Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
Quoting oc2dc (Thread starter): Staring in early 2014 frequencies will be increased to the low teens. |
Quoting LAXintl (Reply 4): AA is indeed tight on JFK slots - hence the deal with JetBlue couple years back. If they need to shed slots they still have quite a few AE flights which probably don't have much value, or some low hanging fruit with single frequency domestic flights to places like LAS, SEA, MCO, TPA, SAN which likely don't mean much in the bigger network picture. |
Quoting American 767 (Reply 3): |
Quoting oc2dc (Thread starter): Also interesting to note, AA will board passengers on the A321T though the L2 door. I guess that puts that debate to rest. |
Quoting PHX787 (Reply 8): Quoting toobz (Reply 7):Hourly flights on a 5-6 hour transcon..? Hope they don't lose too much money. That's what I'm thinking....doesn't sound like a good idea to me. |
Quoting United_fan (Reply 9): This keeps the 'pee-ons' from oogling the 'stars' in F. |
Quoting fun2fly (Reply 11): if they end up w/ 10 per day that's quite a nice setup. |
Quoting JBAirwaysFan (Reply 14): With multiple carriers on the JFK-LAX route (or NYC-LAX in general), how much more capacity can the market take? I know it's a very lucrative market with tons of demand, but every market has a limit. What is the limit on this one? |
Quoting RayChuang (Reply 18): The demand historically has always been gigantic--especially once the movie industry started to become important in the second decade of the 20th Century. Even before the airlines became important, the major American railroads had a LOT of service between New York City and Los Angeles--note that New York Central's 20th Century Limited and Pennsylvania Railroad's Broadway Limited at times synced their schedules so passengers could easily transfer to Rock Island/Southern Pacific's Golden State Limited, Santa Fe's Super Chief or Union Pacific/Chicago & Northwestern's City of Los Angeles. When AA introduced the DC-3, it didn't take long for AA to use it on the New York City to Los Angeles route--the plane could fly from New York City to Los Angeles in 17.5 hours (including refueling stops)--less than half the time the Super Chief train needed just to travel from Chicago to Los Angeles! Small wonder just before the American entrance into World War II, both Boeing and Douglas were developing four-engined airliners that could fly between New York City and Los Angeles faster and requiring fewer fuel stops. In my humble opinion, it was the burgeoning Los Angeles-New York City route that drove the development of the Douglas DC-6/7/8, the Lockheed Constellation, and the Boeing 707. The fact in 2013 you have multiple airlines flying many flights per day between LAX and JFK shows how strong this route is even now. AA's decision to increase the flight frequency between JFK and LAX--especially with the impending arrival of the A321 models--continues this trend. |
Quoting klwright69 (Reply 21): It is strange to call it a "shuttle," I agree. Shuttle implies something like BOS-LGA, DFW/DAL-IAH, SFO-LAX. |
Quoting usairways85 (Reply 24): So UA added flts on EWR-LAX/SFO for a total of ~14 flts/day on each just because VX came in and now AA is adding another 5 each. Year over Year this has to be a ton of additional capacity on NYC-LAX/SFO. |
Quoting toobz (Reply 13): Uhh the best? You know DL has widebody with aisle access for every seat as well. Wouldn't say AA has the best. It's a great product as well |
Quoting klwright69 (Reply 21): Maybe they see the need to "keep up with the joneses" in terms of frequency (UA in EWR) also. I totally understand EWR and JFK transcon market dynamics are not the same. But there is now a real precedent for high frequency flights to LAX and SFO from the NYC area. |
Quoting usairways85 (Reply 24): So UA added flts on EWR-LAX/SFO for a total of ~14 flts/day on each just because VX came in and now AA is adding another 5 each. Year over Year this has to be a ton of additional capacity on NYC-LAX/SFO. |
Quoting sw733 (Reply 25): To me, shuttle service doesn't matter with length, but rather with frequency. Hourly service between Los Angeles and New York really is a shuttle service because of the frequency. |
Quoting American 767 (Reply 26): I'm wondering what is the survival chance of EWR-LAX for AA. |
Quoting 9w748capt (Reply 22): Nothing AA does sounds like a good idea to you. Except maybe for PHX-NRT shuttles? |
Quoting WesternA318 (Reply 23): To me...anything close to a shuttle on the AA system would be LAX-JFK, MIA/JFK-SJU, JFK-MIA... |
Quoting toobz (Reply 13): You know DL has widebody with aisle access for every seat as well. |
Quoting klwright69 (Reply 21): Maybe they see the need to "keep up with the joneses" in terms of frequency (UA in EWR) also. I totally understand EWR and JFK transcon market dynamics are not the same. |
Quoting commavia (Reply 28): DL's F and UA's BF cabins will be competitive with AA's C cabins on these planes, |
Quoting commavia (Reply 28): but the look and feel of AA's F appears to be in a category by itself in the domestic U.S. market. |
Quoting CODC10 (Reply 30): but the question remains whether there is enough demand to justify 10 F seats on 13-15 daily frequencies. This will be an increase in capacity for the product while the ultra-premium segment is declining in the transcon market. |
Quoting commavia (Reply 31): I suspect that AA is banking on three things: (1) this overall better F product will help them to capture new incremental local and longhaul-connecting (AA and codeshare/interline) premium demand, (2) the strength of their corporate contracts will allow them to upsell some incremental portion of their present C customers into F, and (3) AA will pick up some level of the current F demand UA now attracts but will lose when it eliminates the F cabin. |
Quoting American 767 (Reply 26): I'm wondering what is the survival chance of EWR-LAX for AA. I see it going seasonal. I don't see it going anymore than 1x daily year round unless the US economy significantly bounces up to pre 9-11 levels by miracle. If that happens maybe it'll see larger 763 equipment (if there is enough demand) or 2x daily 738, 2x daily A321 or 2x daily one of each. AA in EWR is weak. |
Quoting cgnnrw (Reply 35): What are the chances AA will finish building their T8 at JFK. If I'm not mistaken only half of the proposed terminal was completed. Maybe with these extra frequencies they'll finish the rest of T8? |
Quoting American 767 (Reply 26): AA in EWR is weak. |
Quoting Mah4546 (Reply 34): Who cares that AA is weak at Newark? It is very strong in Los Angeles, and it can easily - and does easily - support a daily Newark rotation that is ideally timed for local LA traffic and international connections. Flight isn't going anywhere. |
Quoting PHX787 (Reply 29): JFK-MIA shuttles make the best sense to me. Same with JFK-DFW. |
Quoting 9w748capt (Reply 22): Nothing AA does sounds like a good idea to you. Except maybe for PHX-NRT shuttles? |
Quoting Mah4546 (Reply 34): Who cares that AA is weak at Newark? It is very strong in Los Angeles, and it can easily - and does easily - support a daily Newark rotation that is ideally timed for local LA traffic and international connections. Flight isn't going anywhere. |
Quoting ckfred (Reply 37): AA also tried this on ORD-LAX in the early 1990s. With the recession, AA decided to retire a number of DC-10s. That left AA short of widebodies. So, it went to a shuttle operation on the route, using mostly MD-80s, with 2 or 3 757s and 2 763s. Remember that was before VX and before WN had long-haul non-stops out of MDW. |
Quoting PHX787 (Reply 29): JFK-MIA shuttles make the best sense to me. Same with JFK-DFW. |
Quoting jfklganyc (Reply 16): Shuttle is a word usually associated with high frequency, all coach with a decent product, |
Quoting us330 (Reply 42): and only token service from both points to JFK to cater to European connections. |
Quoting commavia (Reply 19): Although this still portends a substantial reduction in capacity (particularly in Y) - which is obviously the point. |
Quoting MaverickM11 (Reply 43): Hourly AA 321s with 3 classes, new PS on UA plus eleventy daily flights from EWR, B6 jumping in with a 321 and premium product, DL with additional capacity and upgraded products--transcons are about to get serious, as if they weren't already. And then there's VX, who is suddenly going to be one of the few without a lie flat product.... |
Quoting ExL10Mktg (Reply 47): Here's the math: current midweek schedule 9 x 762 @ 10/30/128 = 90/270/1152 least case scenario 12 x 321 @ 10/20/102 = 120/240/1224 likely scenario 14 x 321 @ 10/20/102 = 140/280/1428 Either way you are looking at least a slight to fair overall increase in Y capacity a very hefty increase in F and +/- in J (so just fewer or more upgrades lol.) Further, the Y will now break down into 36 MCE +96 standard so financially a big boost! |