June 2021 -June 2019
ATL - 6 - 8
MSP - 6 - 6
SLC - 3 - 3
DTW - 4 - 6
LGA - 3 - 6
CVG - Cut - 2
Total - 22 - 31
I had previously mentioned WN adding STL-CVG nonstop service as a possibility due to
(a) CVG being one of the top destinations without nonstop service from STL,
(b) the significant cuts that AA, UA, and WN have made on both STL-CHI and CHI-CVG nonstop service during the pandemic,
(c) fewer connecting options between STL and CVG than was the case prior to the COVID-19 pandemic,
(d) approximately 29% of the passengers traveling between STL and CVG connecting on airlines other than DL in 2019, and
(e) STL-CVG having higher PDEW's than STL-DSM/LIT/TUL/ICT prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.
WN would also probably be able to more easily fill STL-CVG nonstop flights than DL could due to
(a) WN likely to charge lower fares than DL did on the STL-CVG route,
(b) WN having a significant FF base in the STL market,
(c) the connecting opportunities that are there at STL on WN, and
(d) load factors being higher on WN STL-DSM/LIT/TUL/ICT nonstop flights than on DL STL-CVG nonstop flights in 2019 due to the significant amount of connecting traffic that WN had on its STL-DSM/LIT/TUL/ICT nonstop flights.
WN still has an advantage over DL in the STL market due to DL not serving its BOS, LAX, and SEA hubs nonstop from STL whereas WN currently has nonstop service to BOS and LAX from STL and WN has plans to resume STL-SEA nonstop service.
DL adding STL-BOS/LAX/SEA nonstop service are possibilities once demand recovers due to DL having nonstop service to BOS, LAX, and SEA from Midwestern cities other than DTW and MSP.