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RainyDaySolace
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Jan 04, 2023 11:04 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 13, 2023 3:52 pm

2travel2know2 wrote:
baje427 wrote:
I'm not sold on the South American expansion but they probably have access to numbers we don't. Perhaps they'll schedule the South American flights to connect with their North American departure bank, however I think that would mean they'd need to increase their frequencies.
Other than returning to CCS, South America where??
CM hasn’t made it into PZO Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela yet where there’s a demand for (South) Florida and maybe IAH and NYC.
IMHO, The sheer size of Sao Paulo market, might be able to sustain 3-4 POS-GRU-POS per week, however, if BW is looking for the oil/gas-related traffic, GIG is the choice, but connections to/from GEO and IAH will be a must. Worth noticing, LIM and VVI also have oil-gas traffic demand.
Other than those destinations, I can’t visualise BW anywhere else in South America.
Be CCS or any other possible potential destination if the connecting time is more than 3 hours between flights, forget about BW being an attractive option.


It would be awesome if BW somehow manages to kick off flights to Brazil, there is quite a lot of untapped potential on the business side of things. A push for either GRU or GIG would also open up an interesting new tourist market to Trinidadians who will find that Brazil is much more affordable as a tourism destination than either the EU or NA. Definitely looking forward to hopefully lower prices than CM or a shorter trip than making the GRU - BEL - PBM - POS I usually do.
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 13, 2023 4:28 pm

Just posting some data on the GEO-JFK market from the USDOT O&D data site for all airlines in 2022 ending Oct

MM Airline PAX Seats LF%
1 AA 5,787 8,600 67.3%
1 B6 7,364 12,000 61.4%
1 BW 4,885 8,400 58.2%
2 AA 5,483 8,944 61.3%
2 B6 6,780 10,800 62.8%
2 BW 4,481 8,540 52.5%
3 AA 6,878 10,664 64.5%
3 B6 8,789 12,400 70.9%
3 BW 5,818 9,900 58.8%
4 AA 8,486 10,320 82.2%
4 B6 9,778 11,600 84.3%
4 BW 7,519 9,600 78.3%
5 AA 8,338 10,664 78.2%
5 B6 9,886 12,400 79.7%
5 BW 6,893 9,920 69.5%
6 AA 7,737 9,804 78.9%
6 B6 10,284 12,000 85.7%
6 BW 7,312 9,600 76.2%
7 AA 9,007 10,664 84.5%
7 B6 11,056 12,000 92.1%
7 BW 9,236 9,920 93.1%
8 AA 8,898 10,320 86.2%
8 B6 11,316 12,400 91.3%
8 BW 9,399 9,920 94.7%
9 AA 7,540 10,148 74.3%
9 B6 10,401 11,800 88.1%
9 BW 7,224 9,440 76.5%
10 AA 7,882 10,320 76.4%
10 B6 10,607 12,400 85.5%
10 BW 7,329 9,920 73.9%
 
caribny
Posts: 1268
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 1:47 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 13, 2023 6:22 pm

caribbean484 wrote:
Just posting some data on the GEO-JFK market from the USDOT O&D data site for all airlines in 2022 ending Oct

MM Airline PAX Seats LF%
1 AA 5,787 8,600 67.3%
1 B6 7,364 12,000 61.4%
1 BW 4,885 8,400 58.2%
2 AA 5,483 8,944 61.3%
2 B6 6,780 10,800 62.8%
2 BW 4,481 8,540 52.5%
3 AA 6,878 10,664 64.5%
3 B6 8,789 12,400 70.9%
3 BW 5,818 9,900 58.8%
4 AA 8,486 10,320 82.2%
4 B6 9,778 11,600 84.3%
4 BW 7,519 9,600 78.3%
5 AA 8,338 10,664 78.2%
5 B6 9,886 12,400 79.7%
5 BW 6,893 9,920 69.5%
6 AA 7,737 9,804 78.9%
6 B6 10,284 12,000 85.7%
6 BW 7,312 9,600 76.2%
7 AA 9,007 10,664 84.5%
7 B6 11,056 12,000 92.1%
7 BW 9,236 9,920 93.1%
8 AA 8,898 10,320 86.2%
8 B6 11,316 12,400 91.3%
8 BW 9,399 9,920 94.7%
9 AA 7,540 10,148 74.3%
9 B6 10,401 11,800 88.1%
9 BW 7,224 9,440 76.5%
10 AA 7,882 10,320 76.4%
10 B6 10,607 12,400 85.5%
10 BW 7,329 9,920 73.9%




Of course not every seat on the BW flight was allocated to the GEO JFK sector, so these stats refer to flights arriving from/departing to GEO, however many of these are travelling between JFK and POS. Each of these airlines have daily service. Divide seats available by days of the month and you will note that this doesnt account for in transit travel through GEO to/from POS.
 
aa1818
Posts: 1741
Joined: Sat Feb 04, 2006 2:03 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 1:07 am

A few questions for those in the know...

With the 3 new ATRs due soon at CAL, do we expect any 737 for ATR substitutions? PBM? CUR?

I've seen/ heard a slew of new destinations but not the route- FDF and PTP would be from POS or BGI?

If they get E2Jets, I presume they would be E195-2 (the most popular model) but what would be the advantage. I see most carrier have them configured single class about 130 pax. In 2-class with a 100-110 configuration, are they still economical?

I see the solar farm at POS is coming along nicely.

Any update on the proposed hotel at Piarco? I don't see anything resembling construction activity.

Cheers,
AA1818
 
Brickell305
Posts: 2116
Joined: Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:07 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 12:07 pm

caribny wrote:
caribbean484 wrote:
maverick4002 wrote:

I like this freight idea. They lease the 767s now. Why not start a fleet (same rating for commerical flights, yes?) and operate cargo flights within the region and possible beyond


That was the original plan pre Covid, to have 2 dry lease 738 freighters to expand the cargo network with the focus of MIA being the cargo hub to the Caribbean and some intra-regional cargo.
BW has a large share of the cargo market in POS, KIN, and BGI and the natural progression of things was to bring everything in-house.

As for IAH, since they are looking to bring back the full schedule pre covid, they will need to go beyond the 3 MAXs as IAH will take up a lot of resources, with an average block and ground time of 14hrs (6hr each way + 2hrs ground), then you add in the possibility of them adding GEO for energy business you are talking about an additional 4 hrs of flight + ground time.

Talking about STT, it will be interesting to see if they also add AXA to the list of new destinations. I know that a delegation of BW met with BDA sometime last year also but a long shot route, along with BZE.
BW needs to bring back the 2w non-stop BGI-KIN flight and also look to restart GCM.



All very interesting.

1. If BW adequately services the northeast Caribbean from BGI/POS then indeed one can wonder about LI.
2. JY cannot be allowed to have a monopoly based on comments that I have seen from their passengers on their BGI route. Good if BW provides backup.
3. JFK POS will be interesting. Based on recent conversations they have lost most of their JFK GEO market as AA/B6 under cut them so I will be curious if BW is able to return to pre pandemic levels of service on the JFK Eastern Caribbean routes.
4, South America will be interesting to work with GOL, who stopped flights to BGI They only service PBM within CARICOM. Maybe they can leverage hubs in POS/GRU as this route will probably be workable with connecting service.
5. Not sure why AXA. SKB is way more important for intra regional travel given that its the financial center for the OECS.
6. If BW and WM collaborate this might allow a replication of LIs pre pandemic schedule, given that their strengths lie in different parts of the Eastern Caribbean. This will force JY to provide consistent service on its BGI hub.
7. The only carrier into POS which is back at pre pandemic levels is UA on the IAH POS, and this despite being a long route. This indicate opportunities for BW when one considers that they have access to GEO and PBM, the latter especially with AA pulling out.

I expect AA to return to pre-pandemic levels soon. What’s odd is that in 2022, they did return to pre-pandemic capacity and then cut back in 2023 when one would presume that demand would be up and their fleet/crew constraints would be less of an issue.

CM is also adding more capacity though they are not yet back at 2x daily.
 
Brickell305
Posts: 2116
Joined: Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:07 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 12:20 pm

aa1818 wrote:
A few questions for those in the know...

With the 3 new ATRs due soon at CAL, do we expect any 737 for ATR substitutions? PBM? CUR?

I've seen/ heard a slew of new destinations but not the route- FDF and PTP would be from POS or BGI?

If they get E2Jets, I presume they would be E195-2 (the most popular model) but what would be the advantage. I see most carrier have them configured single class about 130 pax. In 2-class with a 100-110 configuration, are they still economical?

I see the solar farm at POS is coming along nicely.

Any update on the proposed hotel at Piarco? I don't see anything resembling construction activity.

Cheers,
AA1818

I also don’t see the benefit of E-jets unless they plan to start new routes with them e.g. PTY. Or unless they are planning on increasing frequency on routes like MCO/FLL and more KIN-POS nonstop.
 
A388
Posts: 8256
Joined: Mon May 21, 2001 3:48 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 12:29 pm

Brickell305 wrote:
aa1818 wrote:
A few questions for those in the know...

With the 3 new ATRs due soon at CAL, do we expect any 737 for ATR substitutions? PBM? CUR?

I've seen/ heard a slew of new destinations but not the route- FDF and PTP would be from POS or BGI?

If they get E2Jets, I presume they would be E195-2 (the most popular model) but what would be the advantage. I see most carrier have them configured single class about 130 pax. In 2-class with a 100-110 configuration, are they still economical?

I see the solar farm at POS is coming along nicely.

Any update on the proposed hotel at Piarco? I don't see anything resembling construction activity.

Cheers,
AA1818

I also don’t see the benefit of E-jets unless they plan to start new routes with them e.g. PTY. Or unless they are planning on increasing frequency on routes like MCO/FLL and more KIN-POS nonstop.


Indeed, there is no need for CAL to have the E2 in their fleet. The 737MAX and ATR mix works just fine.

A388
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 12:38 pm

The E Jete could cover the longer regional hops and serve as a back up on some North American routes. Perhaps even reopen some old BW routes such as POS-IAD however, I don't see the benefit of introducing another type in an operation the size of BW. On the topic of BW one of the larger trip report channels covered them:https://youtu.be/v-fxzaPjROk
 
TriniA340
Posts: 205
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2005 2:12 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 12:58 pm

TriniA340 wrote:
POS-CCS new tentative start date: 22-Apr.


BW to CCS Start date postponed; no longer happening in April. Will update if anything changes.
 
2travel2know2
Posts: 3371
Joined: Mon Apr 26, 2010 3:01 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:55 pm

RainyDaySolace wrote:
2travel2know2 wrote:
baje427 wrote:
I'm not sold on the South American expansion but they probably have access to numbers we don't. Perhaps they'll schedule the South American flights to connect with their North American departure bank, however I think that would mean they'd need to increase their frequencies.
Other than returning to CCS, South America where??
CM hasn’t made it into PZO Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela yet where there’s a demand for (South) Florida and maybe IAH and NYC.
IMHO, The sheer size of Sao Paulo market, might be able to sustain 3-4 POS-GRU-POS per week, however, if BW is looking for the oil/gas-related traffic, GIG is the choice, but connections to/from GEO and IAH will be a must. Worth noticing, LIM and VVI also have oil-gas traffic demand.
Other than those destinations, I can’t visualise BW anywhere else in South America.
Be CCS or any other possible potential destination if the connecting time is more than 3 hours between flights, forget about BW being an attractive option.


It would be awesome if BW somehow manages to kick off flights to Brazil, there is quite a lot of untapped potential on the business side of things. A push for either GRU or GIG would also open up an interesting new tourist market to Trinidadians who will find that Brazil is much more affordable as a tourism destination than either the EU or NA. Definitely looking forward to hopefully lower prices than CM or a shorter trip than making the GRU - BEL - PBM - POS I usually do.
If BW’s ATR has been used on POS-CUR, then it has range for POS-BVB (Boa Vista) ?
In recent years, BVB has become popular (take meaning of that word with a grain of salt) with Venezuelans and has been knows to be used by Guyanese who want to travel to/from the rest of Brazil.
 
caribny
Posts: 1268
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 1:47 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:41 pm

2travel2know2 wrote:
RainyDaySolace wrote:
2travel2know2 wrote:
Other than returning to CCS, South America where??
CM hasn’t made it into PZO Puerto Ordaz, Venezuela yet where there’s a demand for (South) Florida and maybe IAH and NYC.
IMHO, The sheer size of Sao Paulo market, might be able to sustain 3-4 POS-GRU-POS per week, however, if BW is looking for the oil/gas-related traffic, GIG is the choice, but connections to/from GEO and IAH will be a must. Worth noticing, LIM and VVI also have oil-gas traffic demand.
Other than those destinations, I can’t visualise BW anywhere else in South America.
Be CCS or any other possible potential destination if the connecting time is more than 3 hours between flights, forget about BW being an attractive option.


It would be awesome if BW somehow manages to kick off flights to Brazil, there is quite a lot of untapped potential on the business side of things. A push for either GRU or GIG would also open up an interesting new tourist market to Trinidadians who will find that Brazil is much more affordable as a tourism destination than either the EU or NA. Definitely looking forward to hopefully lower prices than CM or a shorter trip than making the GRU - BEL - PBM - POS I usually do.
If BW’s ATR has been used on POS-CUR, then it has range for POS-BVB (Boa Vista) ?
In recent years, BVB has become popular (take meaning of that word with a grain of salt) with Venezuelans and has been knows to be used by Guyanese who want to travel to/from the rest of Brazil.



Any BW routes to Brazil will be to GRU or GIG, depending on the feed on the Brazil end, and whether they can offer feed to a Brazilian carrier on the POS end. GOL used to do BGI/TAB. BVB is already served by local Guyanese carriers out of OGL, and this only because Guyana borders Brazil so both Guyanese and Brazilians use it as a jump off point. Choice of GRU/GIG will depend on the markets that will be served.

BW just upgraded POS CUR so ATRs will be used to flesh out LIs service ex POS. They used to have as many as 6x daily to the Eastern Caribbean islands, and as of now there is not that much capacity to the northern end of the chain, so BW might be looking at those destinations once all 3 new ATRs are in place. Clearly fully serving the TAB, GND, SLU, SVD and BGI ATR routes will be the priority.

IF CM, considerably larger than BW, is simplifying its fleet around 737s BW isnt likely to add a different jet type.
 
ktarabay98
Posts: 82
Joined: Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:42 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:28 pm

Caribbean Airlines (CAL) requested to the DOT for an expansion of access to the bilateral agreements between the US and Trinidad & Tobago. The airline plans to start operations in San Juan and St. Thomas this year, forecasting 5,339 passengers this year and 21,356 passengers for next year to and from SJU. For STT, they forecast 2,613 passenger this year and 21,356 passengers for the next year.

In 2020, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, the airline received DOT permits to carry out a milk route between Port of Spain and San Juan with a stopover on different islands in the Lesser Antilles using ATR-72 equipment.

Caribbean Airlines is the former BWIA who flew to San Juan for several decades connecting directly with islands such as Jamaica, Barbados and Antigua until the 1990s when BWIA ceased its operations locally at SJU because the destination ceased to be profitable for the airline due to strong competition from the American Airlines hub established in SJU.

https://downloads.regulations.gov/DOT-OST-2006-26586-0027/attachment_1.pdf
 
dominicl316
Posts: 203
Joined: Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:48 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 9:16 pm

ktarabay98 wrote:
Caribbean Airlines (CAL) requested to the DOT for an expansion of access to the bilateral agreements between the US and Trinidad & Tobago. The airline plans to start operations in San Juan and St. Thomas this year, forecasting 5,339 passengers this year and 21,356 passengers for next year to and from SJU. For STT, they forecast 2,613 passenger this year and 21,356 passengers for the next year.

In 2020, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, the airline received DOT permits to carry out a milk route between Port of Spain and San Juan with a stopover on different islands in the Lesser Antilles using ATR-72 equipment.

Caribbean Airlines is the former BWIA who flew to San Juan for several decades connecting directly with islands such as Jamaica, Barbados and Antigua until the 1990s when BWIA ceased its operations locally at SJU because the destination ceased to be profitable for the airline due to strong competition from the American Airlines hub established in SJU.

https://downloads.regulations.gov/DOT-OST-2006-26586-0027/attachment_1.pdf


Why St. Thomas and not St. Croix. It was STX that BWIA used to fly to in the early 90s on their milk run, not STT.
 
LimaFoxTango
Posts: 1207
Joined: Wed Jun 16, 2004 11:33 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 9:47 pm

dominicl316 wrote:
Why St. Thomas and not St. Croix. It was STX that BWIA used to fly to in the early 90s on their milk run, not STT.


While both STT and STX both have historical ties to the Eastern Caribbean, nowadays, STT might be seen as the better of the two islands, if I could be so blunt. STT is more developed and offers a better tourist product. STT also has flights to many parts of the US although it is not seen as a connections hub. Though somewhat inconvenient, it is not difficult to fly between STT and STX.
 
303dk
Posts: 602
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2016 11:26 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed Apr 19, 2023 9:53 pm

LimaFoxTango wrote:
dominicl316 wrote:
Why St. Thomas and not St. Croix. It was STX that BWIA used to fly to in the early 90s on their milk run, not STT.


While both STT and STX both have historical ties to the Eastern Caribbean, nowadays, STT might be seen as the better of the two islands, if I could be so blunt. STT is more developed and offers a better tourist product. STT also has flights to many parts of the US although it is not seen as a connections hub. Though somewhat inconvenient, it is not difficult to fly between STT and STX.

STT also has a wealthier population and serves St John, Tortola, and Jost. Depending on flight times, same day connections to St Croix by plane, sea plane, or ferry are possible.
 
caribny
Posts: 1268
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 1:47 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 1:31 am

303dk wrote:
LimaFoxTango wrote:
dominicl316 wrote:
Why St. Thomas and not St. Croix. It was STX that BWIA used to fly to in the early 90s on their milk run, not STT.


While both STT and STX both have historical ties to the Eastern Caribbean, nowadays, STT might be seen as the better of the two islands, if I could be so blunt. STT is more developed and offers a better tourist product. STT also has flights to many parts of the US although it is not seen as a connections hub. Though somewhat inconvenient, it is not difficult to fly between STT and STX.

STT also has a wealthier population and serves St John, Tortola, and Jost. Depending on flight times, same day connections to St Croix by plane, sea plane, or ferry are possible.



This depends on which will be intermediate stops between POS and the USVI. The old TT community in STX must be gutted now so the VFR travel that supported STX POS in the old days no longer exists. Also SJU no longer is a shopping and can no longer compete with MIA. So again the intermediate stops selected. I know that SKB has been campaigning to get BW as there is no longer convenient connections to the deep southern Caribbean. Also the current 3M difficulties might open up SJU opportunities.

The document refers to 4 ATR planes to be acquired by the summer, and not 3. If this is the case BW will definitely to going for significant expansion into the LI space. Note that POS used to be the largest source of intra regional travel and the 2nd largest destination. So there is a big gap to fill as travel returns to pre pandemic
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:14 am

caribny wrote:
303dk wrote:
LimaFoxTango wrote:

While both STT and STX both have historical ties to the Eastern Caribbean, nowadays, STT might be seen as the better of the two islands, if I could be so blunt. STT is more developed and offers a better tourist product. STT also has flights to many parts of the US although it is not seen as a connections hub. Though somewhat inconvenient, it is not difficult to fly between STT and STX.

STT also has a wealthier population and serves St John, Tortola, and Jost. Depending on flight times, same day connections to St Croix by plane, sea plane, or ferry are possible.



This depends on which will be intermediate stops between POS and the USVI. The old TT community in STX must be gutted now so the VFR travel that supported STX POS in the old days no longer exists. Also SJU no longer is a shopping and can no longer compete with MIA. So again the intermediate stops selected. I know that SKB has been campaigning to get BW as there is no longer convenient connections to the deep southern Caribbean. Also the current 3M difficulties might open up SJU opportunities.

The document refers to 4 ATR planes to be acquired by the summer, and not 3. If this is the case BW will definitely to going for significant expansion into the LI space. Note that POS used to be the largest source of intra regional travel and the 2nd largest destination. So there is a big gap to fill as travel returns to pre pandemic

I do believe it was noted some of LI's routes were profitable soIm guessing BW will take those up. JY's ramp up in BGI has been pretty significant if they time their GEO flight a bit better they could have a pretty good operation.
 
ryby92
Posts: 74
Joined: Sun Dec 08, 2019 7:34 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 9:13 am

caribbean484 wrote:
Just posting some data on the GEO-JFK market from the USDOT O&D data site for all airlines in 2022 ending Oct

MM Airline PAX Seats LF%
1 AA 5,787 8,600 67.3%
1 B6 7,364 12,000 61.4%
1 BW 4,885 8,400 58.2%
2 AA 5,483 8,944 61.3%
2 B6 6,780 10,800 62.8%
2 BW 4,481 8,540 52.5%
3 AA 6,878 10,664 64.5%
3 B6 8,789 12,400 70.9%
3 BW 5,818 9,900 58.8%
4 AA 8,486 10,320 82.2%
4 B6 9,778 11,600 84.3%
4 BW 7,519 9,600 78.3%
5 AA 8,338 10,664 78.2%
5 B6 9,886 12,400 79.7%
5 BW 6,893 9,920 69.5%
6 AA 7,737 9,804 78.9%
6 B6 10,284 12,000 85.7%
6 BW 7,312 9,600 76.2%
7 AA 9,007 10,664 84.5%
7 B6 11,056 12,000 92.1%
7 BW 9,236 9,920 93.1%
8 AA 8,898 10,320 86.2%
8 B6 11,316 12,400 91.3%
8 BW 9,399 9,920 94.7%
9 AA 7,540 10,148 74.3%
9 B6 10,401 11,800 88.1%
9 BW 7,224 9,440 76.5%
10 AA 7,882 10,320 76.4%
10 B6 10,607 12,400 85.5%
10 BW 7,329 9,920 73.9%

Great report. Thanks. Can you provide the data for GEO - MIA?
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 1:32 pm

ryby92 wrote:
caribbean484 wrote:
Just posting some data on the GEO-JFK market from the USDOT O&D data site for all airlines in 2022 ending Oct

MM Airline PAX Seats LF%
1 AA 5,787 8,600 67.3%
1 B6 7,364 12,000 61.4%
1 BW 4,885 8,400 58.2%
2 AA 5,483 8,944 61.3%
2 B6 6,780 10,800 62.8%
2 BW 4,481 8,540 52.5%
3 AA 6,878 10,664 64.5%
3 B6 8,789 12,400 70.9%
3 BW 5,818 9,900 58.8%
4 AA 8,486 10,320 82.2%
4 B6 9,778 11,600 84.3%
4 BW 7,519 9,600 78.3%
5 AA 8,338 10,664 78.2%
5 B6 9,886 12,400 79.7%
5 BW 6,893 9,920 69.5%
6 AA 7,737 9,804 78.9%
6 B6 10,284 12,000 85.7%
6 BW 7,312 9,600 76.2%
7 AA 9,007 10,664 84.5%
7 B6 11,056 12,000 92.1%
7 BW 9,236 9,920 93.1%
8 AA 8,898 10,320 86.2%
8 B6 11,316 12,400 91.3%
8 BW 9,399 9,920 94.7%
9 AA 7,540 10,148 74.3%
9 B6 10,401 11,800 88.1%
9 BW 7,224 9,440 76.5%
10 AA 7,882 10,320 76.4%
10 B6 10,607 12,400 85.5%
10 BW 7,329 9,920 73.9%

Great report. Thanks. Can you provide the data for GEO - MIA?


GEO-MIA-GEO

Month'22 PAX Seats LF%
Jan 8,045 10,836 74.2%
Feb 7,773 9,460 82.2%
Mar 9,016 10,664 84.5%
Apr 9,186 10,320 89.0%
May 8,716 10,320 84.5%
Jun 9,126 10,320 88.4%
Jul 9,727 10,664 91.2%
Aug 9,145 10,492 87.2%
Sep 8,268 10,320 80.1%
Oct 8,628 10,664 80.9%
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:07 pm

caribny wrote:
303dk wrote:
LimaFoxTango wrote:

While both STT and STX both have historical ties to the Eastern Caribbean, nowadays, STT might be seen as the better of the two islands, if I could be so blunt. STT is more developed and offers a better tourist product. STT also has flights to many parts of the US although it is not seen as a connections hub. Though somewhat inconvenient, it is not difficult to fly between STT and STX.

STT also has a wealthier population and serves St John, Tortola, and Jost. Depending on flight times, same day connections to St Croix by plane, sea plane, or ferry are possible.



This depends on which will be intermediate stops between POS and the USVI. The old TT community in STX must be gutted now so the VFR travel that supported STX POS in the old days no longer exists. Also SJU no longer is a shopping and can no longer compete with MIA. So again the intermediate stops selected. I know that SKB has been campaigning to get BW as there is no longer convenient connections to the deep southern Caribbean. Also the current 3M difficulties might open up SJU opportunities.

The document refers to 4 ATR planes to be acquired by the summer, and not 3. If this is the case BW will definitely to going for significant expansion into the LI space. Note that POS used to be the largest source of intra regional travel and the 2nd largest destination. So there is a big gap to fill as travel returns to pre pandemic


STT is also the busier of the two airports and as others have mentioned its more developed and wealthier. BW would have had to do their market analysis and determined that STT was the better fit to its network. It will be interesting to see the routing, but we will know soon enough what the plans for the regional expansion are.

CCS keeps being pushed back.

Interesting they are stating 4 ATRs in the document, however only 3 are currently confirmed, and they are already recruiting pilots for the ATRs.
 
303dk
Posts: 602
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2016 11:26 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 2:59 pm

caribbean484 wrote:
caribny wrote:
303dk wrote:
STT also has a wealthier population and serves St John, Tortola, and Jost. Depending on flight times, same day connections to St Croix by plane, sea plane, or ferry are possible.



This depends on which will be intermediate stops between POS and the USVI. The old TT community in STX must be gutted now so the VFR travel that supported STX POS in the old days no longer exists. Also SJU no longer is a shopping and can no longer compete with MIA. So again the intermediate stops selected. I know that SKB has been campaigning to get BW as there is no longer convenient connections to the deep southern Caribbean. Also the current 3M difficulties might open up SJU opportunities.

The document refers to 4 ATR planes to be acquired by the summer, and not 3. If this is the case BW will definitely to going for significant expansion into the LI space. Note that POS used to be the largest source of intra regional travel and the 2nd largest destination. So there is a big gap to fill as travel returns to pre pandemic


STT is also the busier of the two airports and as others have mentioned its more developed and wealthier. BW would have had to do their market analysis and determined that STT was the better fit to its network. It will be interesting to see the routing, but we will know soon enough what the plans for the regional expansion are.

CCS keeps being pushed back.

Interesting they are stating 4 ATRs in the document, however only 3 are currently confirmed, and they are already recruiting pilots for the ATRs.
the USVI is still pursuing the visa waiver program for certain Caribbean visitors. That could make a big difference to the success of a route to STT.
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 3:14 pm

303dk wrote:
caribbean484 wrote:
caribny wrote:


This depends on which will be intermediate stops between POS and the USVI. The old TT community in STX must be gutted now so the VFR travel that supported STX POS in the old days no longer exists. Also SJU no longer is a shopping and can no longer compete with MIA. So again the intermediate stops selected. I know that SKB has been campaigning to get BW as there is no longer convenient connections to the deep southern Caribbean. Also the current 3M difficulties might open up SJU opportunities.

The document refers to 4 ATR planes to be acquired by the summer, and not 3. If this is the case BW will definitely to going for significant expansion into the LI space. Note that POS used to be the largest source of intra regional travel and the 2nd largest destination. So there is a big gap to fill as travel returns to pre pandemic


STT is also the busier of the two airports and as others have mentioned its more developed and wealthier. BW would have had to do their market analysis and determined that STT was the better fit to its network. It will be interesting to see the routing, but we will know soon enough what the plans for the regional expansion are.

CCS keeps being pushed back.

Interesting they are stating 4 ATRs in the document, however only 3 are currently confirmed, and they are already recruiting pilots for the ATRs.
the USVI is still pursuing the visa waiver program for certain Caribbean visitors. That could make a big difference to the success of a route to STT.


Yes I was thinking of that, as I remembered last year USVI got approval for visa waiver from US State Department for those within CariCOM travelling for up to 45 days to and from the islands.
https://caribbean.loopnews.com/content/ ... ion-waived
 
ryby92
Posts: 74
Joined: Sun Dec 08, 2019 7:34 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu Apr 20, 2023 3:52 pm

caribbean484 wrote:
ryby92 wrote:
caribbean484 wrote:
Just posting some data on the GEO-JFK market from the USDOT O&D data site for all airlines in 2022 ending Oct

MM Airline PAX Seats LF%
1 AA 5,787 8,600 67.3%
1 B6 7,364 12,000 61.4%
1 BW 4,885 8,400 58.2%
2 AA 5,483 8,944 61.3%
2 B6 6,780 10,800 62.8%
2 BW 4,481 8,540 52.5%
3 AA 6,878 10,664 64.5%
3 B6 8,789 12,400 70.9%
3 BW 5,818 9,900 58.8%
4 AA 8,486 10,320 82.2%
4 B6 9,778 11,600 84.3%
4 BW 7,519 9,600 78.3%
5 AA 8,338 10,664 78.2%
5 B6 9,886 12,400 79.7%
5 BW 6,893 9,920 69.5%
6 AA 7,737 9,804 78.9%
6 B6 10,284 12,000 85.7%
6 BW 7,312 9,600 76.2%
7 AA 9,007 10,664 84.5%
7 B6 11,056 12,000 92.1%
7 BW 9,236 9,920 93.1%
8 AA 8,898 10,320 86.2%
8 B6 11,316 12,400 91.3%
8 BW 9,399 9,920 94.7%
9 AA 7,540 10,148 74.3%
9 B6 10,401 11,800 88.1%
9 BW 7,224 9,440 76.5%
10 AA 7,882 10,320 76.4%
10 B6 10,607 12,400 85.5%
10 BW 7,329 9,920 73.9%

Great report. Thanks. Can you provide the data for GEO - MIA?


GEO-MIA-GEO

Month'22 PAX Seats LF%
Jan 8,045 10,836 74.2%
Feb 7,773 9,460 82.2%
Mar 9,016 10,664 84.5%
Apr 9,186 10,320 89.0%
May 8,716 10,320 84.5%
Jun 9,126 10,320 88.4%
Jul 9,727 10,664 91.2%
Aug 9,145 10,492 87.2%
Sep 8,268 10,320 80.1%
Oct 8,628 10,664 80.9%

Thanks. MIA traffic more consistent with higher load factor.
 
phatfarmlines
Posts: 2834
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2001 12:06 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Sat Apr 22, 2023 6:03 pm

Anyone know if the underway Cibao (STI / MDST) Airport terminal project will replace the existing terminal facilities?

https://www.aviationpros.com/airports/p ... architects
 
TriniA340
Posts: 205
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2005 2:12 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Mon Apr 24, 2023 12:27 pm

TriniA340 wrote:
TriniA340 wrote:
POS-CCS new tentative start date: 22-Apr.


BW to CCS Start date postponed; no longer happening in April. Will update if anything changes.


Just announced - Start date May 13th.
 
Brickell305
Posts: 2116
Joined: Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:07 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Mon Apr 24, 2023 4:27 pm

TriniA340 wrote:
TriniA340 wrote:
TriniA340 wrote:
POS-CCS new tentative start date: 22-Apr.


BW to CCS Start date postponed; no longer happening in April. Will update if anything changes.


Just announced - Start date May 13th.

Is this an ATR or 737?
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Mon Apr 24, 2023 4:41 pm

Brickell305 wrote:
TriniA340 wrote:
TriniA340 wrote:

BW to CCS Start date postponed; no longer happening in April. Will update if anything changes.


Just announced - Start date May 13th.

Is this an ATR or 737?


ATRs for now: The last time BW sent 737s to CCS was in 2016 before the economy really deteriorated in Venezuela and they were getting a lot of transfer pax as a result of sanctions and other restrictions.
If the route does well with things getting better in CCS and the growing population (ex-pats) as well as the airline doing transit, we can see them gradually to daily within 18 months and maybe a return to 737s.
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Mon Apr 24, 2023 4:44 pm

phatfarmlines wrote:
Anyone know if the underway Cibao (STI / MDST) Airport terminal project will replace the existing terminal facilities?

https://www.aviationpros.com/airports/p ... architects


Wow love this rendition of the new terminal. I believe it will replace the current terminal; in that it is being build up top of the current terminal but maybe Caribbean007 or someone else in the DR can give a perspective of the new terminal.
 
Jetcruiser
Posts: 24
Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2022 3:21 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Mon Apr 24, 2023 7:42 pm

phatfarmlines wrote:
Anyone know if the underway Cibao (STI / MDST) Airport terminal project will replace the existing terminal facilities?

https://www.aviationpros.com/airports/p ... architects


Wow, didn't expect Jetblue to order the 777 :boggled:
 
danipawa
Posts: 733
Joined: Sat Oct 01, 2016 1:18 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Tue Apr 25, 2023 12:57 am

phatfarmlines wrote:
Anyone know if the underway Cibao (STI / MDST) Airport terminal project will replace the existing terminal facilities?

https://www.aviationpros.com/airports/p ... architects


This new terminal going to be in the current terminal but expanded to the sides.. Adding the taxiway to the runway and a runway extension too
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Tue Apr 25, 2023 3:54 pm

I know JY is private but does anyone have any word on how their BGI ramp up is going?
 
maverick4002
Posts: 682
Joined: Sun Jul 12, 2015 2:14 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Fri Apr 28, 2023 11:56 am

When is BW's new ATR supposed to join? Wasn't it the end of April?
 
fowlr29
Posts: 250
Joined: Sat Jun 27, 2020 1:29 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Fri Apr 28, 2023 4:28 pm

Laser starting 2x a week Tuesday and Friday services CCS-CUR with the MD. Starting May5th

Albatros Airlines, who I haven't heard of before, started recently Wednesdays and Fridays, Las Piedras-Curacao and Valencia-Curacao with the E120.
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Sun Apr 30, 2023 1:44 pm

fowlr29 wrote:
Laser starting 2x a week Tuesday and Friday services CCS-CUR with the MD. Starting May5th

Albatros Airlines, who I haven't heard of before, started recently Wednesdays and Fridays, Las Piedras-Curacao and Valencia-Curacao with the E120.

Albatros has been around for a while they operated into AUA in the past.
 
9YCAL
Posts: 41
Joined: Fri Feb 08, 2008 1:03 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Sun Apr 30, 2023 3:14 pm

maverick4002 wrote:
When is BW's new ATR supposed to join? Wasn't it the end of April?


First Aircraft due this week with the second following the week after.
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Sun Apr 30, 2023 3:26 pm

9YCAL wrote:
maverick4002 wrote:
When is BW's new ATR supposed to join? Wasn't it the end of April?


First Aircraft due this week with the second following the week after.

Where did they pick up these birds ?
 
LimaFoxTango
Posts: 1207
Joined: Wed Jun 16, 2004 11:33 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Sun Apr 30, 2023 8:22 pm

baje427 wrote:
9YCAL wrote:
maverick4002 wrote:
When is BW's new ATR supposed to join? Wasn't it the end of April?


First Aircraft due this week with the second following the week after.

Where did they pick up these birds ?


Leased from NAC, I think (subject to correction) all ex Air KBZ frames.
 
trini81
Posts: 75
Joined: Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:26 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 12:11 am

It has been reported that Norse Atlantic would start flying to Barbados and Jamaica from London Gatwick in Oct 2023
7x weekly LGW-BGI begins October 29
- 3x weekly LGW-KIN begins October 31
- 4x weekly LGW-MBJ begins October 29
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 1:03 am

trini81 wrote:
It has been reported that Norse Atlantic would start flying to Barbados and Jamaica from London Gatwick in Oct 2023
7x weekly LGW-BGI begins October 29
- 3x weekly LGW-KIN begins October 31
- 4x weekly LGW-MBJ begins October 29

It'll be interesting to see how BA and VS respond to this.
 
BW985
Posts: 64
Joined: Mon Nov 05, 2007 7:50 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 6:33 am

Do you have a source for Norse Atlantic Airways stating flights to Barbados and Jamaica?

Will be interesting to see if they’ll just be winter services or year round.
 
trintocan
Posts: 2865
Joined: Sun Apr 23, 2000 6:02 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 11:11 am

trini81 wrote:
It has been reported that Norse Atlantic would start flying to Barbados and Jamaica from London Gatwick in Oct 2023
7x weekly LGW-BGI begins October 29
- 3x weekly LGW-KIN begins October 31
- 4x weekly LGW-MBJ begins October 29


I've seen this posted elsewhere. It appears as if Norse Atlantic is trying to gain a foothold in the Caribbean. With BGI they are probably aiming to provide a cheaper LGW option. After all BA only go from LHR year-round with LGW coming in as additional Winter flights while VS are exclusively LHR. If the tourist market picks up further it may work but they need to do a lot of promotion to gain traction. BA's strength in BGI should not be underestimated though. Jamaica routes are a different matter altogether. MBJ is mainly tourism-driven but BA have struggled there in recent years. VS and also BY (TUI) have done well there. Norse would need to work with a package tour operator to make there work in my opinion. KIN is largely VFR but also rather loyal to BA. Would cheaper fares enable Norse to break in?

All the best to them on these new ventures.

Trintocan.
 
baje427
Posts: 1349
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2011 12:42 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 11:36 am

BW985 wrote:
Do you have a source for Norse Atlantic Airways stating flights to Barbados and Jamaica?

Will be interesting to see if they’ll just be winter services or year round.

Flights are bookable on their website I tried a dummy booking the flight came out to around 600usd that's around 400 usd cheaper than BA or VS.
 
Brickell305
Posts: 2116
Joined: Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:07 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 12:01 pm

BW985 wrote:
Do you have a source for Norse Atlantic Airways stating flights to Barbados and Jamaica?

Will be interesting to see if they’ll just be winter services or year round.

The flights are on sale on their website. It’s also posted elsewhere on the forum.
 
Brickell305
Posts: 2116
Joined: Sat Jun 24, 2017 2:07 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 12:09 pm

trintocan wrote:
trini81 wrote:
It has been reported that Norse Atlantic would start flying to Barbados and Jamaica from London Gatwick in Oct 2023
7x weekly LGW-BGI begins October 29
- 3x weekly LGW-KIN begins October 31
- 4x weekly LGW-MBJ begins October 29


I've seen this posted elsewhere. It appears as if Norse Atlantic is trying to gain a foothold in the Caribbean. With BGI they are probably aiming to provide a cheaper LGW option. After all BA only go from LHR year-round with LGW coming in as additional Winter flights while VS are exclusively LHR. If the tourist market picks up further it may work but they need to do a lot of promotion to gain traction. BA's strength in BGI should not be underestimated though. Jamaica routes are a different matter altogether. MBJ is mainly tourism-driven but BA have struggled there in recent years. VS and also BY (TUI) have done well there. Norse would need to work with a package tour operator to make there work in my opinion. KIN is largely VFR but also rather loyal to BA. Would cheaper fares enable Norse to break in?

All the best to them on these new ventures.

Trintocan.

I question their ability to compete on BGI and KIN as well. I think they’ll do fine in MBJ which is a more mass market tourism destination. BGI however is a more upscale tourism destination and the crowd from the UK that travels there tends to be more upper middle class. They may not prefer a LCC over BA/VS. That said, there have been low cost charters to BGI in the past that have done well enough so Norse may hold their own here.

With regard to KIN, the English speaking Caribbean VFR markets have been generally hostile to LCC. Even from the US, we’ve seen NK struggle to POS and lag in KIN. I don’t know how that will square with LGW-KIN where the VFR market skews even older than the US-KIN market where the older crowd tends to be more set in their preferences.
 
LimaFoxTango
Posts: 1207
Joined: Wed Jun 16, 2004 11:33 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 12:23 pm

BWs new(est) ATR 9Y-TTG is currently enroute to POS now leaving KEF to YYR.
 
caribbean484
Posts: 1196
Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2007 1:57 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 1:25 pm

trintocan wrote:
trini81 wrote:
It has been reported that Norse Atlantic would start flying to Barbados and Jamaica from London Gatwick in Oct 2023
7x weekly LGW-BGI begins October 29
- 3x weekly LGW-KIN begins October 31
- 4x weekly LGW-MBJ begins October 29


I've seen this posted elsewhere. It appears as if Norse Atlantic is trying to gain a foothold in the Caribbean. With BGI they are probably aiming to provide a cheaper LGW option. After all BA only go from LHR year-round with LGW coming in as additional Winter flights while VS are exclusively LHR. If the tourist market picks up further it may work but they need to do a lot of promotion to gain traction. BA's strength in BGI should not be underestimated though. Jamaica routes are a different matter altogether. MBJ is mainly tourism-driven but BA have struggled there in recent years. VS and also BY (TUI) have done well there. Norse would need to work with a package tour operator to make there work in my opinion. KIN is largely VFR but also rather loyal to BA. Would cheaper fares enable Norse to break in?

All the best to them on these new ventures.

Trintocan.


I think it's a good strategy for them to shift capacity from the North American Winter into the Caribbean sun destination for the winter Nov-Apr periods. It looks like Norse is pulling away from the Norwegian model and we will see the strategy stays and is fully profitable for them.
As to the routes BGI and MBJ the hope is that they are working with travel agents in the UK to make sure the package holiday destinations are well marketed to ensure high loads. I would have expected CUN and PUJ being added to the mix since those are also Mass markets with MBJ.
As for KIN that is an interesting pick so we will see how loyal the VFR is to BA on that route when N0 starts.
If they are successful maybe next winter, we can see them maybe add UVF and ANU into the mix and to stretch a little since they are looking at VFR adding POS.
I also think they can add ORL-FDF/PTP since they already have a French base

LimaFoxTango wrote:
BWs new(est) ATR 9Y-TTG is currently enroute to POS now leaving KEF to YYR.


Will be in Tomorrow night and soon after 9Y-TTH.
 
LightChop2Chop
Posts: 401
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:33 pm

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Wed May 03, 2023 11:47 pm

I would have really expected Norse to do LGW - PUJ / CUN. those are no brainers and pretty easy to fill due to the shear drawing power of those destinations. MBJ should do fine. I don't think KIN will be around too long. that is a very hard VFR / Business route to crack and if there was enough demand to fill a second carrier we would have seen BA doing daily already. BGI is a premium market. will be interesting to see what happens there.
 
caribny
Posts: 1268
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 1:47 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu May 04, 2023 12:18 pm

LightChop2Chop wrote:
I would have really expected Norse to do LGW - PUJ / CUN. those are no brainers and pretty easy to fill due to the shear drawing power of those destinations. MBJ should do fine. I don't think KIN will be around too long. that is a very hard VFR / Business route to crack and if there was enough demand to fill a second carrier we would have seen BA doing daily already. BGI is a premium market. will be interesting to see what happens there.


Given that the UK Caribbean VFR market is highly mature I do not know how much price elasticity exists. How much high frequency travel exists in this market segment? Will offering lower fares result in more travel? This isnt a growing market, so there are fewer new travelers that can be added, so one will be trying to shift existing passenger preferences and that will be difficult. I do agree that BA is a strong brand in these VFR markets. I am not even sure how VS stacks up against BA in VFR markets on routes where they compete, And VS is well established on these UK Caribbean routes.

I suspect that mass leisure routes with ample tour operator activity will be where Norse can do best. CUN, MBJ, and PUJ. TUI does a lot of activity into BGI. Is this mainly cruise home port travel, or is there some price sensitive mass market in there? If so then Norse might go after that segment. The fact that VS is tenuous into ANU and UVF outside the winter suggests that there is limited scope for Norse in these markets. Not sure that UVF is seen as mass market these days, and ANU definitely isnt.
 
caribny
Posts: 1268
Joined: Sat Mar 16, 2019 1:47 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu May 04, 2023 12:23 pm

LimaFoxTango wrote:
BWs new(est) ATR 9Y-TTG is currently enroute to POS now leaving KEF to YYR.



Wonder how BW will adjust their summer schedule for these additional planes. I expect beefed up POS TAB. Maybe more GND, SVD, SLU and BGI? The new destinations will await the arrival of the 3rd and 4th new planes.
 
dcajet
Posts: 7521
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2004 9:31 am

Re: Caribbean Aviation - 2023

Thu May 04, 2023 12:46 pm

Dominican low cost Arajet has been authorized by the local regulator to offer service to deep South America from its Santo Domingo Las Americas SDQ base.

Cities included on the authorization are Asunción ASU, Buenos Aires EZE, Montevideo MVD, Santa Cruz de la Sierra VVI and Santiago SCL

https://www.aviacionline.com/2023/05/ar ... y-uruguay/

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