Joyce also said given scheduling windows on routes like LAX and slot restricted airports like LHR the A380 which I believe has been fully written down (someone correct me if i'm wrong) would make money, obviously assuming good load factors. Sunrise would build slowly initially with the likes of LHR, still likely with an A380 via SIN and also non stop JFK, some have asked weather QF will still serve LAX-JFK when SYD-JFK happens, it doesn't make sense to keep JFK-LAX imo. LHR has massive demand though and keeping SIN-LHR makes sense.
That's in line with my thinking.
I see BA bringing theirs back myself and CZ, SQ, NH, most of the others much less likely imo, NH is an odd 1 with only 3 though
I thought CZ has kept at least one flying throughout COVID?
SQ said they were still doing (expensive!) interior refreshes on a dozen A380s and plan them to return to service when conditions allow, the other 7 are going to be retired ( ref: https://airwaysmag.com/airlines/sq-a380-fleet-revamp/
). I guess we'll see if business conditions allow for RTS, but they're investing as if they expect this to be so.
NH will be interesting to see. IMO it never made business sense to take 3 A380s just for beach trips, they were purchased in order to get Airbus to support their Skymark bid in bankruptcy. It'd be amazing to see a brand new A380 end up at the scrappers having never made a revenue flight. Might be the strangest thing ever in the history of aviation, and that's saying a lot.
Now they have 100 parked expensive inefficient jets that no one else ever wanted.
So you think Singapore, Qantas & BA never wanted them? Thats not the comments those airlines made.
They never wanted 100 of them.
Heck even MH and TG said they wanted them, although every knowledgeable observer knew they'd never make money operating them.
And of that last list, it is likely that around half won't return. It really is astounding how quickly COVID-19 has brought forward the shrinking of the fleet.
I think so too.
At least with the post-9/11 cull of the 747 classic and current cull of 744, the aircraft being retired had 20-30 or so years service before heading to the scrappers. They had a long and productive service life and weren't that far from the end anyway. With A380 it'll be 10-12 years, in some cases less. An amazing loss of value.
Yes, the trend was heading this way already, but the total fleet stand down meant the airlines had to look long and hard at A380's current and future prospects, and balance the cost of having to store their fleets, mothball crews and training regimes, then do the opposite to take them out of the desert, and the results were not good. Given the airlines were/are awash in red ink, booking a loss on the fleet made a lot of sense for several operators.
Too bad others did not get this memo considering the Superjumbo smashed 748 sales by 8:1.
Nice way to highlight that Airbus still can't get its act together with regard to freighters.
Pretty hollow 1.7:1 victory, given how much time, money and ego was involved in developing the A380.
It's kind of like claiming victory because there were more brontosaurus than tyrannosaurus rex when the great asteroid struck the earth, the end result is a lot of dead dinosaurs.