Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
SCFlyer wrote:All I can say is good luck to Bonza and their Private Equity owners if they're go the Allegiant route of serving thin largely low yielding tourist routes. It'll be difficult (but not impossible) for Bonza to find their niche as opposed to positioning themselves as another Jetstar, Virgin or REX.
qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
Kent350787 wrote:SCFlyer wrote:All I can say is good luck to Bonza and their Private Equity owners if they're go the Allegiant route of serving thin largely low yielding tourist routes. It'll be difficult (but not impossible) for Bonza to find their niche as opposed to positioning themselves as another Jetstar, Virgin or REX.
I am very intrigued at which markets they will choose. Outside the capital cities, there are few places over 50,000 population that aren't holiday destinations already or are unserved.
Wollongong and the south coast of NSW (perhaps even using NOA), and then Bendigo/Ballarat and Mildura, linking them irregularly with Qld. Bendigo might pay to get them there.
Jet2 has been mentioned as one of the models bonza is looking to - low cost package charter.
smi0006 wrote:qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
Interesting with P2P routes spread around the regions seems like it will be a challenge to rotate the fleet and maximise utilisation.
Prediction will survive a couple of years then be bought by VA for Tiger 2.0. Or merge with ZL and they both go busy together. Cynical and hopefully I’m proven wrong.
IndianicWorld wrote:Another airline? Good luck with that.
Their proposed model of flying routes that are not currently serviced sounds like a challenge.
I’m struggle to identify routes that even remotely stand out as options that meet their stated aim. A few potential but equally challenging routes I can think of would be:
Coffs Harbour-Adelaide
Canberra-Hamilton Island
Newcastle-Perth
Toowoomba-Adelaide
Even at low frequency it seems to be hard work to identify routes that would be able to support 737 sized aircraft. The reality is that they will likely struggle to find any Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane routes that aren’t already taken by existing carriers.
With QF, JQ, VA and ZL in the market already, it may seem like there are numerous missing opportunities, but this isn’t Europe or the US.
qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
IndianicWorld wrote:qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
Coffs Harbour, Ballina or the Gold Coast seem the most likely based on that description.
Interesting times.
qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
tullamarine wrote:RyanairGuru wrote:IndianicWorld wrote:Another airline? Good luck with that.
Their proposed model of flying routes that are not currently serviced sounds like a challenge.
I’m struggle to identify routes that even remotely stand out as options that meet their stated aim. A few potential but equally challenging routes I can think of would be:
Coffs Harbour-Adelaide
Canberra-Hamilton Island
Newcastle-Perth
Toowoomba-Adelaide
Even at low frequency it seems to be hard work to identify routes that would be able to support 737 sized aircraft. The reality is that they will likely struggle to find any Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane routes that aren’t already taken by existing carriers.
With QF, JQ, VA and ZL in the market already, it may seem like there are numerous missing opportunities, but this isn’t Europe or the US.
I agree. The Australian market is fundamentally different to Europe, and the ‘Ryanair model’ is highly unlikely to work here. Our population density and geographic spread pretty much guarantees it.
The biggest issue here is the number of airports. In Europe, there are a number of jet-capable secondary airports around major cities that are keen to attract carriers. This is not really the case in Australia with Avalon being the obvious exception. WTB is too far away to be considered an alternative for BNE and SYD doesn't really have an alternative except NTL which, once again, is a long way away.
I am sort of attracted to Bonza's stated desire to solely pursue leisure routes; I think ZL's desire to enter Triangle markets is a potentially fatal error. If there is a market segment anywhere, it is ULCC though they will need to be prepared to accept the blowback from shows like The Project and ACA who will seek out pax who complain about lack of service even though that is exactly how ULCCs operate and consumers need to accept that if you get hit by a cancellation or miss your flight, you are on your own; that is why the fares are cheap.
The MAX8 is a comparatively big plane to fill on niche routes but smaller aircraft have higher seat costs so maybe it is a sweet spot.
melpax wrote:Kent350787 wrote:
Places like Albury, & Mt Gambier to service the Queensland holiday routes, etc would be a good fit for them. Decent catchment areas for both airports.
Not sure about Bendigo, given that MEL is a fairly easy 90 minute drive down the Calder, so fares would have to be priced keenly to get the locals to change.
Out of left field, Traralgon might do well, though not sure if the airport there is 737-capable. But again, a decent catchment area which extends to outer Melbourne suburbs such as Berwick & Pakenham.
As others have said, they seem very much like the original Tigerair.
IndianicWorld wrote:Coffs Harbour, Ballina or the Gold Coast seem the most likely based on that description.
.
qf789 wrote:Thai Airways planning to increase SYD from 4 to 7 weekly from 7 Dec 21 with 3 of these weekly services operating BKK-HKT-SYD
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 07554?s=21
qf789 wrote:Virgin adding more routes
OOL-LST from 7 Dec 21
OOL-CNS from 9 Dec 21
OOL-HBA from 13 Dec 21
Also resuming ADL-MCY from 14 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/avweekscho/status/1 ... 80547?s=21
SCFlyer wrote:qf789 wrote:Virgin adding more routes
OOL-LST from 7 Dec 21
OOL-CNS from 9 Dec 21
OOL-HBA from 13 Dec 21
Also resuming ADL-MCY from 14 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/avweekscho/status/1 ... 80547?s=21
Could be preparing for the arrival of 'Bonza' on the thin leisure routes maybe? (e.g getting in early) Considering reports their HQ was either in N.NSW or OOL.
qf789 wrote:SCFlyer wrote:qf789 wrote:Virgin adding more routes
OOL-LST from 7 Dec 21
OOL-CNS from 9 Dec 21
OOL-HBA from 13 Dec 21
Also resuming ADL-MCY from 14 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/avweekscho/status/1 ... 80547?s=21
Could be preparing for the arrival of 'Bonza' on the thin leisure routes maybe? (e.g getting in early) Considering reports their HQ was either in N.NSW or OOL.
What a load of nonsense, both the flights to Tasmania are seasonal and secondly Virgin has been announcing other seasonal flights to Tasmania over the past couple of months. Finally airlines typically do not add new routes after a few hours of a new airline being announced
https://newsroom.virginaustralia.com/re ... t-services
qf789 wrote:SCFlyer wrote:qf789 wrote:Virgin adding more routes
OOL-LST from 7 Dec 21
OOL-CNS from 9 Dec 21
OOL-HBA from 13 Dec 21
Also resuming ADL-MCY from 14 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/avweekscho/status/1 ... 80547?s=21
Could be preparing for the arrival of 'Bonza' on the thin leisure routes maybe? (e.g getting in early) Considering reports their HQ was either in N.NSW or OOL.
What a load of nonsense, both the flights to Tasmania are seasonal and secondly Virgin has been announcing other seasonal flights to Tasmania over the past couple of months. Finally airlines typically do not add new routes after a few hours of a new airline being announced
https://newsroom.virginaustralia.com/re ... t-services
tullamarine wrote:qf789 wrote:SCFlyer wrote:
Could be preparing for the arrival of 'Bonza' on the thin leisure routes maybe? (e.g getting in early) Considering reports their HQ was either in N.NSW or OOL.
What a load of nonsense, both the flights to Tasmania are seasonal and secondly Virgin has been announcing other seasonal flights to Tasmania over the past couple of months. Finally airlines typically do not add new routes after a few hours of a new airline being announced
https://newsroom.virginaustralia.com/re ... t-services
Correct, Sounds like seasonal routes with direct Tassie routes being added just in case transitting via MEL or SYD remains problematic.
Obzerva wrote:qf789 wrote:Thai Airways planning to increase SYD from 4 to 7 weekly from 7 Dec 21 with 3 of these weekly services operating BKK-HKT-SYD
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 07554?s=21
Think TG just made a very smart move, even if it's only for the interim.
Be curious to see if they do something similar for MEL.
myki wrote:Obzerva wrote:qf789 wrote:Thai Airways planning to increase SYD from 4 to 7 weekly from 7 Dec 21 with 3 of these weekly services operating BKK-HKT-SYD
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 07554?s=21
Think TG just made a very smart move, even if it's only for the interim.
Be curious to see if they do something similar for MEL.
Yep, especially as HKT is currently allowing approved-and-vaccinated tourists
qf789 wrote:Qantas has moved forward BNE-LAX and BNE-SFO to mid November, 787-9 operating, A332 service begins from 19 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
SYD-DFW will initially begin at 4 weekly from 14 Feb 22 increasing to 5 weekly for NS22
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 76326?s=21
qf789 wrote:Qantas has moved forward BNE-LAX and BNE-SFO to mid November, 787-9 operating, A332 service begins from 19 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
SYD-DFW will initially begin at 4 weekly from 14 Feb 22 increasing to 5 weekly for NS22
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 76326?s=21
kriskim wrote:qf789 wrote:Qantas has moved forward BNE-LAX and BNE-SFO to mid November, 787-9 operating, A332 service begins from 19 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
SYD-DFW will initially begin at 4 weekly from 14 Feb 22 increasing to 5 weekly for NS22
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 76326?s=21
That link says nothing about BNE-SFO? Says MEL-LAX at 4 weekly has been moved forward if that’s what you meant?
EK413 wrote:kriskim wrote:qf789 wrote:Qantas has moved forward BNE-LAX and BNE-SFO to mid November, 787-9 operating, A332 service begins from 19 Dec 21
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
SYD-DFW will initially begin at 4 weekly from 14 Feb 22 increasing to 5 weekly for NS22
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 76326?s=21
That link says nothing about BNE-SFO? Says MEL-LAX at 4 weekly has been moved forward if that’s what you meant?
Qantas has accelerated service resumption for 3 weekly Brisbane – Los Angeles and 4 weekly Melbourne – Los Angeles to mid-Nov 2021, starting 16NOV21 and 17NOV21 respectively, with 787-9.
Brisbane – Los Angeles will move to 234-seater A330-200 from 19DEC21 as planned
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
CraigAnderson wrote:EK413 wrote:kriskim wrote:
That link says nothing about BNE-SFO? Says MEL-LAX at 4 weekly has been moved forward if that’s what you meant?
Qantas has accelerated service resumption for 3 weekly Brisbane – Los Angeles and 4 weekly Melbourne – Los Angeles to mid-Nov 2021, starting 16NOV21 and 17NOV21 respectively, with 787-9.
Brisbane – Los Angeles will move to 234-seater A330-200 from 19DEC21 as planned
https://twitter.com/theaeronetwork/stat ... 88514?s=21
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
These are not showing on the Qantas website, how long does it take for an airline's website to reflect GDS changes? Or do these GDS listings reported by theaeronetwork not always actually occur?
CraigAnderson wrote:Clive Palmer has dumped his Qantas shares as a protest against the airline's mandatory vaccination policy. Palmer says he expects the QAN share price to drop as international travel resumes because of its vaccination policy.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/busine ... c9bf0dcaa2
CraigAnderson wrote:Clive Palmer has dumped his Qantas shares as a protest against the airline's mandatory vaccination policy. Palmer says he expects the QAN share price to drop as international travel resumes because of its vaccination policy.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/busine ... c9bf0dcaa2
tullamarine wrote:CraigAnderson wrote:Clive Palmer has dumped his Qantas shares as a protest against the airline's mandatory vaccination policy. Palmer says he expects the QAN share price to drop as international travel resumes because of its vaccination policy.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/busine ... c9bf0dcaa2
QAN has a market capitalisation of over $10Bn. Clive was not noted as a significant shareholder so it is safe to say that him selling his shares is unlikely to cause QAN or its shareholders any pain at all.
tullamarine wrote:myki wrote:Obzerva wrote:
Think TG just made a very smart move, even if it's only for the interim.
Be curious to see if they do something similar for MEL.
Yep, especially as HKT is currently allowing approved-and-vaccinated tourists
Not to mention pax travelling to Bangkok will be quite low for the foreseeable future.
IndianicWorld wrote:qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
Coffs Harbour, Ballina or the Gold Coast seem the most likely based on that description.
Interesting times.
CraigAnderson wrote:Interesting Sydney Morning Herald article on Qantas needing to train up "at least 200 pilots to ready itself for flying" as well as bringing on more cabin crew, and the high cost of this exercise.
The writer makes an interesting point: "This raises questions about whether Qantas boss Alan Joyce was too quick on the draw when he accepted redundancies of more than 230 pilots, as COVID grounded the aviation sector globally."
Of course, as they say, hindsight is always 20/20 vision!
https://www.smh.com.au/business/compani ... 58zpx.html
Pentaprism wrote:IndianicWorld wrote:qf789 wrote:More information on Bonza
Will launch Q2 2022
2-3 737MAX to start with
Will be based in either northern NSW or SE QLD
Will focus on leisure routes either not flown by rivals or are currently underserved
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/australi ... 52017.html
Coffs Harbour, Ballina or the Gold Coast seem the most likely based on that description.
Interesting times.
Yeah or possibly MCY or HVB. But I just don't see the market, fares to these places pre-covid were not expensive most of the year indicating demand is fairly soft. $39 sales were common. One extra 737 a day to BNK would be a huge increase in capacity. And if they could magically fill an extra flight a day from say AVV to BNK is there enough accomodation and infrastructure in place to cope with it?
OOL also appears to be well served, eg VA tried TSV-OOL and couldn't make it work and that was with an E190. Air North was flying DRW-ISA-OOL, with an E170 but they have stopped. May resume when the Borders open up more but wouldn't bet on it. They could try WGA-OOL once a week and might get a decent load but the RPM would be low and hardly worth setting up a base in WGA for, that alone purchasing a 737 to operate that kind of route.
I'm surprised they see "great potential" in the Australian Market, I've seen nothing but money being lost hand over fist by everyone who's had a crack at it other than Qantas. And even they lose money approx every other year. The Mining Charters would be profitable but it would be tricky to get a start in that market.
qf789 wrote:Qantas to add DRW-TSV from 31 Jan 22 and DRW-CNS from 29 Mar 22, both services are 3 weekly E90’s
https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media ... ueensland/
qf789 wrote:Qantas to add DRW-TSV from 31 Jan 22 and DRW-CNS from 29 Mar 22, both services are 3 weekly E90’s
https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media ... ueensland/
CraigAnderson wrote:qf789 wrote:Qantas to add DRW-TSV from 31 Jan 22 and DRW-CNS from 29 Mar 22, both services are 3 weekly E90’s
https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media ... ueensland/
Really smart if these can also feed into the DRW-LHR legs of QF1/2 and QF9/10 as cross-border travel restricted are loosened.
qf2048 wrote:Another point to consider RE this new "Bonza" airlines is that the airports they fly to will need security screening for passengers so that will narrow down their port options along with the need for a long enough runway for 737MAX.
My local airport can accommodate a 737 but there is no screening here. FIFO charters land here, F100's,E170's etc but don't seem to need screening.
jrfspa320 wrote:qf789 wrote:Qantas to add DRW-TSV from 31 Jan 22 and DRW-CNS from 29 Mar 22, both services are 3 weekly E90’s
https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media ... ueensland/
Interesting - theyll be competing with Airnorth on TSV which would already be a codeshare?
JQ already fly CNS-DRW direct with A320s and Airnorth fly via Gove.....seems alot of capacity....