|Quoting jayunited (Reply 194):|
After reading the Flight global article my take away from it was this UA has plenty of options for the 787 and may convert some of those options. I don't think UA will convert existing 787 orders into 77W orders.
However I do wonder if UA does indeed order 10 77W's and keep the 35 A35J's already on order will this represent to much capacity? When UA converted its A359 order to the A35J and added an addition 10 frames I understood it because in addition to replacing current 744 routes the A35J would be used to upguage some routes out of EWR and IAH. Now if this order for 10 77W's comes to pass will UA have to many large widebody aircraft in its fleet? If this order happens UA would have 10 - 77W's, 27 - 787-10's and 35 - A35J's. I know UA at some point will have to replace 74 -777-200's, the 77W, 787-10, and the A35J are all larger than the 777-200. With only 12 788's and 26 789's will this move to larger widebody aircraft hurt UA down the road because UA will still have a need for smaller widebody jets to replace to fully replace the entire 767-3/4 fleet and upguage a few 757 international routes and most of the routes utilizing 767's or 757's don't need the capacity of an aircraft the size of a 787-10 or the larger 77W/35J.
United says that in the course of their fleet renewal (although I do not know how far that extends to, whether it'd be to the 767s, or 777s) they do not want a significant change in the net size of their fleet.
Obviously, the 787s will replace the 767s and some of the 777s (particularly the A models) and the A350-1000 could also ideally replace some of the 777s as well.
Now, the number of 787s A350s are not sufficient to replace everything. Assuming the A350s replace 747 and some 777 routes, there would be, approximately, 49 widebody aircraft that would need to be ordered to complete the fleet renewal and not have a net change in fleet size.
10 777-300ERs are being ordered.
39 aircraft need to be ordered.
I believe additional 787s will be ordered in the near future, perhaps 15-20 more. 35 is a very healthy fleet size for the A350-1000. That said, I don't see additional orders for said aircraft anytime soon, and the options UA
currently has could be used for the A321neoLR, should they choose to order it.
Because of the very nature of the potential 777-300ER order, it's suggested that the 777X could be ordered down the road (at this point, whether it'd be for the 777-8 or -9, I really don't know anymore.)
's longhaul widebody fleet is as followed (assuming the 747s 767s and 777s are retired)
>35 (?) 787-9
>35 (?) 787-10
20 (?) 777X
Size for current 747, 767 and 777 fleet:
[Edited 2015-01-20 16:57:54]