Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
At least for PW1500G (A220 family), situation continues to be a mess.
Just ask Egypt Air how many of their A220s are grounded right now.
For all operators, time on wing has been pretty low (less than 1,000 hours), requiring very often labour-intensive inspections and many engine changes, with a low spare engine availability around the globe.
And just 2 weeks ago we had the 8th in-flight engine shut-down incident, this time with a brand new JetBlue frame.
lightsaber wrote:SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
At least for PW1500G (A220 family), situation continues to be a mess.
Just ask Egypt Air how many of their A220s are grounded right now.
For all operators, time on wing has been pretty low (less than 1,000 hours), requiring very often labour-intensive inspections and many engine changes, with a low spare engine availability around the globe.
And just 2 weeks ago we had the 8th in-flight engine shut-down incident, this time with a brand new JetBlue frame.
Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
JohanTally wrote:lightsaber wrote:SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
At least for PW1500G (A220 family), situation continues to be a mess.
Just ask Egypt Air how many of their A220s are grounded right now.
For all operators, time on wing has been pretty low (less than 1,000 hours), requiring very often labour-intensive inspections and many engine changes, with a low spare engine availability around the globe.
And just 2 weeks ago we had the 8th in-flight engine shut-down incident, this time with a brand new JetBlue frame.
Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
According to airfleets there are quite a few parked that haven't flown in a while but obviously there's a multitude of reasons they might be parked. You wouldn't expect the most fuel efficient aircraft in a fleet to be parked during a period of high fuel prices unless other factors are at play.
https://www.airfleets.net/flottecie/Egy ... ve-csr.htm
lightsaber wrote:SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
At least for PW1500G (A220 family), situation continues to be a mess.
Just ask Egypt Air how many of their A220s are grounded right now.
For all operators, time on wing has been pretty low (less than 1,000 hours), requiring very often labour-intensive inspections and many engine changes, with a low spare engine availability around the globe.
And just 2 weeks ago we had the 8th in-flight engine shut-down incident, this time with a brand new JetBlue frame.
Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
SA280 wrote:Just to complement my previous post, regarding being careful with OEMs' marketing numbers.
A high schedule reliability rate just means that a big amount of scheduled flights departed within a reasonable window between ETD and real TD with no technical issues.
That's the number we usually see in OEMs' marketing figures.
There's also a very important one that is not so much shared: aircraft availability, which is the time an aircraft is available for revenue flights and ground activities direct related to them, between two revenue flights (it excludes maintenance allocation).
And the fact is that the A220 aircraft availability has been very low due to PW1500G issues, requiring many inspections, low time on wing, many scheduled removals, with few spare engines available around the world.
So, we're talking about scheduled maintenance (much more often than promised by Airbus and PW), not unscheduled maintenance that would affect schedule reliability. So, if airlines plan their operations with enough spare aircraft, it does not affect schedule reliability.
lightsaber wrote:
I've seen real world data where two different people interpret the data differently with engine issues. Top off orders will tell us the bigger picture.
Lightsaber
lightsaber wrote:JohanTally wrote:lightsaber wrote:Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
According to airfleets there are quite a few parked that haven't flown in a while but obviously there's a multitude of reasons they might be parked. You wouldn't expect the most fuel efficient aircraft in a fleet to be parked during a period of high fuel prices unless other factors are at play.
https://www.airfleets.net/flottecie/Egy ... ve-csr.htm
I agree that one airline has a perplexing quantity of A220 stored. I cannot figure out why that is the case. But with overall fleet trends favoring the A220 that I posted before, I won't worry about one airline I cannot explain.
They have their own flight sim, so that constraint doesn't apply:
http://training.egyptair.com/News/A220FFS-Launch
When all indications are that all other A220 operators are utilizing the planes, I cannot explain the one anomoly. But when one is counter to the other available evidence, I look for airline specific reasons.
How is Egypt Air pilot availability? If pilots are in short supply, one upgauges. I don't know if this is the case, but one plausible reason. If they stood down pilot hiring, they might still be ramping up pilot induction, but this is only a guess on my part.
Lightsaber
Okcflyer wrote:lightsaber wrote:
I've seen real world data where two different people interpret the data differently with engine issues. Top off orders will tell us the bigger picture.
Lightsaber
Not necessarily. As long as PW is willing to take the commercial risk of accelerated overhaul and compensate airlines appreciably for loss of use, there little reason to make the switch unless CFM is also willing to make the same commitments or they believe PW will go belly-up and be unable to sustain/support the fleet. The commitments can be in competitive PBH rates and appropriate unplanned LOU comp or early overhaul credits for traditional models.
UTC's turbofan financial performance over the coming quarters will be telling.
SA280 wrote:lightsaber wrote:SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
At least for PW1500G (A220 family), situation continues to be a mess.
Just ask Egypt Air how many of their A220s are grounded right now.
For all operators, time on wing has been pretty low (less than 1,000 hours), requiring very often labour-intensive inspections and many engine changes, with a low spare engine availability around the globe.
And just 2 weeks ago we had the 8th in-flight engine shut-down incident, this time with a brand new JetBlue frame.
Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
I have my intel sources and they are not public.
You have to be careful with marketing numbers presented by OEMs and also consider that many positive public statements done by operators aim at keeping a good relationship and promoting an aircraft that they are already committed to.
So, talk to operators if you want to find more reliable information. I'm not telling you to avoid your media sources, just telling you not to disregard intel that is not public.
Regarding Egypt Air, you can check in many public platforms they have many aircraft parked, even though you cannot know the reason. That's when you ask insiders and, yes, the reason is the poor engine reliability, frequent removals and lack of spares.
The reason you will not find this in the media is because, as you may know, few airlines want to publicize their issues with OEMs as this would only worsens an already troubled relationship caused by EIS below expectations. Even airlines that do that, such as Qatar, just the tip of the iceberg goes to the media. And they suffer the consequences for puclizing it.
randomdude83 wrote:SA280 wrote:lightsaber wrote:Do you have a source? During the pandemic, the A220 just might have been the world's most active fleet
Warning, open in incognito tab (nasty cookies):
https://simpleflying.com/the-airbus-a22 ... ive-fleet/
Now, in 2019 a huge number of issues.
again, open incognito:
https://simpleflying.com/swiss-a220-grounding/
I couldn't find a single 2022 reference on EgyptAir issues. So I would like to know your source. I'm well aware of the recent JetBlue diversion.
In February Swiss was very happy with A220 reliability for the trailing 12 months:
https://skiesmag.com/features/airbus-a2 ... .%E2%80%9D
The Airbus statistics for the A220 in 2021 are also really good, and improving:
https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jl ... r-2021.pdf
So please share a source.
Lightsaber
I have my intel sources and they are not public.
You have to be careful with marketing numbers presented by OEMs and also consider that many positive public statements done by operators aim at keeping a good relationship and promoting an aircraft that they are already committed to.
So, talk to operators if you want to find more reliable information. I'm not telling you to avoid your media sources, just telling you not to disregard intel that is not public.
Regarding Egypt Air, you can check in many public platforms they have many aircraft parked, even though you cannot know the reason. That's when you ask insiders and, yes, the reason is the poor engine reliability, frequent removals and lack of spares.
The reason you will not find this in the media is because, as you may know, few airlines want to publicize their issues with OEMs as this would only worsens an already troubled relationship caused by EIS below expectations. Even airlines that do that, such as Qatar, just the tip of the iceberg goes to the media. And they suffer the consequences for puclizing it.
I did notice that MS had 8 parked at one point. Also been wondering why no follow up orders from Delta even though it is the perfect a319/717 replacement.
You hear anything about Delta or Korean or airbaltic?
JohanTally wrote:randomdude83 wrote:SA280 wrote:I have my intel sources and they are not public.
You have to be careful with marketing numbers presented by OEMs and also consider that many positive public statements done by operators aim at keeping a good relationship and promoting an aircraft that they are already committed to.
So, talk to operators if you want to find more reliable information. I'm not telling you to avoid your media sources, just telling you not to disregard intel that is not public.
Regarding Egypt Air, you can check in many public platforms they have many aircraft parked, even though you cannot know the reason. That's when you ask insiders and, yes, the reason is the poor engine reliability, frequent removals and lack of spares.
The reason you will not find this in the media is because, as you may know, few airlines want to publicize their issues with OEMs as this would only worsens an already troubled relationship caused by EIS below expectations. Even airlines that do that, such as Qatar, just the tip of the iceberg goes to the media. And they suffer the consequences for puclizing it.
I did notice that MS had 8 parked at one point. Also been wondering why no follow up orders from Delta even though it is the perfect a319/717 replacement.
You hear anything about Delta or Korean or airbaltic?
DL has topped off it's original order of 75 with 15 more and converted a majority of the order for the A223. Replacing the 717 is the more pressing need for DL to streamline the fleet. The 319 has commonality with their newly acquired A321CEO fleet and shares the same pilot group.
randomdude83 wrote :
I did notice that MS had 8 parked at one point
To Pratt & Whitney’s credit, it has also been creative to limit engine downtime in MRO shops. A more recent example following an FAA directive in 2019 to replace LPT Stage 3 Blades, it established quick-turn shops using its MRO partner network to incorporate a nickel alloy blade similar to LPT Stage 1 & 2 blades. Combined, this quick work, and work in progress has propelled the Pratt & Whitney PW1100G GTF to a dispatch reliability of 99.98% and utilisation above pre-Covid levels.
…
Despite this, there remains scepticism as changes are not yet fully-proven, and there continue to be on-going developments and testing in service especially with the latest combustor (now on its fourth build standard).
lightsaber wrote:JohanTally wrote:randomdude83 wrote:
I did notice that MS had 8 parked at one point. Also been wondering why no follow up orders from Delta even though it is the perfect a319/717 replacement.
You hear anything about Delta or Korean or airbaltic?
DL has topped off it's original order of 75 with 15 more and converted a majority of the order for the A223. Replacing the 717 is the more pressing need for DL to streamline the fleet. The 319 has commonality with their newly acquired A321CEO fleet and shares the same pilot group.
AirBaltic originally only ordered 20, then another 30.
https://www.airbaltic.com/en/airbaltic- ... inal-order
With the closure of Russian airspace, the will not need more for years, in my opinion.
I could see DL ordering more. They will have even better data.
Korean is managing the reopening of international flights. They are years away from needing more A220.
Near term is LH, JetBlue, and AirFrance after DL.
I see SAS being the canary in the coal mine due to their obvious skepticism of the small GTF.
https://airinsight.com/sas-demands-bett ... 220-or-e2/
If SAS orders, we know the A220 has matured. If not...
Lightsaber
freakyrat wrote:Delta Tech Ops has the MRO for the P&W GTF engines so they should know a lot about the engine and it's quirks. They have already tore down an engine for updates. Delta seems to be happy with their A220's and A320neo powered with the GTF.
B757Forever wrote:The main issue with the GTF is not reliability, it is longevity. These two issues seem to be getting intermixed in this thread. The dispatch and in-service reliability has improved dramatically as bugs get addressed. The time-on-wing has only improved marginally.
Avatar2go wrote:B757Forever wrote:The main issue with the GTF is not reliability, it is longevity. These two issues seem to be getting intermixed in this thread. The dispatch and in-service reliability has improved dramatically as bugs get addressed. The time-on-wing has only improved marginally.
So is the issue premature wear of components? And will they address that by introducing more durable components over time?
B757Forever wrote:
Yes. Most of the premature wear is in the hot section. The compressors seem to be holding up better than the turbines. The gearbox, that many assumed would be problematic, have had no issues. Pratt is aware of all the issues. I presume they are diligently working to resolve but it seems they have a lot on their plate with 1100/1500 GTF issues and the PW2000 turbine blade issues.
zeke wrote:I think P&W have just delivered their 1000th GTF engine, the engine type must be doing some significant hours now.
Guess 4000+ hours a day
dopplerd wrote:This article is from a year ago and says there have been 1,000 aircraft delivered with P&W GTF. That would put the number of engines at well over 2,000 today.
https://www.aviationpros.com/engines-co ... 0-aircraft
lightsaber wrote:Well, Qantas firmed their order for 20 A220. Something must be going right.
https://www.stattimes.com/amp/aviation/ ... er-1345263
Lightsaber
oldJoe wrote:lightsaber wrote:Well, Qantas firmed their order for 20 A220. Something must be going right.
https://www.stattimes.com/amp/aviation/ ... er-1345263
Lightsaber
I would like to add that according to the Airbus press release, the A321XLRs are also equipped with P&W GTFs. At 80+ engines one must also congratulate P&W
https://www.airbus.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2022-05-qantas-confirms-future-airbus-fleet
Avatar2go wrote:B757Forever wrote:
Yes. Most of the premature wear is in the hot section. The compressors seem to be holding up better than the turbines. The gearbox, that many assumed would be problematic, have had no issues. Pratt is aware of all the issues. I presume they are diligently working to resolve but it seems they have a lot on their plate with 1100/1500 GTF issues and the PW2000 turbine blade issues.
Thanks for this, it's interesting that the issues are in the engine core rather than the gearbox as expected.
Nomadd wrote:Avatar2go wrote:B757Forever wrote:
Yes. Most of the premature wear is in the hot section. The compressors seem to be holding up better than the turbines. The gearbox, that many assumed would be problematic, have had no issues. Pratt is aware of all the issues. I presume they are diligently working to resolve but it seems they have a lot on their plate with 1100/1500 GTF issues and the PW2000 turbine blade issues.
Thanks for this, it's interesting that the issues are in the engine core rather than the gearbox as expected.
I've heard little but good regarding the gearboxes since this thing began. I remember from many years ago them announcing they were getting 99% efficiency instead of the 98% they'd planned, which doesn't sound like much better from one direction But from another angle, it means only half the inefficiency, which means only half the heat generated which is a huge deal.
lightsaber wrote:oldJoe wrote:lightsaber wrote:Well, Qantas firmed their order for 20 A220. Something must be going right.
https://www.stattimes.com/amp/aviation/ ... er-1345263
Lightsaber
I would like to add that according to the Airbus press release, the A321XLRs are also equipped with P&W GTFs. At 80+ engines one must also congratulate P&W
https://www.airbus.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2022-05-qantas-confirms-future-airbus-fleet
I missed that QF went Pratt on the A321s. A switch from the 737s and with the 787s being GE, I just assumed LEAP. With AC and QF going Pratt on A321xLRs, there seems to be a positive trend.
B757Forever wrote:Avatar2go wrote:B757Forever wrote:The main issue with the GTF is not reliability, it is longevity. These two issues seem to be getting intermixed in this thread. The dispatch and in-service reliability has improved dramatically as bugs get addressed. The time-on-wing has only improved marginally.
So is the issue premature wear of components? And will they address that by introducing more durable components over time?
Yes. Most of the premature wear is in the hot section. The compressors seem to be holding up better than the turbines. The gearbox, that many assumed would be problematic, have had no issues. Pratt is aware of all the issues. I presume they are diligently working to resolve but it seems they have a lot on their plate with 1100/1500 GTF issues and the PW2000 turbine blade issues.
Nomadd wrote:
I've heard little but good regarding the gearboxes since this thing began. I remember from many years ago them announcing they were getting 99% efficiency instead of the 98% they'd planned, which doesn't sound like much better from one direction But from another angle, it means only half the inefficiency, which means only half the heat generated which is a huge deal.
SA280 wrote:lightsaber wrote:SA280 wrote:No, they aren't.
Lightsaber
I have my intel sources and they are not public.
You have to be careful with marketing numbers presented by OEMs and also consider that many positive public statements done by operators aim at keeping a good relationship and promoting an aircraft that they are already committed to.
So, talk to operators if you want to find more reliable information. I'm not telling you to avoid your media sources, just telling you not to disregard intel that is not public.
Regarding Egypt Air, you can check in many public platforms they have many aircraft parked, even though you cannot know the reason. That's when you ask insiders and, yes, the reason is the poor engine reliability, frequent removals and lack of spares.
The reason you will not find this in the media is because, as you may know, few airlines want to publicize their issues with OEMs as this would only worsens an already troubled relationship caused by EIS below expectations. Even airlines that do that, such as Qatar, just the tip of the iceberg goes to the media. And they suffer the consequences for puclizing it.
randomdude83 wrote:So this particular article states that Egyptair has had 15 of its 24 PW engines on the A220 replaced and they're waiting on the remaining to be replaced as well.
That would be very interesting if all the fleet's engines have been replaced and alarming a bit. as of now, they are flying only 5 of the 10 they have and the remaining have been stored for a while.
https://www.timesaerospace.aero/sites/a ... issue1.pdf
Page 7 of the pdf.