|Quoting rtalk25 (Reply 195):|
I also noticed the one of the most stable routes, DCA-DEN at 3x daily, never has discounted fare specials. IAD-TPA was frequently being discounted as a contrast and it got the sudden cut.
has always been a well performing route. A long time ago Jeff Potter said that all he wanted for Christmas was more DCA
But did IAD
have high load factors? I don't know and I'd be mildly surprised if it did.
was always going to be problematic, it has a history for failure for airlines other than United and even United couldn't keep IAD
Many - here - decided from the git-go that IAD
would never work - there is a tendency for some to look for failure on a.net - and jumped on some of the cuts as proof of that.
They may yet be right, I don't know.
What is infinitely more interesting, to me, is that several IAD
routes do seem to working and that MSP
are slated to come back for summer. I'm a bit surprised about MEM
, but not about STL
was a dog from day one of booking to both IAD
. Yet STL
seems to do well on other routes.
doesn't surprise me (nor TTN
) because it was obvious that MSP
was a good booker for both from the start - I singled out IAD
here, before it actually flew. And here's that other anomaly - again - peak frequency on IAD
appears to be late February/early March, rather than the more obvious late March and spring break.
I think - only think - I know why IAD
didn't work, but given the apparent strength of TTN
, (some $500 round-trips and more) I'm not surprised they gave IAD
It seems to me - and I'm only a distant observer - that some routes react well to the ULCC concept, or Frontier's version of it, and some don't.
I don't know why this is and it's only a theory, I can't prove it. I don't know why folk are surprised when obviously seasonal routes go seasonal, except perhaps in the timing. I don't know what the full summer schedule will bring when it is announced. I don't know what will happen when the fleet is sorted out (and the new seats). I don't know how the reworking of the Apple contract will pan out.
I don't have any answers, or not many.
So anyone can tell me they do know why, and all I can say is that they may be right. I don't know and it isn't in my nature to seek out failure. In my much more ephemeral - and ruthless - business, optimism is our bread and butter, sometimes literally, as it is for me now.
[Edited 2015-02-05 10:52:24]