SA280 wrote:caribbean484 wrote:Rajahdhani wrote:With AA dropping MIA-PBM, could/would BW see potential to increase services to PBM, to further capture U.S. based traffic?
Has/does anyone fly PBM-POS-XYZ (e.x. YYZ/JFK/MIA/MCO etc), and if so - what were your experiences like (and/or, what are better options, other than on PY?)?
Wow did not see that coming as AA don't usually drop flights from Miami to Caribbean/SA. Given the latest statistics up until May, loads were on par with other destinations with the covid fears and spikes. Also have to wonder if yields were not as good as flights usually go for about US$328 OW, and the cost of operating the A319 on such a route.
Well customers will then have to use BW and CM for travels to the US; BW was planning to go 3W to PBM with an ATR service but was pushed back, so we'll see when they plan the next schedule release what will be loaded.
AA's loads to and from PBM
YY-MM PAXs SEATS LF %
2021-6 0,117 0,172 68%
2021-7 0,115 0,172 67%
2021-8 0,129 0,172 75%
2021-9 2,666 3,968 67%
2021-10 3,414 5,632 61%
2021-11 3,346 5,376 62%
2021-12 3,947 5,632 70%
2022-1 3,183 5,376 59%
2022-2 2,899 5,120 57%
2022-3 3,541 5,504 64%
2022-4 4,272 5,504 78%
2022-5 4,224 5,760 73%
On par?
Those are terrible loads for AA standards!
Well for instance, let's look at AA MIA load factors to the Eastern Caribbean
YY-MM PBM LF % GEO LF % POS LF % BGI LF % GND LF % DOM LF % ANU LF %
2021-6 68% 64% 0% 91% 86% 0% 73%
2021-7 67% 87% 0% 92% 91% 0% 76%
2021-8 75% 85% 0% 92% 77% 0% 76%
2021-9 67% 63% 0% 79% 63% 0% 82%
2021-10 61% 66% 0% 85% 77% 0% 77%
2021-11 62% 71% 86% 78% 53% 0% 75%
2021-12 70% 84% 84% 62% 63% 82% 64%
2022-1 59% 74% 69% 62% 54% 73% 43%
2022-2 57% 82% 67% 70% 54% 79% 50%
2022-3 64% 85% 77% 67% 64% 82% 57%
2022-4 78% 89% 79% 91% 87% 77% 63%
2022-5 73% 84% 80% 89% 86% 77% 84%
As we can see the LF for the Omicron variant in Jan-Mar varies with GEO enjoying stronger loads but as we can see the rest of the region was seeing low demand, so PBM was not very unique. So to with the below view from the Dutch Caribbean
YY-MM AUA LF % CUR LF % SXM LF %
2021-6 84% 85% 88%
2021-7 90% 96% 91%
2021-8 86% 91% 81%
2021-9 87% 80% 73%
2021-10 90% 85% 91%
2021-11 84% 83% 80%
2021-12 73% 72% 73%
2022-1 64% 41% 58%
2022-2 74% 51% 67%
2022-3 87% 59% 76%
2022-4 91% 70% 75%
2022-5 90% 79% 86%
IMO daily was too much for AA to run PBM and the A319 which has a much higher CASM than the larger MAX or NG in AA fleet is putting pressure on AA's yield, where they can place the a/c on a better route. The E175 does not have the legs to fly with the payload to PBM also.
data available here:
https://transtats.bts.gov/DL_SelectFiel ... 20Pn44vr45baje427 wrote:BW and CM will benefit with AA's exit given that PY is a shell of itself.
Just an update 9Y-SUR today did test flights in POS and 9Y-GEO did ownership transfer proving flights today.