SANFan wrote:AC4500 wrote:SANFan wrote:I would expect SAN-DCA for sure but I'm doubtful about OAK. But how about SJC-DCA? Wouldn't that make much more sense for AS?
Transcon routes from SJC have generally not performed very well for most airlines, including AS. SAN-DCA seems more likely IMO. Unless they would want to cut PDX-DCA or one of their two SEA-DCA flights, AS would have to gain an extra DCA exemption slot in order to launch this route (unless the DCA perimeter rules are going away).
First remember that AS, or any airline, may not be limited to only 1 choice for an exemption slot IF there should be another hearing, or certainly as you suggest, the perimeter rules just go away. In the last DOT hearing, AS applied for both PDX and SAN.
Second, I do agree that SJC doesn't have a very good track record with AS transcons (and with other cx as well come to think of it.) However, if comparing OAK and SJC, we know which is the larger and more important station for AS. That's all I was thinking with my comment. I would think WN would be the one carrier particularly interested in OAK-DCA.
And third, AS can not do anything with their existing slots (SEA and PDX) except where they are now; they are city-specific. So yes, AS would have to apply for SAN-DCA as a new slot if and when the opportunity should arise.
The guy who first mentioned OAK was suggesting that AS may start OAK-SAN, not OAK-DCA. That got misconstrued in subsequent threads.
Having said that, I still don’t understand why SJC has not done well on transcons. I feel like some of it kind of a self fulfilling prophecy. People drive to SFO because they don’t think that SJC has transcons or international flights. Thus, SJC ends up with fewer of those flights due to leakage to SFO.
By way of example, I’ve seen people on Facebook who live in San Jose posting how they are driving to SFO and spending the night near the airport to fly on AS to Cabo when they could have flown AS out of SJC to SJD.