Sounds like the MAX8 ETOPS birds will be focused only on Hawaii around AUG. Then the 7378NG ETOPS will spend there time bouncing between seasonal shifts. Extra Hawaii flying during the Summertime and Caribbean/Mexico and Central America in the winter.
This will be great for WN going forward and horrible for Hawaiian in the future.
With the MAX8 and MAX7 Etops finally coming on line it also sounds like 6 more permanent and seasonal Hawaii gateway cities in the near future.
So AFTER LGB, you are saying that SWA is going to serve at least 6 more markets to Hawai’i? I can see PHX and LAS, but 4 more, I am skeptical
Yes. It sounds like WN might be doubling down on the 50th state during it's 50th anniversary. WN had a massive plan for launching Hawaii but the MAX8 ground stalled those plans. The 8NG Etops and the MAX8 Etops will give WN almost 55 birds it can throw at Hawaii. Before you say no way. Remember WN currently has about 70 or so Idle 7377 in long term storage. They have a plethora of aircraft they can use to free up the NG/MAX8 Etops for opportunity to send a massive leisure marketshare grab for West coast to Hawaii.
Hawaiian Air financial situation will prevent it from being able to defend itself against anyone who wants to ramp up service. AlaskaAir is also looking to bolster their investment flying to Hawaii.
Covid fallout has left HNL with ample gate space for the first time in history. WN knows it's now or never to strike and chase that revenue stream with the hopes Covid will die down with the vaccine roll out.
LGB-HNL I've heard has already passed the bookable break even point even before the first flight has flown. Hence the reason they Added LGB-OGG.
Will all the new cities be flown year round? Probably not but I can see half as seasonal adds.
I now think WN is done adding additional new dots with the exception of JFK IF they decide to go after the Slots B6/AA must surrender.
The MAX8 puts Places like GEG,BOI,ABQ,TUS and SLC all within seasonal range without payload restrictions.
Year round service I can see PDX,PHX,LAS,ONT and BUR.
DEN and SNA will depend on the MAX7 coming online with ETOPS.
WN technology advances should also make it available to finally operate Red Eyes from Hawaii.
I honestly think Hawaii is going to be the lead bird to grown the new stream of revenue plan for the summer and fall of 2021.