Update: 2 dead; 1 unaccounted for according to CNN.
It also looks like the second engine is on the airport grounds according to pictures from CNN. It is unclear though the location of this engine. Can anyone tell?
Look at the 8th picture:
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/07/06/us...o-plane-crash/index.html?hpt=hp_t1
My guess is that they can in too low, then the pilots realized late pulled up and striking the empennage into the seawall and ripping the man landing gear off, or striking with the main landing gear (ripping them off) then the empennage. From the pictures, there is no sign of the main landing gear, only the nose gear that is on the runway.
From passenger accounts, the engines were spooled up right before the impact, this alone puts to rest any concerns over icing in the fuel system (ala. London Heathrow 2008).
Speculation:
Scenario 1: Altimeter was set wrong. Flightaware radar data when compared to other flights landing on the same runway minutes before OZ214 they were about 200-300ft below glideslope consistently.
Scenario 2: They were on visual approach misjudged the distance from the runway.
Scenario 3: Stalled at the last second or got a stall warning and the pilots over-reacted by pulling up sharply while increasing the power to the engines instead of just adding power and dropping the nose a degree or two. Looks like there are a pretty good drop in airspeed, so if this data is accurate, there could be some truth in this scenario.
TIME LAT LON HDG KTS MPH ALT
VS Source
02:27PM 37.6016 -122.3340 297° West 141 162 600ft -1,320 Descending FlightAware
02:27PM 37.6045 -122.3410 298° West 134 154 400ft -900 Descending FlightAware
02:27PM 37.6073 -122.3480 297° West 123 142 300ft -840 Descending FlightAware
02:27PM 37.6103 -122.3550 298° West 109 125 100ft -120 Descending FlightAware