Singapore would bring huge economic benefits to Australia. They have talked about using Singapore as a hub to bring people back. For example, Singapore currently has a one way bubble with China. Chinese international students unable to get to Australia could use Singapore as a jumping point to get back to their studies. This without touching the sensitive political topics would be a brilliant idea. New Zealand should be doing the same if a direct bubble with China can't be achieved.
Singapore's case number has only been in the single digit I think. Anything above 5 would burst their bubble with Hong Kong.
Rarotonga would take Aussies' travel dollars away without being reciprocated. There is just no incentive for the government,
But it’s not all about economics, is it? Or at least, it shouldn’t be. Singapore, btw, had 17 new cases yesterday, and 31 today. Equivalent on a population basis to about 150 a day in Australia. I don’t think that Aus or NZ are ready for a bubble with that level of infection - far too risky.
Australia will do their own thing. They're a little less conservative than we are so I can see a bubble with SIN at some point prior to us having one.
If they do, I don't foresee it changing anything for us. The Tasman bubble was opened with this potentially happening at some point. NZ is just going to watch the status of Australia closely.
NZ and SIN won't form a bubble at all. SIN does not hold the same elimination strategy as we do. Irrelevant on whether their approach is right or wrong, working or not. The Labor government has ruled it out.
Apart from a few mino Pacific nations (IUE etc) I don't foresee any other bubbles or border reopening before Oct-Nov and that timeframe depends on our vaccination progress, so could easily go into 2022 and I'd put my money on this right now.
For me the great unknown and the most interesting question is what's next, when and how do we reopen to the world - it's a given it'll be Summer 2022 and beyond.
Countries like SIN will likely have an easier avenue into NZ but what does it look it?
Will it be country specific such as Singapore yes, Indo a blanket no, will there be vaccination requirement and will that only apply to certain groups visa type, regions etc, will it involve negative tests and again will that be region/visa specific, will it, or could it become detailed matrix such as visitor visa's can't have been in X region/country within the last 30 days other visitors must have vaccination certs and negative tests in this scenario.
It's hard to foresee much this early but one look at the UK and it does beg the question. If we complete what we say we're going to. Is 2022 game on?
But as it stands, I'm very grateful we have the Tasman Bubble, oh and the Cooks. I'm comfortable we leave it like that for another 6-9 months.