chonetsao wrote:UA857 wrote:
Could AA and UA order the 779 around 2024 with deliveries starting in 2027?
Sorry for my last reply. I was using my phone and some typos.
I can't speak of UA. But for AA, in my opinion, you may have to wait for 2025-2026 for any talks of the next order. I think once AA have received all current B787 orders and A321XLR started to arrive, the market would slowly going back to track (provided no more disturbance in geopolitics and economic shocks), it then might be a natural point of consideration of reorganisation of widebody fleet going forwards to 2030s. But the order may not happen until 2027-2028. I think we are still too early to see if AA would be order new fleet type. However, I understand AA still have B787 options that it can top up as needed.
I agree. Unlike United, who are just starting a 500-600 Plane retrofit and another 600-700 airplanes on order throughout the next decade, American's fleet, as far as the next decade goes, is pretty much sorted. They have streamlined as much as they can, and other than the rest of the 737 MAX/A321neo's, 737-800 Restoration, and maybe some A319/A320/A321T Oasis Retrofit, I can't see them do anything else until 2030. They poured billions over the last 10 years, from the US Airways Merger, to get to a spot where they are now.
As far as their heavy fleet goes, I think that the majority of the 772E's will be flying until around 2030, and some newer frames maybe a bit longer as well. I doubt American will go to Airbus, and with the delivery issues of the 787, I doubt they will get many soon. In addition, AA is short many widebody's at the moment, and a good amount of the 787's will be used for expansion and replacement of their A330's/767's (retired by the pandemic), rather than replacing the 772E's like originally intended. I think AA will do something about the 772E replacement around 2025-2027 with maybe 50-70 Boeing 779/789ER/78JER (Maybe something like 20 779, 25 789ER and 20 78JER), for delivery in the early 2030's. Although, I do think that the 77W's, as well as the 772E/788's with the Zodiac seats will be retrofitted with the new business cabin with doors in a few years. Especially the 77W's, and remove first class with that as well.
AA's 50 A321XLR's with Lie Flat Business and 2-2 Premium Economy will be a great asset in expanding their Europe and South America network, with thinner routes. I can see MIA-South America, as well as CLT-MIA-JFK to smaller European Cities be flying on the AA A321XLR.