The 787 will provide significant fragmentation of the market. Asia to Europe is one of the obvious route. Now, I've been following KE
more than JL
, partially as they are starting the fragmentation with A332s.
I could see HND
or BER for the OneWorld connections.
|Quoting IndianicWorld (Reply 1):|
A few routes might stay on after this experimentation period, but I would expect vast changes to the mindset in a few years back to a more conservative strategy for these planes.
Then explain the market fragmentation with the A332. The 787 is coming in with better economics and (eventually) more range. KE
has been using the A332 to increase connections to Europe and Africa. With a little more range, quite a few more routes become viable. If you mean that most 787 routes will be 767 replacement, that I agree. That isn't the same as saying there won't be growth.
For example KE
will use the 789 to open up Europe and the South-East US. I could see a few other destinations. (e.g., PDX
after a few more years of economic improvement.) QR
will use the 787 to 'fill holes' in their route map to the US, Asia, Africa, and probably Europe.
The 787 combined with the A320NEO and 737MAX will lead to an exiting era of increased fragmentation. More 'secondary cities' will be connected to further away hubs.
Winter is coming.