BlueBaller wrote:Dieuwer wrote:I am still skeptical about this route. The current COVID restrictions (e.g. double testing, forced waiting) will continue to deter many travelers.
That’s precisely the point. They’re CURRENT restrictions, not permanent. The timing of this route couldn’t be more ideal, considering the last year and a half.
LHR was up 74% compared to July 2020.
LHR was still down 80% compared to July 2019
What does that mean? The competition is nothing like what it was pre-pandemic, with far less people flying. But JetBlue has already planned conservatively and held off the BOS flying until next year, and will go subdaily on JFK in the fall. Not to mention only have to fill 134 seats. Travel between US/UK was already up tremendously before the quarantine rules started relaxing. Travel will continue to perform at a healthy rate due to:
U.K: Is currently 59% fully vaccinated
U.S: Is currently 50% fully vaccinated
LHRs best performing route in July was NY/JFK.
https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/ne ... 00531.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... acker.html
You're forgetting a major salient point: the US is currently closed to UK-originating passengers (same with most European countries). It's the other way round for US visitors to the UK providing they have been double vaccinated. Until this changes, loadings won't reach their full potential.
Also, as of this week 75% of the UK's adult population is now fully vaccinated.
I also wouldn't read too much into last month's figures as it's starting from a very low base.