No, I was talking in very broad terms.
There is here a fundamental misunderstanding on what we are at :
I know what we're not at : Solve the investigation on flight 370.
We should not be armchair aviators, armchair engineers, armchair psychologists, psychiatrists, political and strategical analysts : we are just a bunch of opinionated, sometimes passionate aviation fans.
What we should be is a group of sleuths, you know, the private eye who smokes a lot, drinks whisky by the gallons and picks up beautiful femmes fatales in some sleazy bars...but has a nice capacity for deduction : that's right, that's what we should be.( No ! I'm not talking about Columbo ! )
Like in every case of air accidents, there is a very limited number of areas to consider :
- The human side ( personalities, dynamics of relationships, CRM, procedure discipline, airline environment )
- The aircraft side ( systems and vulnerabilities to faults, limitations, performance, airframe integrity... )
- The environment aspect ( weather, ATC, airspace )
It doesn't seem much and very simplistic, but in fact there will be interactions between these fields, leading to a tree of events which could become very complex.
That has always been my point : We cannot exclude an initial theory just because it doesn't suit our personal preferences, even if at first sight it could look crackpotty or downright offensive.
A theory should stand on its own and fit the facts are they are progressively made available. If they don't any more, we have to look somewhere else, again and again...and again.
Now the facts :
- Where to find them is up to one's tastes and intellectuality. ( Me, I don't read newspapers because there is always the risk that sensationalism prevents from the time we all need to digest a piece of news in a clear and reasonable way : I only read weekly magazines )
- Facts should also stand on their own and withstand the test of time
- And finally, facts should be crosschecked with other unimpeachable sources.
Six weeks have now passed since the flight disappearance.
Isn't it time to review what we have - as facts - and start all over again ?
[Edited 2014-04-15 15:53:01]