|Quoting na (Reply 13):|
Nonsense. The 748F is the most capable freighter worldwide with no competitor on the horizon.
But those capabilities are needed less and less.
Let us not forget that within a decade we should see the 777-8F enter the market. That plane should effectively match a 747-8 on payload lift and should effectively match a 747-400F on main deck payload volume. And it will burn a heck of a lot less fuel on 747 cargo stage lengths.
When that baby hits the market, I can't see why anyone would buy a new-build 747-8F.
And before somebody chimes in with "nose door loading of specialized cargo", that's going to be unique enough that the existing market of 747-8Fs and 747-400Fs will be able to fill it (IMO).
|Quoting kanban (Reply 23):|
Boeing can go under 1 a month and still turn a profit..
Can they? According to The Seattle Times
, Boeing is already at risk of having to take a mot-insignificant charge on the 747-8 under Program Accounting Rules as they're almost 40 frames short of their current Accounting Block.
And can they better utilize the space of 40-21, 40-22 and 40-23 now dedicated to 747 assembly? Especially with the 787 still having production ramp snags (so I could see the surge line in 40-24 still being necessary for longer than planned and that space is supposed to be used for the 777X production line.
And what of this 757 replacement airframe we hear about? There is really no room in Renton for it, so either she goes to Charleston or Everett...
|Quoting chrisp390 (Reply 27):|
Any chance of 5X ordering some 747-8F? That could bring some life back to the program
They're canceling or deferring 777F orders in favor of more 767-300Fs because the growth for them is in domestic (and they have shedloads of A300s and A310s to eventually replace).
[Edited 2014-12-09 16:15:40]