eurotrader85 wrote:One thing that got me thinking is once certain airlines know the outcome of this, will their governments just stick their fingers up to the Dutch government in a tit-for-tat on rights for their own country. Take RJ for instance, I understand they have a cargo operation out of MST, but let's be honest, trying to service the city of Amsterdam for Pax from MST is stretching it. I mean it's a good 2.5hr drive. They could serve BRU or DUS instead and be the same distance from AMS, but with a bigger local catchment area. Obviously, that would require separate bilateral agreements with the Belgian/German governments, but agreements go two ways. If the Dutch government is making life so difficult for Jordan then who's to say they shouldn't reciprocate the difficulty? I know access to AMN doesn't equate in value to AMS, but there will be other, probably bigger, casualties in a 12% reduction in slots at AMS. Landing rights, and of course taking it further if 5th freedom etc, is often a major point in trade discussions between countries.
You are confusing (1) short term measures and (2) long term measures here.
1. Short term measures = COVID Recovery Summer 2022:
Like many airports and airlines in Europe and the rest of the world, AMS is suffering staff shortages as Summer 2022 traffic has recovered much faster than predicted earlier this year.
In addition to taking on staff as quickly as possible in a tight labour market, AMS has requested airlines to reduce traffic for JULY and AUGUST 2022 ONLY.
So Royal Jordanian has responed by moving just 3x July flights from AMS to MST, no less, no more.
2. Long term measures = The intended NL Government capacity reduction of AMS from late 2023 to 440.000 annual movements.
First of all, this is by no means a done deal, as parliament and industry will have to agree with the suggested measures.
It involves complex elements, such as the potential transfer of (willing) LCC operators to Lelystad Airport, the opening of which is not certain due to political and licensing issues.
If sufficient LCC operators are willing to move to a more efficient and lower cost airport, to improve their productivity, than the NL Government hopes network carriers can remain at AMS.
At this time, it is way to early to speculate about the impact on individual carriers.