|Quoting astuteman (Reply 42):|
Makes sense. It would look really daft NOT to believe it when you see it
Absolutely not! I guess we'll just have to wait and see
|Quoting EPA001 (Reply 43):|
Of course I do. And here is the reason: it is conveniently and consistently left out when EK order 150 B777's, but it is brought up if EK talks about more A380's. I find that very inconsequent, but hey, maybe it's just me? .
It's probably you.
The 777X not only has 150 orders from EK, it has 145 other orders from 5 other airlines, with more on the horizon. It's a modern aircraft with updated aerodynamics, and will enter service in 5 years.
The A380 has been in service 10 years this April. There are 165 orders as of now, 140 of which are for EK alone. The last significant order was from You-Know-Who in 2013, for 50. Before that, in 2012, it was from SQ, who depleted their options for 5. And then of course, there's Amedeo, a leasing company, which just pushed back delivery of the type till 2017, and they ordered 20.
Everyone other than EK and SQ have order 20 and under, and most of those customers have received most or all of their orders. I'm willing to bet VS isn't going to want to deal with it, so I would expect them to convert to the A350 at least.
Airlines, notably BA, have stated that they do not want additional frames, and I believe AF said the same thing.
So here's what I see: I see a very large, expensive, four engined jet made by a company who gambled nearly everything on it's success, and ten years later, is having only one airline order them in sustainable numbers.
And then we have people on here stating "NEO the A380" and A380-900! One thing's for certain, Leahy is going to have to work till he weeps just so the company can break even on the A380-800ceo alone!
So, to answer your problem, the answer is simple. Twins are the future. The 777-9 and A350-1000 are the future. I believe that if nothing happens soon, the A380 will be a write off.
[Edited 2015-01-22 14:04:07]