Without trying to end up sounding political, but if we want an tourism industry left in New Zealand (including airlines).
We can’t keep going jumping alert levels like this, even if this is just an two week shutdown. It will be engough to push some smaller operators out of bussines.
I get that COVID-19 isn’t an great thing, but the more we let it control us the more damage it will cause the industry.
The trouble I see is that no country in the world has managed to maintain a suppression regime that does not involve high loss of life
in parallel with hugely reduced economic activity the result of massive social distancing, either mandated, or voluntarily imposed for self preservation.
The return from measures is not proportional. If you can get to elimination, the costs, both social and economic, of maintaining it, and even reestablishing it, as we are going through at the moment, are very much less then stumbling along with the virus simultaneously killing economic performance and people. You can put a lot of effort towards reducing transmission, but anything short of elimination is missing the big reward. As shown in Victoria, and elsewhere the virus needs so little opportunity to create a health, and therefore economic emergency. Better to aim higher and waste some clearance.
Unfortunately the effects of the virus are not evenly spread in any society. For many it will be a mild inconvenience, for some, a wonderful opportunity, and some, like those involved in tourism and passenger aviation, devastating. I hope our society handles these people with a lot of compassion whilst they make the considerable adjustments to their lives.