Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
FluidFlow wrote:RDUDDJI wrote:FluidFlow wrote:
Me neither, history just throws a wide shadow over fast tracked vaccines. Our safe vaccines we use daily, which I also got, developed and improved over decades and are proven safe. New vaccines take years to study long term effects and need years to get approval and to be labeled safe.
On the other side here we have two fast tracked attempts:
https://www.healthing.ca/diseases-and-conditions/coronavirus/cautionary-tales-from-u-s-history-on-rushing-vaccines
Both examples were over forty years ago. Both of those were due to manufacturing issues (not issues with the vaccine itself). Medicine and Quality Control have come a long way since the 1970's. Between the two issues you reference, 5 people died and 51 were paralyzed, but ultimately polio was eradicated. Sad for sure, but millions (billions?) more would have suffered polio if the work had been abandoned.
Science > politics.
When Politics wants to speed up science bad stuff happens. The two are just an example. The space shuttle tragedies are another one. The need and will to do it fast instead of right can kill people. It takes years to make sure there are no long term effects. Not 6 months.
JannEejit wrote:So I think this could use a thread of it own ?
Given the exciting news yesterday and the rallying of airline share prices because of it. Is the widely predicted 2023-24 passenger recovery estimation now (or soon to be) in an 'all bets are off' situation ? I realise we have a little way to go here, but are we about to witness an upsurge in flight bookings and holidays for spring/summer 2021 ! Is anyone aware of any examples thus far ?
Hey, and here's something to ponder, just for fun, any airline bosses having second thoughts about retiring those 747's so soon ?
FluidFlow wrote:RDUDDJI wrote:FluidFlow wrote:
Me neither, history just throws a wide shadow over fast tracked vaccines. Our safe vaccines we use daily, which I also got, developed and improved over decades and are proven safe. New vaccines take years to study long term effects and need years to get approval and to be labeled safe.
On the other side here we have two fast tracked attempts:
https://www.healthing.ca/diseases-and-conditions/coronavirus/cautionary-tales-from-u-s-history-on-rushing-vaccines
Both examples were over forty years ago. Both of those were due to manufacturing issues (not issues with the vaccine itself). Medicine and Quality Control have come a long way since the 1970's. Between the two issues you reference, 5 people died and 51 were paralyzed, but ultimately polio was eradicated. Sad for sure, but millions (billions?) more would have suffered polio if the work had been abandoned.
Science > politics.
When Politics wants to speed up science bad stuff happens. The two are just an example. The space shuttle tragedies are another one. The need and will to do it fast instead of right can kill people. It takes years to make sure there are no long term effects. Not 6 months.
joeblow10 wrote:FluidFlow wrote:RDUDDJI wrote:
Both examples were over forty years ago. Both of those were due to manufacturing issues (not issues with the vaccine itself). Medicine and Quality Control have come a long way since the 1970's. Between the two issues you reference, 5 people died and 51 were paralyzed, but ultimately polio was eradicated. Sad for sure, but millions (billions?) more would have suffered polio if the work had been abandoned.
Science > politics.
When Politics wants to speed up science bad stuff happens. The two are just an example. The space shuttle tragedies are another one. The need and will to do it fast instead of right can kill people. It takes years to make sure there are no long term effects. Not 6 months.
Completely agreed - however, unless the world decides to “live with it” for the foreseeable next few years, we’re just going to have to take that risk. The cycle of lockdowns isn’t healthy for anyone, and the longer it goes on the longer the recovery will take
RDUDDJI wrote:FluidFlow wrote:RDUDDJI wrote:
Both examples were over forty years ago. Both of those were due to manufacturing issues (not issues with the vaccine itself). Medicine and Quality Control have come a long way since the 1970's. Between the two issues you reference, 5 people died and 51 were paralyzed, but ultimately polio was eradicated. Sad for sure, but millions (billions?) more would have suffered polio if the work had been abandoned.
Science > politics.
When Politics wants to speed up science bad stuff happens. The two are just an example. The space shuttle tragedies are another one. The need and will to do it fast instead of right can kill people. It takes years to make sure there are no long term effects. Not 6 months.
Not necessarily.
Firstly, pharma companies aren't government controlled, they're regulated by the Gov't (at least in the US). They are free to do what their scientists tell them is correct on a timeline that they dictate (and is approved by FDA). In this case Pfizer did not take any gov't money to do the R&D. Companies have an interest in getting it right too, otherwise they get sued down the road.
Secondly, it hasn't been approved yet. They haven't even released the trial data yet. We can argue all we want about it, but it ain't done yet.
Thirdly, speed and doing it right are not mutually exclusive. There are plenty of examples of where they've worked quite well together (Apollo 13 is a good example to go along with your space analogies).
JannEejit wrote:So I think this could use a thread of it own ?
Given the exciting news yesterday and the rallying of airline share prices because of it. Is the widely predicted 2023-24 passenger recovery estimation now (or soon to be) in an 'all bets are off' situation ? I realise we have a little way to go here, but are we about to witness an upsurge in flight bookings and holidays for spring/summer 2021 ! Is anyone aware of any examples thus far ?
Hey, and here's something to ponder, just for fun, any airline bosses having second thoughts about retiring those 747's so soon ?
travaz wrote:I am going to get vaccinated. I retired 30 days ago and want to travel. I am 70 but have no underlying health issues. IMHO lockdowns only prolong the spread. As soon as the restrictions ease up the cases rise. I have traveled 2 times since the virus took hold and feel pretty safe doing so. The development of therapeutics to help stem the severity of the virus could also play an important part in the debate. Not being an expert in Airline operations, I see a long road to pre covid numbers. The recall of employees, training to regain currency, maintenance of stored aircraft. I think 2022 is a realistic goal.
Add info
Acey559 wrote:ALPA sent us an email last week effectively saying that, barring any FAA relaxations, we cannot get the vaccine as it voids our medical. More data will be needed before the feds will give it their blessing, which can take years.
dcajet wrote:Air Canada will return to EZE & SCL effective Dec 10. 5x w. with the 787-9, with traffic rights on all segments.
AC092 YYZ 22:00 SCL 10:20+1
AC092 SCL12:00 EZE 13:55
AC093 EZE 17:00 SCL 19:10
AC093 SCL 20:55 YYZ 05:30+1
davidjohnson6 wrote:Acey559 wrote:ALPA sent us an email last week effectively saying that, barring any FAA relaxations, we cannot get the vaccine as it voids our medical. More data will be needed before the feds will give it their blessing, which can take years.
In normal circumstances, I agree it would take years before everything is signed off. However, unless nasty side effects come to light, I do not think the FDA / FAA will take years before pilots are approved to have the Covid vaccine - political pressure will be too great if things move slowly
descl wrote:dcajet wrote:Air Canada will return to EZE & SCL effective Dec 10. 5x w. with the 787-9, with traffic rights on all segments.
AC092 YYZ 22:00 SCL 10:20+1
AC092 SCL12:00 EZE 13:55
AC093 EZE 17:00 SCL 19:10
AC093 SCL 20:55 YYZ 05:30+1
Not available on aircanada.com nor google flights until mid january, then only 3x week, which looks much more reasonable.
Madrid, 12 de noviembre de 2020
Iberia afronta los próximos meses con una apuesta clara por recuperar vuelos y destinos para contribuir a la recuperación económica y, poco a poco, empezar a volver a la normalidad en entornos seguros.
Para lograrlo, la aerolínea vuelve a poner el acento en América Latina y, para los meses de noviembre y diciembre, ha diseñado un programa que, ya sea a través de vuelos especiales o regulares, le permite operar en 18 destinos de 15 países en América Latina y hasta 80 frecuencias semanales.
Estos son los países con los crecimientos de Iberia más relevantes en diciembre*:
Argentina, operará hasta seis vuelos semanales con Buenos Aires
Brasil, retoma sus vuelos a Río de Janeiro con tres frecuencias semanales a las que se suman otras tres con Sao Paulo
Colombia, incrementa su oferta con Bogotá hasta cuatro frecuencias semanales y, en diciembre, operará una frecuencia semanal con Cali y otra con Medellín
En Ciudad de México y Santiago de Chile, ha programado ya hasta un vuelo diario para diciembre
En Quito y en la ruta Ciudad de Guatemala – San Salvador, operará hasta cinco frecuencias semanales respectivamente
Y en República Dominica crece hasta 10 frecuencias semanales -tres más que antes de la pandemia- en diciembre
En definitiva, Iberia recupera su actividad en todos los países de América Latina excepto Venezuela, donde la aerolínea regresará también una vez que se levanten las restricciones.
ojjunior wrote:
FlyingElvii wrote:This one is pretty simple.
If things are shut down again, especially federally, and no one is allowed to do business, the airline business as we now know it will not survive.
Biden Covid advisor says U.S. lockdown of 4 to 6 weeks could control pandemic and revive economy
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/biden-c ... onomy.html
FlyingElvii wrote:This one is pretty simple.
If things are shut down again, especially federally, and no one is allowed to do business, the airline business as we now know it will not survive.
Biden Covid advisor says U.S. lockdown of 4 to 6 weeks could control pandemic and revive economy
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/biden-c ... onomy.html
N62NA wrote:This is going to do a LOT of harm. California, Oregon and Washington state are putting in a 14 day "self-quarantine" for anyone arriving from outside their respective states.
https://ktla.com/news/california/califo ... -19-cases/
Visitors and returning residents should practice self-quarantine for 14 days after arriving in California, limiting their interactions to people only in their immediate households to curb the spread of the virus, officials said.
santi319 wrote:FlyingElvii wrote:This one is pretty simple.
If things are shut down again, especially federally, and no one is allowed to do business, the airline business as we now know it will not survive.
Biden Covid advisor says U.S. lockdown of 4 to 6 weeks could control pandemic and revive economy
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/biden-c ... onomy.html
Not if they actually do a complete shutdown! Last time was a “shutdown” but not really.
Literally freeze the economy for 4 weeks including airlines. Half-arsing is just not working...
N62NA wrote:This is going to do a LOT of harm. California, Oregon and Washington state are putting in a 14 day "self-quarantine" for anyone arriving from outside their respective states.
https://ktla.com/news/california/califo ... -19-cases/
Visitors and returning residents should practice self-quarantine for 14 days after arriving in California, limiting their interactions to people only in their immediate households to curb the spread of the virus, officials said.
DeltaRules wrote:80 gates at MCO are walled off due to the lack of need for FIS. All other airlines are being processed at the 90 gates. COPA & Avianca get towed to depart from Airside 1. AM & Y4 are processed and depart from Airside 4's 90 gates.I flew through ATL recently and it was interesting to see the North end of Concourse C still completely dark with the gates being used to hardstand DL jets. I didn't get over to E, but it seems like it's partially closed as well.
All this, of course, is due to COVID. Are there any other notable terminals which are still shut down due to the pandemic?
User001 wrote:Closed in the UK
T3 and 4 at LHR
T2 and 3 at MAN
NQY is closed to pax ops
One of the LGW terminals but forget if its North or South
One if the satellites at STN is also closed.
Many airports in the UK have reduced hours too.
DTWLAX wrote:User001 wrote:Closed in the UK
T3 and 4 at LHR
T2 and 3 at MAN
NQY is closed to pax ops
One of the LGW terminals but forget if its North or South
One if the satellites at STN is also closed.
Many airports in the UK have reduced hours too.
If T3 and T4 are closed at LHR, which terminal are the DL and VS flights operating from?
User001 wrote:Closed in the UK
T3 and 4 at LHR
T2 and 3 at MAN
NQY is closed to pax ops
One of the LGW terminals but forget if its North or South
One if the satellites at STN is also closed.
Many airports in the UK have reduced hours too.