tphuang wrote:avi8 wrote:tphuang wrote:What airlines schedule out months out vs what they actually fly is quite different these days. DL simply does not have the planes necessary to fly the schedule they have in Q2 of next year. If they don't cut at CVG, they will need to cut elsewhere. My guess is that all these "adds" are just delaying the inevitable decision they need to make on which station to gut.
Delta has plenty of planes coming their way for narrowbody ops: A220s, A321s, and A321NEOs. I know they are also retiring aircraft but definitely not 1:1
IIRC from one of the DL fleet threads, DL will have somewhere around 100 fewer mainline aircraft by end of 2022 vs end of 2019. RJs are down by at least that ratio also. On top of that, they also have a huge backlog in their pilot training sims and hiring because so over 2000 took early outs and 1721 were displaced. Even compared to UA and AA, DL will take longer to get back to pre-COVID capacity level.
They can certainly bring back much of what they operated out of CVG pre-COVID. Or they could decide the resources are better used elsewhere and cancel the few non-hub/leisure/DCA routes like EWR/DEN they already brought back.
btw, I have no skin in this game. If CVG is brought back closer to pre-COVID size, that would mean certain other hubs/focus cities don't get those resources.
Many of the narrowbodies were much lower utilization (particularly MDs), I suspect DL can and will use the new A220s and A321s at a much higher utilization making the comparison of fewer aircraft total a bad comparison.