|Quoting CHRISBA777ER (Reply 40):|
Nagoya, and Okinawa would all be candidates to get it, and none are A380-ready
Maybe you are thinking of old Nagoya, now known as Nagoya Komaki Municipal Airport. That one can only recieve smaller planes as stated in the agreement between Chubu Airport authority and Aichi Prefecture, operator of Komaki. Nagoya is A380 ready. It was designed when the A380 was being proposed. They decided to make the taxi ways wider and even make sure that one A380 could deplane at the airport. But for NGO
, our chances of seeing a Pax version are slim. But the Cargo version has a real chance of making an appearance as FedEx increases its operations here.
As for JAL buying the A380...It has NOTHING
to do with Airbus vs Boeing. It has to do with the market and fragmentation. Until Kansai opened, Narita was the only major international airport offering non-stops to many corners of the globe. Last year NGO
opened offering yet another option for more non-stop flights. There is no need to fly to Narita to make your connection when you can fly non-stop to where you need to go. That means that JL
's need for so many large planes is a disadvantage to maintain its profit or gaining profit.
In the next few years we could see FUK
open to non-stop flights to Europe and North America. That will further fragment the market and lead to less need for 747 and larger planes in Japan.
There are flights using 744s that leave Narita less than half-full and many of those passengers are not premium but flying on cheap package tours. As a result JL
isn't making money. Yet they don't have enough smaller planes that can be substituted when this happens or to fit the route.
20 years ago, the 747 was the only plane that could make Japan-Europe and Japan-North American East Coast. So they bought many and held the market. They had little competition and Japan was in an economic boom. Now it has tons of competition and the economy is not the best. If you wanted to go from Hong Kong to New York 20 years ago, you couldn't go non-stop, you had to go via Tokyo or ANC
. Many Asian Carriers could get limited 5th freedoms via NRT
but the NAA gave special rights to JL
. Now that control is gone with the opening of new routes (opening of Russian and Chinese airspace).
Maybe someday JL
will need the A380 but as the market has become more competative and fragmented, it is not an option. I don't even see the 787-8i joining the JL fleet.
I see JL
going the route of smaller planes doing non-stop routes to destinations world wide and then using planes domestically to connect those airports so people can have options if one flight is full. Example; Currently if I cannot get a seat on NGO
, I can be routed to NGO
One more point...JL
is joining OneWorld and as a result they are letting more of their partners take routes to balance out their competition.
My name is Centrair but HND is closer. Let's Japanese Aviation!