14473
Joined: Sat May 15, 2004 12:13 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:35 pm

flyfresno wrote:
MIflyer12 wrote:
enilria wrote:
15 departures moved out of PHL. I wonder what the logic is? Congestion is no longer an issue.
**AA ABE-CLT OCT 3>4[3] NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3] MAY 3>4[2]
**AA ABE-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.0]
**AA AVP-CLT OCT 4>5[4] NOV 3>4[4] DEC 3>4[4] JAN 3>4[4] FEB 3>4[4] MAR 3>4[4] APR 4>5[4] MAY 4>5[2]
**AA AVP-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.1]
*AA BDA-JFK SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AA BDA-MIA SEP 0>0.7[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]
AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]
**AA CLT-HVN SEP 0>1.4[0.1] OCT 0>1.8[0.1] NOV 0>1.9[0.2] DEC 0>1.9[0.1] JAN 0>1.8[0.1] FEB 0>1.9[0.2] MAR 0>1.9[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
**AA CLT-ITH SEP 0.1>1.5[0] OCT 0.2>2[0.1] NOV 0.1>2[0.2] DEC 0.1>2[0.1] JAN 0.2>2[0.1] FEB 0.1>2[0.2] MAR 0.1>2[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3] OCT 2>3[3]
AA DFW-FAT APR 5>4[3] MAY 5>4[1.9]
**AA HVN-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[1.6] FEB 3>0[1.8] MAR 3>0[2] APR 3>0[2] MAY 3>0[0.7]
**AA ITH-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[4] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 3>0[3] MAR 3>0[3] APR 2>0[3] MAY 2>0[0.7]
AA LAX-SJD JAN 1.2>1.9[0.9] FEB 1.0>1.9[0.9] MAR 1.6>2[1.0]
AA MIA-STT NOV 2.4>3.0[2.1]
**AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.5>0[0.9] OCT 1.8>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
**AA PHL-SAT SEP 0.7>0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0.9] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[0.3] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0] APR 1.0>0[0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
AA PHL-STT NOV 0.4>1.0[0.4]


OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?


There was a time when *ALL* HVN and ITH had from US were Dash 8's to PHL. I agree with your confusion on those two plus AVP...sort of punts a lot of Europe traffic from
those cities (but how much was there?) and makes any NE connecting much less desirable (ITH to HVN, for example, just got at least an hour longer). At least ABE is a bit more like PAE is to SEA in that passengers can just drive to PHL if they need to...prioritizing CLT makes sense out of there.


I’m not sure it’s really that illogical. There’s next to no O&D from those small northeast markets to PHL and not a heck of a lot of O&D to places better served from PHL (nobody is flying ITH-PHL-PIT or AVP-PHL-BOS). So why not increase service to the larger hub?
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Nicknuzzii
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:40 pm

Cubsrule wrote:
flyfresno wrote:
MIflyer12 wrote:

OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?


There was a time when *ALL* HVN and ITH had from US were Dash 8's to PHL. I agree with your confusion on those two plus AVP...sort of punts a lot of Europe traffic from
those cities (but how much was there?) and makes any NE connecting much less desirable (ITH to HVN, for example, just got at least an hour longer). At least ABE is a bit more like PAE is to SEA in that passengers can just drive to PHL if they need to...prioritizing CLT makes sense out of there.


I’m not sure it’s really that illogical. There’s next to no O&D from those small northeast markets to PHL and not a heck of a lot of O&D to places better served from PHL (nobody is flying ITH-PHL-PIT or AVP-PHL-BOS). So why not increase service to the larger hub?


The places people were connecting onto from these destinations are all served from PHL. No one was flying to 2 small sized cities.

PHL is in a better location because it allows for much easier access without overflying.
 
jmscsc
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:44 pm

DLASFlyer wrote:
Flown Delta to Edmonton many times. That will be a big hole in the network if permanent.


I've also flown that route and would agree with you.
 
aerace
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:44 pm

SAT out of PHL was inconsistent from the jump--seasonal to year-round to seasonal to weekends to year-round to removed completely. If memory serves right, this route was a casualty of MAX route reductions, meanwhile AUS got beefed up to 3x a day. AVP and ABE are drives away, and actually have more pax funneling through CLT anyways so why not just bulk them up. HVN and ITH are definitely confusing. I guess maybe AA is cutting their losses now, and when traffic rebounds they consider re-adding in the future? Similar to what they had done during the merger consolidation (like Halifax for instance).

Also to note, PHL lost Erie and is also losing Williamsport, so maybe this is a strategy to get rid of jet flights that are close-ish to PHL? What the reason would be I have no idea.
 
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:51 pm

EI dropping MSP isn't surprising. UHG has practically cut all corporate travel for the time being as has Medtronic. Add that to the issues that U.S. citizens have trying to get abroad currently and its a recipe for failure. I'm sure in a few years it will return.
 
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:53 pm

jmscsc wrote:
DLASFlyer wrote:
Flown Delta to Edmonton many times. That will be a big hole in the network if permanent.


I've also flown that route and would agree with you.

They’ll still have YEG as part of their network with the codeshare with WS, just getting there won’t be as easy and convenient.
 
tlhgator
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:57 pm

[quote="enilria"]FAQ


AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]

This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?
 
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knope2001
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:00 pm

Thanks as always, Enilria!

enilria wrote:
Huge cut for Spirit


These seem kind of ominous because these cuts are coming only a few weeks out -- not a good sign. Spirit has appeared to be as stable, confident and bullish as anyone can be in the current environment.

Mixed among the cuts there are roughly five dozen city pairs essentially being suspended for August. Not all (such as some of the MRY markets) were until now planned to run daily through August, but many were. The fully-suspended city pairs don't seem to be especially focused on one area versus another -- stations with most suspended city pairs include BWI, MSY, DTW, AUS, MCO, CUN, MYR, BNA. Reduced-flying markets are all over the map as well -- no obvious "demand to X is tanking but Y and Z seem okay" patterns.

Makes you wonder if what Spirit appears to be seeing will show up in the next few weeks for other carriers.
 
Cubsrule
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:06 pm

Nicknuzzii wrote:
Cubsrule wrote:
flyfresno wrote:

There was a time when *ALL* HVN and ITH had from US were Dash 8's to PHL. I agree with your confusion on those two plus AVP...sort of punts a lot of Europe traffic from
those cities (but how much was there?) and makes any NE connecting much less desirable (ITH to HVN, for example, just got at least an hour longer). At least ABE is a bit more like PAE is to SEA in that passengers can just drive to PHL if they need to...prioritizing CLT makes sense out of there.


I’m not sure it’s really that illogical. There’s next to no O&D from those small northeast markets to PHL and not a heck of a lot of O&D to places better served from PHL (nobody is flying ITH-PHL-PIT or AVP-PHL-BOS). So why not increase service to the larger hub?


The places people were connecting onto from these destinations are all served from PHL. No one was flying to 2 small sized cities.

PHL is in a better location because it allows for much easier access without overflying.


Because CLT is so much farther west than PHL, I think a lot of people overstate this effect. ITH-STL, for instance, is only about 100 miles more via CLT than via PHL. That’s a negligible difference in the grand scheme.
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Midwestindy
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:09 pm

knope2001 wrote:
Thanks as always, Enilria!

enilria wrote:
Huge cut for Spirit


These seem kind of ominous because these cuts are coming only a few weeks out -- not a good sign. Spirit has appeared to be as stable, confident and bullish as anyone can be in the current environment.

Mixed among the cuts there are roughly five dozen city pairs essentially being suspended for August. Not all (such as some of the MRY markets) were until now planned to run daily through August, but many were. The fully-suspended city pairs don't seem to be especially focused on one area versus another -- stations with most suspended city pairs include BWI, MSY, DTW, AUS, MCO, CUN, MYR, BNA. Reduced-flying markets are all over the map as well -- no obvious "demand to X is tanking but Y and Z seem okay" patterns.

Makes you wonder if what Spirit appears to be seeing will show up in the next few weeks for other carriers.


NK was extremely aggressive in adding capacity, FLL was +30% yoy & MCO was +20% yoy. Not saying demand isn't decreasing, but given how enormous their schedule was, I wouldn't be very concerned.
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alfa164
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:15 pm

tlhgator wrote:
enilria wrote:
FAQ
AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]
This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?


I suspect that is a SEA-ATL-CHS-SEA routing.
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tphuang
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:21 pm

A lot of the spirit additions For July were based on the hope that demand will continue to recover the way it did in June if they continue to discount fares by 80%. That clearly hasn’t happened. Even this schedule seems like too much capacity considering how Florida has been hard hit. We will see how it goes. All this aggressive scheduling into q4 isn’t going to happen if demand doesn’t rebound. There is a good chance they return some of the aircraft and do some level of furlough.

Having both frontier and spirit running essentially the same strategy isn’t good for either airline.
 
chonetsao
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:24 pm

Cointrin330 wrote:
chonetsao wrote:
Transatlantic traffic is done for 2020. More cut for August and September ahead, as US has no intention to relax EU travel ban yet. I worry this may last until March 2021, that would be a disaster. I do hope the travel ban can be relaxed a little bit by middle of August so at least airlines can savage the remaining of winter season.


It's the other way around. The EU has no intention of relaxing the US travel ban it applied this month. The US, Brazil, Iran, and Russia are the epicenters of the pandemic and the US will remain in that club for some time,. TATL will be bare bones through year-end.


US had the EU travel ban for months now since MARCH. EU only started to ban US traveller recently as a collective effort. But please notice the EU policy is ADVISORY. Each government within EU has their own policy. Basically EU is recommending a ban for US travellers, but it is up to each individual state government to decide, of which many EU state government had taken the position (understandably). So far US travellers can travel to Ireland, Croatia, UK and some other EU states.

Also USA is doing as badly as EU on the virus control. If you put all EU country together, the numbers are not any better than the US. Less infections numbers yes but far higher death numbers. I should stop here now, otherwise this post will be moved to Covid thread. So let me wrap it up. The current travel ban is serving a purpose, but it needs to be relaxed slowly and both US and EU need to sit down together to slowly opening up to each other. EU could have down what UK is doing, ask US travellers to take mandatory 14 days self isolation. Yet it decided to have a blanket ban. I think EU is more flexible in terms of lifting travel ban, but that requires US to reciprocal.
 
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:25 pm

aerace wrote:
SAT out of PHL was inconsistent from the jump--seasonal to year-round to seasonal to weekends to year-round to removed completely. If memory serves right, this route was a casualty of MAX route reductions, meanwhile AUS got beefed up to 3x a day. AVP and ABE are drives away, and actually have more pax funneling through CLT anyways so why not just bulk them up. HVN and ITH are definitely confusing. I guess maybe AA is cutting their losses now, and when traffic rebounds they consider re-adding in the future? Similar to what they had done during the merger consolidation (like Halifax for instance).

Also to note, PHL lost Erie and is also losing Williamsport, so maybe this is a strategy to get rid of jet flights that are close-ish to PHL? What the reason would be I have no idea.

I also don’t understand why they seem to be cutting spokes from PHL - this would only weaken any advantage that PHL had as a TATL hub (not sure when that will be). Unless the traffic was not mostly TATL or to the NE from these places, but rather to places better served through CLT. I wonder if HVN and ITH being college towns have anything to do with this - maybe most students prefer to take bus vs flights, there is simply not enough traffic to fill flights to a smaller hub?
 
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enilria
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:53 pm

panamair wrote:
enilria wrote:
People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Actually the US implemented a ban on all non-US citizens residents coming from the EU/EEA/Schengen area back in March; that rule still has not been lifted.

I’m very aware. I am saying that if that ban was lifted Americans would likely still not be allowed into the EU. Retaliation is not the primary factor, it’s safety.
 
MIflyer12
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:55 pm

Cubsrule wrote:
There’s next to no O&D from those small northeast markets to PHL and not a heck of a lot of O&D to places better served from PHL (nobody is flying ITH-PHL-PIT or AVP-PHL-BOS). So why not increase service to the larger hub?


That is my observation: they're shrinking PHL to grow CLT even though - unlike EWR - PHL isn't capacity-constrained.
 
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LotsaRunway
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:57 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:
enilria wrote:
15 departures moved out of PHL. I wonder what the logic is? Congestion is no longer an issue.
**AA ABE-CLT OCT 3>4[3] NOV 3>4[3] DEC 3>4[3] JAN 3>4[3] FEB 3>4[3] MAR 3>4[3] APR 3>4[3] MAY 3>4[2]
**AA ABE-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.0]
**AA AVP-CLT OCT 4>5[4] NOV 3>4[4] DEC 3>4[4] JAN 3>4[4] FEB 3>4[4] MAR 3>4[4] APR 4>5[4] MAY 4>5[2]
**AA AVP-PHL SEP 3>0[3] OCT 4>0[3] NOV 4>0[3] DEC 4>0[3] JAN 4>0[3] FEB 4>0[3] MAR 4>0[3] APR 4>0[3] MAY 4>0[0.1]
*AA BDA-JFK SEP 0.7>0[1.0] OCT 1.0>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0.5[1.0]
AA BDA-MIA SEP 0>0.7[1.0] OCT 0.8>1.0[1.0]
AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]
**AA CLT-HVN SEP 0>1.4[0.1] OCT 0>1.8[0.1] NOV 0>1.9[0.2] DEC 0>1.9[0.1] JAN 0>1.8[0.1] FEB 0>1.9[0.2] MAR 0>1.9[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
**AA CLT-ITH SEP 0.1>1.5[0] OCT 0.2>2[0.1] NOV 0.1>2[0.2] DEC 0.1>2[0.1] JAN 0.2>2[0.1] FEB 0.1>2[0.2] MAR 0.1>2[0.1] APR 0>2[0.1] MAY 0>2[0.0]
AA CLT-OKC SEP 2>3[3] OCT 2>3[3]
AA DFW-FAT APR 5>4[3] MAY 5>4[1.9]
**AA HVN-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[3] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[1.6] FEB 3>0[1.8] MAR 3>0[2] APR 3>0[2] MAY 3>0[0.7]
**AA ITH-PHL SEP 3>0.5[3] OCT 3>0[3] NOV 3>0[4] DEC 3>0[3] JAN 3>0[3] FEB 3>0[3] MAR 3>0[3] APR 2>0[3] MAY 2>0[0.7]
AA LAX-SJD JAN 1.2>1.9[0.9] FEB 1.0>1.9[0.9] MAR 1.6>2[1.0]
AA MIA-STT NOV 2.4>3.0[2.1]
**AA OKC-PHL SEP 1.5>0[0.9] OCT 1.8>0[1.0] NOV 1.0>0[1.0] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[1.0] FEB 1.0>0[1.0] MAR 1.0>0[1.0] APR 1.0>0[1.0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
**AA PHL-SAT SEP 0.7>0[0] OCT 1.0>0[0] NOV 1.0>0[0.9] DEC 1.0>0[1.0] JAN 1.0>0[0.3] FEB 1.0>0[0] MAR 1.0>0[0] APR 1.0>0[0] MAY 1.0>0[0]
AA PHL-STT NOV 0.4>1.0[0.4]


OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?

I believe there are several factors being used by AA to make these decisions. Most of the cities being shifted have low O&D with PHL and can be connected at lower cost at CLT. Since CLT is a larger hub, it probably increases connecting options. I’m sure AA knows the prevailing connecting options for each of these cities and are making sure those needs are being met. From a flyers perspective, connecting in PHL in a small RJ is a gamble during bad weather seasons. RJ are the first to be delayed and cancelled when the going gets tough. When ERI shifted from PHL to CLT, reliability went up. What I don’t quite get is why a single flight to PHL isn’t kept to meet international flights or to fill an O&D need. Same thing with UA shifting flights from EWR to IAD. Maybe there just isn’t enough of a predicted upside.
 
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 2:59 pm

Is the anticipation that whatever traffic there is on AA from those smaller Northeastern markets will be leisure-oriented to Florida and other warm weather destinations, so let's drive the cost down? (Yes, I know about the current surge in COVID cases in the Sunshine State.)
 
ZazuPIT
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:04 pm

I can't say that I'm surprised on the cuts based on the huge spikes in COVID-19 cases in the U.S. I always thought people were being way too optimistic that travel would return in August. I suspect we will start to see more reversals and cuts since we (U.S.) cannot get our act together as a nation on this.
 
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:08 pm

International travel is toast because COVID will be non stop until November. Also, I've said over and over again if the $600 Federal kicker into Unemployment Insurance goes away, add in the nonstop media porn panic and schools possibly re-opening and September will look more like April and May.
 
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enilria
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:09 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:

OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?

It is a very Delta style move. I think PHL without Transatlantic is a weak hub and CLT is the gateway to Florida which has been doing better.
tlhgator wrote:
enilria wrote:
FAQ


AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]

This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?

Nice catch. I hate tags. Interesting move.
knope2001 wrote:
Thanks as always, Enilria!

enilria wrote:
Huge cut for Spirit


These seem kind of ominous because these cuts are coming only a few weeks out -- not a good sign. Spirit has appeared to be as stable, confident and bullish as anyone can be in the current environment.

Mixed among the cuts there are roughly five dozen city pairs essentially being suspended for August. Not all (such as some of the MRY markets) were until now planned to run daily through August, but many were. The fully-suspended city pairs don't seem to be especially focused on one area versus another -- stations with most suspended city pairs include BWI, MSY, DTW, AUS, MCO, CUN, MYR, BNA. Reduced-flying markets are all over the map as well -- no obvious "demand to X is tanking but Y and Z seem okay" patterns.

Makes you wonder if what Spirit appears to be seeing will show up in the next few weeks for other carriers.

I agree very ominous
 
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klm617
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:11 pm

AA CLT-FNT SEP 1.9>3[1.8] OCT 2>3[2] NOV 2>3[1.9] DEC 2>3[1.9] JAN 2>3[2] FEB 2>3[2] MAR 2>3[2] APR 2>3[2] MAY 2>3[1.0]

We are already seeing the growth opportunities for other carriers that I had hoped for that Delta created by ending Flint service American Airlines going three daily on CLT-FNT is evidence of that to pick up the slack for the Florida connections.
Last edited by klm617 on Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Chuska
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:13 pm

tlhgator wrote:
enilria wrote:
FAQ
AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]
This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?


I suspect that is a SEA-ATL-CHS-SEA routing.

This is riverting back to a tag on, AS407 CHS-ATL-SEA, AS404 SEA-ATL-CHS. The CHS-SEA nonstop is going away, again.
 
Chuska
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:18 pm

KG AIA-DEN OCT 3>1.7[1.7] NOV 3>1.7[1.7] DEC 3>1.7[1.7]
KG CVN-DEN NOV 1.7>0[0] DEC 1.7>0[0]
KG DEN-TEX AUG 1.0>2[1.0] SEP 0.3>1.3[1.0] OCT 0>1.0[0.5]
KG MSP-TVF NOV 1.7>0[0] DEC 1.7>0[0]


Except for DEN-TEX, these are all EAS routes. None of them should be changing, must be a misfile.
 
clrd4t8koff
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:21 pm

panamair wrote:
enilria wrote:
People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Actually the US implemented a ban on all non-US citizens residents coming from the EU/EEA/Schengen area back in March; that rule still has not been lifted.


Thank you for this. So many arrogant posters with their schadenfreude attitudes who think the EU was the one who blocked US citizens, when in fact the US was the one who instituted the initial ban (that's never been lifted or proposed to be lifted) back in the Spring.

*Do not interpret my post as a defense for the poor job we're doing here in the US managing the virus. But there's no need to kick an ally while we're down. It's not like there weren't several countries in Europe who struggled with the virus also. Not everyone can be New Zealand!
 
MrPeanut
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUCa

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:27 pm

MIflyer12 wrote:
OKC and SAT cuts I understand - they can aggregate traffic at the larger/closer/more route frequency DFW hub.

ABE, AVP, HVN, ITH are more of head-scratchers: PHL is the close hub. This is going to be worth watching over time: Has AA chosen to prioritize CLT over PHL?


Yes. AA already stated this. It’s all about profitability now. It’s no longer about filling in gaps on a map if it’s not profitable. AA will be prioritizing the DFW and CLT hubs for domestic routes. As a percentage of total available domestic network seats, DFW and CLT will be increasing at the expense of the other hubs.
 
freakyrat
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:28 pm

DL ATL-SBN 1 >3 (4) AUG DL SBN-ATL 1 >3 (4) AUG
 
Speech99
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:34 pm

tlhgator wrote:
enilria wrote:
FAQ


AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]

This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?


I had to read it twice, but Boeimg was the first thing that came to mind. That contract must be gold!
 
alfa164
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:50 pm

Speech99 wrote:
tlhgator wrote:
enilria wrote:
FAQ
AS ATL-CHS AUG 0>1.0[0]
This is a rather odd ball route for AS to begin flying. Possibly a way to Keep the Boeing traffic moving between SC and WA?

I had to read it twice, but Boeimg was the first thing that came to mind. That contract must be gold!


It is SEA-ATL-CHS-ATL-SEA - a tag-on from ATL-CHS.
I'm going to have a smokin' hot body again!
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sunking737
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 3:54 pm

At this point with the virus, and traveling public, should we even be surprised at any cuts from any airline.
"Don't believe it unless its parked on the ramp, or printed in the schedule...SUBJECT TO CHANGE"

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tphuang
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 4:33 pm

onwFan wrote:
aerace wrote:
SAT out of PHL was inconsistent from the jump--seasonal to year-round to seasonal to weekends to year-round to removed completely. If memory serves right, this route was a casualty of MAX route reductions, meanwhile AUS got beefed up to 3x a day. AVP and ABE are drives away, and actually have more pax funneling through CLT anyways so why not just bulk them up. HVN and ITH are definitely confusing. I guess maybe AA is cutting their losses now, and when traffic rebounds they consider re-adding in the future? Similar to what they had done during the merger consolidation (like Halifax for instance).

Also to note, PHL lost Erie and is also losing Williamsport, so maybe this is a strategy to get rid of jet flights that are close-ish to PHL? What the reason would be I have no idea.

I also don’t understand why they seem to be cutting spokes from PHL - this would only weaken any advantage that PHL had as a TATL hub (not sure when that will be). Unless the traffic was not mostly TATL or to the NE from these places, but rather to places better served through CLT. I wonder if HVN and ITH being college towns have anything to do with this - maybe most students prefer to take bus vs flights, there is simply not enough traffic to fill flights to a smaller hub?


They've made it abundantly clear that getting out of this debt load can only be achieved through DFW and CLT. Everything else will get significant cuts. They haven't exactly hid this from anyone.
 
seat1a
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 4:39 pm

Midwestindy wrote:
knope2001 wrote:
Thanks as always, Enilria!

enilria wrote:
Huge cut for Spirit


These seem kind of ominous because these cuts are coming only a few weeks out -- not a good sign. Spirit has appeared to be as stable, confident and bullish as anyone can be in the current environment.

Mixed among the cuts there are roughly five dozen city pairs essentially being suspended for August. Not all (such as some of the MRY markets) were until now planned to run daily through August, but many were. The fully-suspended city pairs don't seem to be especially focused on one area versus another -- stations with most suspended city pairs include BWI, MSY, DTW, AUS, MCO, CUN, MYR, BNA. Reduced-flying markets are all over the map as well -- no obvious "demand to X is tanking but Y and Z seem okay" patterns.

Makes you wonder if what Spirit appears to be seeing will show up in the next few weeks for other carriers.


NK was extremely aggressive in adding capacity, FLL was +30% yoy & MCO was +20% yoy. Not saying demand isn't decreasing, but given how enormous their schedule was, I wouldn't be very concerned.
Image


So am I reading this gauge correctly that HA remains very optimistic (82%) about demand? Is that just for neighbor island traffic? Seems like international is non-existent at this point for them. Thoughts?
 
Cubsrule
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 4:49 pm

seat1a wrote:
Midwestindy wrote:
knope2001 wrote:
Thanks as always, Enilria!



These seem kind of ominous because these cuts are coming only a few weeks out -- not a good sign. Spirit has appeared to be as stable, confident and bullish as anyone can be in the current environment.

Mixed among the cuts there are roughly five dozen city pairs essentially being suspended for August. Not all (such as some of the MRY markets) were until now planned to run daily through August, but many were. The fully-suspended city pairs don't seem to be especially focused on one area versus another -- stations with most suspended city pairs include BWI, MSY, DTW, AUS, MCO, CUN, MYR, BNA. Reduced-flying markets are all over the map as well -- no obvious "demand to X is tanking but Y and Z seem okay" patterns.

Makes you wonder if what Spirit appears to be seeing will show up in the next few weeks for other carriers.


NK was extremely aggressive in adding capacity, FLL was +30% yoy & MCO was +20% yoy. Not saying demand isn't decreasing, but given how enormous their schedule was, I wouldn't be very concerned.
Image


So am I reading this gauge correctly that HA remains very optimistic (82%) about demand? Is that just for neighbor island traffic? Seems like international is non-existent at this point for them. Thoughts?


Remember that it’s a measure of seats, not ASMs, and HA has a ton of interisland seats. With Hawaii having pretty solid COVID numbers based on its strategy of isolating itself and much interisland demand coming from Hawaiians, not tourists, there’s no reason interisland shouldn’t come most of the way back.
I can't decide whether I miss the tulip or the bowling shoe more
 
TW870
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 5:04 pm

enilria wrote:
chonetsao wrote:
Transatlantic traffic is done for 2020. More cut for August and September ahead, as US has no intention to relax EU travel ban yet. I worry this may last until March 2021, that would be a disaster. I do hope the travel ban can be relaxed a little bit by middle of August so at least airlines can savage the remaining of winter season.

People keep saying that, but I think it has more to do with the U.S. infection rate making EU countries unwilling to allow entry. There are probably 30+ countries not allowing Americans where there is no reverse ban.


Thank you as always enilria, and I agree completely with the point you make here. We might have seen some build back on the Atlantic, but now that the US is a total basket case (15,000 new cases in Florida alone yesterday; test results take at least a week so there is zilch tracking) basically nothing can come back.

A related question is why is DL still showing ATL-FRA and JFK-MXP restarting in August. What is the purpose of those flights with the travel bans still in effect? Off-line Lufthansa/Alitalia connections for essential travel from Eastern and Southern Europe?

I also agree with other posters that in the current environment there will be more cuts in US domestic, as the value prospect of leisure travel to Florida, Texas, Los Angeles, etc., is basically zero given the intensity of the virus and corresponding lack of amenities for tourists. And obviously business travel is out of the question.
 
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NWAESC
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:AFTERMATH;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 5:08 pm

TW870 wrote:
A related question is why is DL still showing ATL-FRA and JFK-MXP restarting in August. What is the purpose of those flights with the travel bans still in effect? Off-line Lufthansa/Alitalia connections for essential travel from Eastern and Southern Europe?


Likely fueled by cargo volume(s).
"Nothing ever happens here, " I said. "I just wait."
 
F27500
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 5:10 pm

Wow very interesting to see HVN-PHL being discontinued in facor of 2x daily HVN-CLT ... cool, actually. No one will miss PHL.
 
jmscsc
Posts: 78
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2016 1:09 pm

Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 6:01 pm

HNLSLCPDX wrote:
jmscsc wrote:
DLASFlyer wrote:
Flown Delta to Edmonton many times. That will be a big hole in the network if permanent.


I've also flown that route and would agree with you.

They’ll still have YEG as part of their network with the codeshare with WS, just getting there won’t be as easy and convenient.



I was wondering if this route might be switched over to WS. That is, WS flying MSP - YEG.
 
jmscsc
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Re: OAG Changes 7/12/2020:EVOLUTION;NK Cuts Aug;AA Reshapes PHL;B6 LAX Swap;DL Closes YEG;EI Out of MSP;DE Cuts SEA-MUC

Sun Jul 12, 2020 6:04 pm

freakyrat wrote:
DL ATL-SBN 1 >3 (4) AUG DL SBN-ATL 1 >3 (4) AUG


As a DL flyer who lives in SBN I'm glad to see the ATL flights come back. For the last two months we've only had one DL flight a day to DTW and it was the first of the day to DTW and the last back to SBN. It was not convenient. I fly the ATL flight next week.

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