tphuang wrote:Midwestindy wrote:I think we are starting to get answers to AA's future in NYC/LAX:
In NYC, domestically they are already bringing back LGA-BNA/CMH/CLE/IND/STL/RDU, JFK-AUS, & adding JFK-FLL, plus new international flying to TLV/ATH/BOG/PLS/SCL/MDE/CLO/UVF
In LAX, they are bringing(or already brought) back LAX-DEN/SLC/IAH/DRO, routes that traditionally did not perform well for AA, & adding LAX-CUN/GJT/MSO/FLL
The only question mark in my opinion at this point is how much domestic flying will be retained from JFK, given they are already bringing back significant chunks of LGA & LAX[
I think you are overestimating some of these moves. A lot of these adds are opportunistic adds into leisure/VFR markets where yields are not satisfactory in a normal environment vs a more business oriented route. Once traditional routes start generating higher yield, these routes will be gone. For example, they have the least competitive aircraft in the NYC-BOG market which is now overly saturated with capacity. And NYC-MDE/CLO have never worked for an US side carrier. JFK-PLS/VFR are both summer Sat-only route. There is a good chance they never even take off. FLL stuff are just retaliatory stuff that will go away after a while. Airlines are trying really hard at the moment to find routes with any semblance of demand. A lot of this is just educated guesses on where demand will be stronger in summer time.
Let us not be so dismissive of these developments. The old narrative espoused that AA should retreat and cut back to only 40 flights from JFK on a permanent basis needs to be discontinued.
Furthermore the so called business oriented routes won’t be back for a few years to come anyway. What must also be realized is that AA has a very strong traditional presence in every one of the cities identified so it’s not like they have to open a new station or destination. Quite frankly they should have operated these routes long ago and they probably gave up too easily in the past.
Suddenly the destinations to the Caribbean and South America look quite robust.
SXM loaded but no one notices
STT loaded but no one notices
AUA from La Guardia
NAS from La Guardia
I predict that more will be added as well in time to come
SKB resumption from last year
GCM resumption from last year
And if B6 decides to add MIA Caribbean to SDQ/PAP/SJU/KIN expect AA to do likewise from JFK but who am I to have a clue.
DL might be the one marginalized when it’s all done.