Midwestindy wrote:tphuang wrote:3. Unclear which, if any, routes are being dropped
Why would airlines be dropping routes right now? They can keep advertising a big schedule, collect revenues and chop down schedule to what they actually want to operate 1 to 2 months out.
I mean there are countless of examples of airlines dropping routes during COVID
This is one right here:
https://thepointsguy.com/news/american- ... -airlines/
B6 can't drop JFK routes, but AA can, and you have argued they will.
Sure, but those are quite rare vs the number of routes airlines have added. All the airlines have been advertising a much larger schedule/routes than they will eventually settle down on. At the moment, you don't get a lot of benefits from dropping routes. JetBlue has added well over 100 routes by this point since pandemic hit and I can't remember a single route that they have officially and permanently discontinued aside from the LGB closure. At some point, they and other airlines will have to start dropping routes.
At some point when demand and booking curves settle down a little more and airlines know exactly what they want their post-COVID network to look like, then they will probably start chopping routes/frequencies. But until then, there is little incentive for them to drop routes, but plenty of incentives for them to keep advertising routes they might not bring back.