Looks like they are doubling down on South America and JFK in general. I bet they will reverse themselves on LAX-GRU.
Agreed, I’ve always said that I believe LAXGRU cancelation would be one of the first to be reversed. Huge local market and South America is seeing a much more quick recovery in travel.
The JFK-Colombia adds are especially interesting because it is on top of a 50% boost in Miami-Colombia flying, plus AA is using widebodies on MIABOG again and, for the first time, on MIAMDE. Curious to see if AA maybe adds another station or two in Colombia.
I could see AA adding LAX-GRU back a few days a week, but not anytime soon. Between Brazil's economic situation and COVID, there's not enough demand to warrant a long, thin route like that, but of the suspended long hauls out of LAX on AA, I think this one has a higher probability of returning. As for HKG, while AA has said it wants to bring it back eventually from LAX, it is very unlikely. The dynamics of business demand to HKG was changing quickly before the pandemic and businesses, though not in mass, are relocating out of HKG. LAX's role as a TPAC gateway to Asia for AA is largely over.
Would be awesome to see AA add more South America from JFK. AA has flown JFK-BOG for a time in the 1990s but has not re-entered the market since. It seems US carriers who have tried JFK to Colombia (DL being the other) have struggled to make it work. B6 does well with Cartagena because tourism has really picked up there, prior to the pandemic. It will be interesting if AA adds JFK-SCL. They had the market to themselves when LAN/LATAM were part of oneworld, and that flight would go out full but it is a long, thin market, and anything bigger than a 787-8 for AA would be too much plane for that. Right now, JFK isn't a 787 station though I suppose they could just rotate one in from a hub (ORD, DFW) when traffic rebounds. AA is using widebodies on MIA-BOG and MIA-MDE because they have plenty of spare ones right now and the cargo market is big.