I'm not sure what you are insinuating about Australia being raped by UAE, but Australia generally does have a very liberal aviation policy. By "authorities preventing this" he is probably referring to the current bilateral, which is indeed quite restrictive, but he is clearly hopeful that this will be amended within the next year.
Exactly. I'm not really sure why people are so concerned about the route being two stops, and therefore already writing it off as a failure. Sure, TK
isn't going to be grabbing much high yield traffic to LHR
, but then again they don't need to. They fly to, what, 150 (?) destinations across the Middle East, North Africa and Europe, and on the majority of those they will have an effective monopoly. Personally I'd always opt for TK
rather than the merry little gig through FRA
if my final destination wasn't served by ME3. Now, those individual markets of themselves are pretty minor, but if you can pull just a couple of passengers per day from each one you are starting to build a decent load. What's more, as they have an effective monopoly on each one the yields needn't be in the toilet. Even if they are, bare in mind that TK
has the sort of cost base that EK
By virtue of their smaller gauge TK
play by an entirely different set of rules even to ME3. In terms of bundling passengers to support long haul flights that don't make much sense on paper they beat EK
at their own game. Anyone else, and I might be inclined to agree with the predictions of failure, but not TK
My only concern is going to be J loads. Filling Y is going to be a doddle, and not just by flooding the market with $1500 fares to London, but if they can't get the people sitting up front that might be a wrench in the works. Knowing TK
though I shouldn't be too concerned. $5000-6000 fares to Europe in J will become de rigeur, they will Canute the "premium tourist" currently on AY
with better connections and 'direct' flights, and they can definitely make money hand over fist at those prices. Just watch QF
/EK and SQ
squirm when there starts to be downward pressure on premium yields.