|Quoting 747megatop (Reply 96):|
(agreed the causes in these cases are different but the point is that they fell/dived from the sky
No, they didn't. Pan Am 103 and AI
182 were blown out of the sky. And we're talking about the possibility of that here too.
and US 737's that crashed were both during maneuvering on landing, with warning given to ATC by the pilots. It didn't happen at cruise, it didn't happen with no distress call and it was due to a design defect. It's not impossible, but it would be even unlikelier than a hijacking and safe landing that a design defect exists in the 777-200 that could bring it down from cruise with no distress call. We can talk about that if you believe it to be the case, though.
447 wouldn't have happened in clear weather. That's not to say the weather caused it, but it did initiate it, and it was suspected as being involved in the accident right from the beginning. There's no such naturally occurring prime suspect here. And the pilots of MH370 shouldn't have been out of contact with ATC. (From what I've read in earlier threads, they had just been handed off.) If AF447 was in contact with ATC, there probably would have been some kind of distress call or at least indication of a problem. It didn't happen suddenly.
China Airlines 611 is the only one of your examples that really comes close to matching the description of what we know so far of MH370. But that was due to a faulty repair. We went through that possibility with this plane back in thread 1 and it hasn't been totally ruled out, but it seems extremely unlikely to me given their apparent turn to the left before disappearing from radar (the damaged wing was the right wing).
Also, probably worth pointing out that China Airlines 611 broke up at 3:28PM and was found at 5:05PM the same day.
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