Revelation wrote:FlapOperator wrote:I think the 350F's future will be determined by Fedex. They are the single user who would legitimately make the 50 firm/50 options type initial order that would make the program a go. I doubt UPS under its current management, or any of the other US freight haulers want to tie into a new build freighter program of that scale.
Then it may be a while before we see the next new freighter model, because Boeing is happy to sell FX new 77F at good prices and FX is happy to buy them.
Yet https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FedEx_Express#Fleet suggests there are 50 or so MD-11s that will need to be replaced.
It certainly feels like a good time for Team A to be aggressive.
Team B keeps stepping all over its own dingus, the freighter market is cracking, and the A350 is an excellent product with room for growth.
Jon Ostrower hinted at a package of A350 improvements yet to be announced for A350F.
Things could line up in such a way that A350F becomes ready for service just about the time FX wants to begin replacing MD11 in earnest.
Who knows how things will turn out, but it'd be nice to see someone announce a new wide body freighter, be it Team A or Team B or both.
I think the price of oil will influence FX too - right now they are quite happy to take new B767Fs and B777Fs because the price of oil is at a manageable level. However, there is always a potential of oil prices to skyrocket in this volatile world.
It would be interesting to see if Airbus can gather sufficient customer orders, even if FX does not want the A350F right now....