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MIflyer12 wrote:Boeing757100 wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:No doubt they can fly a while, but the CASM vs. a 321neo or MAX10 is ugly. DL will retire them as free cash flow allows, well before the world runs out of parts.
But isn't the CASM of the 757-300 even comparable to the 321s? Or maybe not
DL won't maintain a separate pilot work group for 16 753s and 21 764s
PSU.DTW.SCE wrote:Happy New Year as well.
I started working on this yesterday, but here is a high-level summary of where things stand for each fleet type, with key information:
YE 2021 Fleet count:
Small Narrowbody:
B712: 55
A221: 41
A223: 10
A319: 57
Medium Narrowbody:
A320: 56
B738: 77
Large Narrowbody:
B739: 132
A321: 127
B752: 100
B753: 16
Widebody:
B763: 41
B764: 21
A332: 11
A339: 11
A333: 21
A359: 15
New Deliveries Scheduled for 2022:
(not including second-hand acquisitions:
A221: 4 (balance of order)
A223: 7
A321NEO: 18
A339: 9
A359: 2
Detailed commentary by fleet type:
Small Narrowbody:
B717:
55 active
12F / 16 W / 78Y = 110 seats
Fleet numbers (95xx)
- Down from 91 active pre-pandemic
- Internal discussion / rumors of fleet returning up to an active fleet of 64 for Summer 2022
- A few frames have been reactivated over the past couple of months, as the fleet was down to as low as 45 during the depth of the pandemic
- Remaining pilot bases at ATL & DTW. A limited amount of MSP routes have returned, but flown by aircraft and pilots bridged from ATL & DTW.
- Some of the owned frames, stored at BYH have been parted-out
- DL has publicly / officially said, as of late 2020, they intend to retire the 717s by the end of 2025
- As of late 2021 has indicated that the 717 is a flex-fleet / flex-capacity and can ramp-up/down as market conditions dictate
A221:
41 active, 4 on-order
12 F / 15 W / 82 Y = 109 seats
Fleet numbers: (81xx)
- Remaining 4 on-order to be delivered in 2022
A223:
10 active, 35 on-order
12 F / 30 W / 88 Y = 130 seats
Fleet numbers: (83xx)
- 7 to be delivered in 2022
- Additional 50 options beyond the current firm orders
A319:
57 active (~6 in storage)
12 F / 18 W / 102 Y = 132 seats
Fleet numbers (31xx)
- Average fleet age is 20 years old, similar vintage to the 738 fleet
- Remaining aircraft in storage anticipated to be reactivated in 2022
- Anticipated to remain in service through end-of-life
Medium Narrowbody
A320:
56 active
16 F / 18 W / 123 Y = 157 seats
Fleet numbers (32xx)
- During the depth of the pandemic, the 10 next-up for maintenance were slated to be retired, but 4 of those were reactived, but the remaining 6 remained retired and recent photos have indicated some part-out activity on some of those frames
- The oldest tranche of A320s are near or over 30 years old, and likely have been through their last and final heavy maintenance checks, and likely coming due for retirement in the next 2-4 years
- The youngest tranche of A320s is of similar vintage to the A319 fleet (18-23 years old) and will likely be in-service through end of life
B738:
77 active (none remain in storage)
16 F / 36 W / 108Y = 160 seats
Fleet numbers (37xx)
- Rumored to be coming due for interior mods, that were put on-hold during the pandemic
- All are around 20-22 years old, and anticipated to be in the fleet until end of life.
Large Narrowbody:
B739:
132 active (none remain in storage), 29 acquired/not-yet-inducted
20 F / 21 W / 139 Y = 180 seats
Fleet numbers (38xx, 39xx)
- 29 additional frames acquired second-hand to start entering service in mid-2022, anticipated to enter service at an estimated rate of 2-3 per month, with all in service by late 2023
A321 (CEO):
127 active
20 F / 29 W / 142 Y = 191 seats
Fleet numbers (30xx, 10xx)
- The final, 127th and end of the the line CEO was delivered in December 2021
- Fleet was all delivered new to DL between 2016-2021
A321 (NEO):
155 on-order, with 70 additional options
Config TBD
Fleet numbers TBD
- 18 scheduled for delivery in 2022
- First planned routes to be out of BOS in mid-2022 (nothing loaded yet)
- New First class seat to be unveiled on the NEO fleet
B752:
100 in active fleet (~11 are in storage), & additional 11 in the 75C /NBA VIP charter configuration)
75D (62): 20 F / 29 W / 150 Y = 199 seats
75H (15): 20 F / 29 W / 150 Y = 199 seats
75G (5): 20 F / 41 W / 132 Y = 193 seats
75S (18): 16 J / 44 W / 108 Y = 168 seats
75C (11): 72 F = 72 seats
Fleet Numbers:
75D/H: (6xx, 67xx, 56xx – PMNW)
75G: (6819-6823)
75S: (6801-6818)
75C: (6xx)
- publicly said that about 60 will be retired later this decade, but the newer balance of the fleet may fly in to the early 2030s
- Some of the oldest 30+ year old 75Ds have likely been through their last and final HMV check, meaning they will be retired in the next 2-4 years
- Not yet considered a flex fleet, but are getting to that point soon
- Pilot bases (7ER) have been consolidated to SEA, LAX, ATL, NYC but there is still plenty of 757 flying out of DTW, MSP, SLC
B753:
16 active
75Y: 24 F / 32 W / 178 Y = 234 seats
Fleet numbers: 58xx
- Likely to be around through end-of-life, at least end of decade
Widebody:
B763:
41 active
76L: 36 J / 32 W / 143 Y = 211 seats
76Z: 26 J / 35 W / 165 Y = 226 seats
76K: 26 J / 18 PS / 21 W / 151 Y = 216 seats
Fleet numbers: (1xx, 12xx, 15xx, 16xx, 17xx)
- Down from pre-pandemic fleet of 54, with frames primarily retired and sold to cargo conversion
- Publicly announced as of late-2020 full retirement planned by end 2025
- As of late 2021, referred to as a flex-fleet / capacity as market conditions dictate, and has walked-back from a definitive retirement date
- 76K mod, adding PS/premium select to at least 19 frames, Rumors that could be put into more / all frames as market conditions dictate on those that remain beyond 2022-2023
B764:
21 total, (19 in service, 2 in storage)
34 J / 20 PS / 28 W / 156 Y = 238 seats
Fleet numbers (18xx)
- 2 remain in storage, anticipated to come out in early 2022 and get PS mods before returning to service
- Around 20 years old, anticipated to remain in service through end-of-life
- 765 pilots bases at NYC and ATL
A332:
11 active
332: 34 J / 32 W / 168 Y = 234 seats
3M2: 34 J / 21 PS / 24 W / 144 Y = 223 seats
Fleet numbers: (3351-3361)
- Mods underway for Premium Select
- Aircraft at mid-live, 15-17 years
A333:
31 active:
333: 34 J / 40 W / 219 Y = 293 seats
3M3: 34 J / 21 PS / 24 W / 203 Y = 282 seats
Fleet numbers: (3301-3331)
- Mods underway for Premium Select
- PMNW original aircraft (21) at mid-live, 15-17 years, the DL top-up order (10) are 5-7 years old
A339:
11 active, 26 on-order
339: 29 J / 28 PS / 56 W / 168 Y = 281 seats
Fleet numbers: (34xx)
- 11 of 37 delivered
- 9 scheduled for delivery in 2022 (I believe it was originally to be 8, and the thereafter an additional frame was pulled ahead from 2023 to 2022)
A359:
15 active, 20 on-order, 7 acquired/not-yet-in service
32 J / 48 PS / 36 W / 190 Y = 306 seats
Fleet numbers (35xx)
- 2 new A359s to be delivered in 2022
- 7 second-hand acquired frames, to start being added to the fleet in mid-2022 through 2023 at an estimated rate 1 about every other month
- Total future fleet to be 42 frames (delivered, on-order, acquired)
papatango wrote:There was also a rumor that Delta was picking up one ez-SAA A350
Boeing757100 wrote:So with predictions on when the 757s are phasing out/leaving, any idea when Delta would replace the 11 charter 752s? Most people say the 752s would probably still stick around in somewhat noticeable numbers until the late 2020s and leave entirely by the early 2030s for sure. With this, would DL switch to 321s for the charters sooner or later? As the 757s become smaller in quantity, would it be too much of a hassle to keep them around?
NW747-400 wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:Boeing757100 wrote:
But isn't the CASM of the 757-300 even comparable to the 321s? Or maybe not
DL won't maintain a separate pilot work group for 16 753s and 21 764s
Well, the 764 is already a separate pilot group. They maintained a separate 744, 777, and have maintained a small 350 pilot group, although that fleet is projected to grow dramatically.
Small pilot groups are not the deciding factor when it comes to fleet decisions. The pilots operating those small fleets are cost neutral in the sense that they would still be on the payroll on another fleet anyway. Maintenance costs, parts availability and fuel costs have a far more dramatic effect on fleet decisions.
Dalmd88 wrote:Boeing757100 wrote:litz wrote:
And the 757-200s are the backbone of the sports charter fleet, which are also many short flights ...
But that doesn't really matter since Delta already removed winglets for those 11 frames right?
That fleet is mostly NBA exclusive. Per the contract they can be used for other charters but I don't think they use them as much. The planes are not even owned by Delta. Most of the non NBA charters are done with regular Delta 757/767. I would guess the owned Delta fleet would be more profitable to the airline to operate unless the customer really wants the premium product the NBA fleet offers. For most teams I doubt they have enough seats.
MIflyer12 wrote:NW747-400 wrote:MIflyer12 wrote:
DL won't maintain a separate pilot work group for 16 753s and 21 764s
Well, the 764 is already a separate pilot group. They maintained a separate 744, 777, and have maintained a small 350 pilot group, although that fleet is projected to grow dramatically.
Small pilot groups are not the deciding factor when it comes to fleet decisions. The pilots operating those small fleets are cost neutral in the sense that they would still be on the payroll on another fleet anyway. Maintenance costs, parts availability and fuel costs have a far more dramatic effect on fleet decisions.
They had a lot of 747 capacity. Sure, that was another group. They eliminated the 777 group. Sure, they had a small A350 group because that's the future of long-haul at Delta. Sixteen 753s don't have the revenue potential that sixteen 744s had - and are much more readily replaced on their missions, even if it takes more flights on smaller gauge to do it.
The cost-neutral argument completely ignores the problem of work-group fragmentation and the costs that brings. You wind up with far fewer actual working hours per pilot - yet those pilots still expect contractual pay. Immediately pre-bankuptcy, UA pilots worked on avg just 42 hours a month. That's poison.
Dalmd88 wrote:CALMSP wrote:they don't even have regular winglets on all of their 757's, which I was kinda surprised about.
That's because some of the fleet can not have winglets installed due to previously installed wing repairs. Each aircraft had to be approved for the mod. The wing loading that the blended winglet adds was too much for a few of the aircraft.
One of the planes actually was damaged by a contract outfit during the winglet mod. The required repairs to fix the damage took it out of the winglet program. That contract outfit did not do another winglet mod at Delta.
dfwking wrote:Anyone know when DL is going to get their new order A359s from Airbus? I know they are supposed to have 44 aircraft in the end state. They currently have 18 in service, 9 used aircraft coming from LATAM. This leaves 17 new-build aircraft left to be delivered.. Anyone know when these 17 are going to be delivered?
PSU.DTW.SCE wrote:15 A359s currently in service, 2 new deliveries coming in early 2022, and the acquired A359s to start coming into the fleet mid 2022 at rate of about 1 every other month thereafter.
Cactusjuba wrote:321neo ship number 5001-5155 / N501DA. Config 194 in 20/42/132.
Josh76040 wrote:Dalmd88 wrote:CALMSP wrote:they don't even have regular winglets on all of their 757's, which I was kinda surprised about.
That's because some of the fleet can not have winglets installed due to previously installed wing repairs. Each aircraft had to be approved for the mod. The wing loading that the blended winglet adds was too much for a few of the aircraft.
One of the planes actually was damaged by a contract outfit during the winglet mod. The required repairs to fix the damage took it out of the winglet program. That contract outfit did not do another winglet mod at Delta.
I mean, I don't think those planes are in danger of falling out of the sky if that's what you're getting at.
So Delta is flying at least one elderly 757 with weakened wings. Wow.
Josh76040 wrote:Dalmd88 wrote:CALMSP wrote:they don't even have regular winglets on all of their 757's, which I was kinda surprised about.
That's because some of the fleet can not have winglets installed due to previously installed wing repairs. Each aircraft had to be approved for the mod. The wing loading that the blended winglet adds was too much for a few of the aircraft.
One of the planes actually was damaged by a contract outfit during the winglet mod. The required repairs to fix the damage took it out of the winglet program. That contract outfit did not do another winglet mod at Delta.
So Delta is flying at least one elderly 757 with weakened wings. Wow.
n515cr wrote:dfwking wrote:Anyone know when DL is going to get their new order A359s from Airbus? I know they are supposed to have 44 aircraft in the end state. They currently have 18 in service, 9 used aircraft coming from LATAM. This leaves 17 new-build aircraft left to be delivered.. Anyone know when these 17 are going to be delivered?
3516 has done its second flight, and 3517 appears to be getting close to its first flight
https://aibfamily.flights/A350/530
https://aibfamily.flights/A350/545
WayexTDI wrote:Josh76040 wrote:Dalmd88 wrote:That's because some of the fleet can not have winglets installed due to previously installed wing repairs. Each aircraft had to be approved for the mod. The wing loading that the blended winglet adds was too much for a few of the aircraft.
One of the planes actually was damaged by a contract outfit during the winglet mod. The required repairs to fix the damage took it out of the winglet program. That contract outfit did not do another winglet mod at Delta.
So Delta is flying at least one elderly 757 with weakened wings. Wow.
Not weakened; no longer suitable for the winglet program, big difference.
Josh76040 wrote:WayexTDI wrote:Josh76040 wrote:
So Delta is flying at least one elderly 757 with weakened wings. Wow.
Not weakened; no longer suitable for the winglet program, big difference.
Not really faith-inspiring.
Aaron747 wrote:Josh76040 wrote:WayexTDI wrote:Not weakened; no longer suitable for the winglet program, big difference.
Not really faith-inspiring.
I think the TechOps teams know a bit more about materials and strength ratings than you do.
audidudi wrote:3317 was operating DL1187 yesterday from SLC>OGG, and having flown all the way from SLC to west of Sacramento CA., diverted back to SLC. At first I was thinking that it might have been a recurring pressuriztion issue to have caused this, after she spent over 5 months at SLC being repaired for this issue. But she is now operating DL406 from SLC>ATL, so whatever caused the diversion got resolved overnight. Anyone know what happened here?
audidudi wrote:3317 was operating DL1187 yesterday from SLC>OGG, and having flown all the way from SLC to west of Sacramento CA., diverted back to SLC. At first I was thinking that it might have been a recurring pressuriztion issue to have caused this, after she spent over 5 months at SLC being repaired for this issue. But she is now due to operate DL406 from SLC>ATL, so whatever caused the diversion got resolved overnight. Anyone know what happened here?
UPDATE..She now she has a 4 hour departure delay from SLC! Is she a hangar queen perhaps?
https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/n817nw
Josh76040 wrote:Aaron747 wrote:Josh76040 wrote:
Not really faith-inspiring.
I think the TechOps teams know a bit more about materials and strength ratings than you do.
Doesn’t mean they are infallible. We’re not talking about a worn-out carpet after all. Aviation history is rife with crashes occurring after some “expert” decided something was “within limits.”
I read that the damage to the wing weakened it to the point that it could no longer be counted on to support the weight of the winglet.
n515cr wrote:1706 on track to ferry to CAN for 76K mods
185 to exit CAN as a 76Z 1/9
181 to exit CAN as a 76K 1/9
3307/3312 on track to enter/exit SAL 1/9
175 showing ferry to SEA on 1/10 and presumably will continue on to ICN/CAN https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N175DN
175 ferrying likely means 1705 exiting mods
IFC
3036 and 3851 both back in service this morning
3037 on track to RTS tomorrow
670 RTS 1/10. This will complete IFC for active 75Ds. Expect any that exit storage to receive IFC prior to reentering service
x1234 wrote:Any updates for uprating the thrust on the A359's so DL can carry more payload? This is important for JNB-ATL west-bound and ATL-HND/ICN and PVG if it ever resumes. Remember KE Cargo is HUGE all over Asia and an important connector onto DL cargo.
wjcandee wrote:Is there any significance to the Lion Air 739s having the slightly-lower-thrust version of the relevant CFM56? It's 1000 ft-lbs lower takeoff thrust, but same continuous thrust. Does this make any real difference in operation/procedures, or unsuitable for particular routes or higher-altitude airports? I.e. will these be treated as a kind of subfleet, or will ops just dispatch them everywhere they send the DL-original 900ERs? Plainly there was a reason that DL ordered theirs with the engine that they did.
dfwking wrote:PSU.DTW.SCE wrote:15 A359s currently in service, 2 new deliveries coming in early 2022, and the acquired A359s to start coming into the fleet mid 2022 at rate of about 1 every other month thereafter.
Something doesn't add up here. Delta in their Sep 2021 10Q says that there are 18 in the fleet and 26 purchased (44 total):
img.PNG https://s2.q4cdn.com/181345880/files/doc_financials/2021/q3/DAL-9.30.2021-10Q.pdf
Out of the 26, 9 are former LATAM, 2 are being delivered in 2022, anyone know when the other 15 come in?
Josh76040 wrote:Dalmd88 wrote:CALMSP wrote:they don't even have regular winglets on all of their 757's, which I was kinda surprised about.
That's because some of the fleet can not have winglets installed due to previously installed wing repairs. Each aircraft had to be approved for the mod. The wing loading that the blended winglet adds was too much for a few of the aircraft.
One of the planes actually was damaged by a contract outfit during the winglet mod. The required repairs to fix the damage took it out of the winglet program. That contract outfit did not do another winglet mod at Delta.
So Delta is flying at least one elderly 757 with weakened wings. Wow.
Lootess wrote:dfwking wrote:PSU.DTW.SCE wrote:15 A359s currently in service, 2 new deliveries coming in early 2022, and the acquired A359s to start coming into the fleet mid 2022 at rate of about 1 every other month thereafter.
Something doesn't add up here. Delta in their Sep 2021 10Q says that there are 18 in the fleet and 26 purchased (44 total):
img.PNG https://s2.q4cdn.com/181345880/files/doc_financials/2021/q3/DAL-9.30.2021-10Q.pdf
Out of the 26, 9 are former LATAM, 2 are being delivered in 2022, anyone know when the other 15 come in?
15 in-service, 3 in-possession. Must be N570DZ-N572DZ at the time of the report.
kavok wrote:Going forward, say summer 2022 onward should traffic continue to slowly grow, do you see DL bringing more of the 717s back online?
And if so, I guess that leads to the bigger question of whether the 220s are indeed an eventual replacement for the 717s? Because as they are being used currently, the 220s niche seems to be long-and-thinner domestic going up against competition. Routes like SEA-AUS, SEA-IND, NYC-Texas, etc where there is significant competition from AS/AA and others. And it makes sense, as the 220 offers a mainline product with IFE and a low seat count, all while keeping costs low. Basically it allows DL to offer mainline services on routes they feel necessary to fly, but also where DL is arguably at a network competitive disadvantage (with one or both ends being a hubs/focus cities for the frequent flyers of others).
MIflyer12 wrote:DL's claims of range:
717, 1,510sm
A220-100, 2,415sm
A220-300, 2,415sm
Josh76040 wrote:Aaron747 wrote:Josh76040 wrote:
Not really faith-inspiring.
I think the TechOps teams know a bit more about materials and strength ratings than you do.
Doesn’t mean they are infallible. We’re not talking about a worn-out carpet after all. Aviation history is rife with crashes occurring after some “expert” decided something was “within limits.”
I read that the damage to the wing weakened it to the point that it could no longer be counted on to support the weight of the winglet.
AirKevin wrote:B757Forever wrote:Pinto wrote:
The only real difference is the Blended Winglets have a flat top and the scimitar has a point facing backwards
According to the APB webpage, only the blended winglet is available for the 757. No mention of a scimitar for the 757.
http://www.aviationpartnersboeing.com/p ... 57_200.php
Not sure how up to date their website is, but the scimitar blended winglets do exist.
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-release ... 07683.html