Moderators: jsumali2, richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
Quoting enilria (Reply 4): I think HA is the most likely remaining airline to merge or be bought. |
Quoting Abeam79 (Reply 5): I can see HA and B6 make a merger. I've heard friends at B6 say that is a mild rumor. B6 has the A321's and domestic markets HA needs, and HA has the widebodies and pacific market B6 can certainly benefit. HA parks their A330's at B6's T5 in JFK so the B6 ground crew are all trained to handle A330, and the terminal is able to handle it. Both airlines are also high caterers to leisure markets. I think it would be a great unity. Throw in VX or maybe Alaska and you would have quite a nice trifecta merger, primed and ready to take on the big 3 domestically and internationally. |
Quoting hz747300 (Reply 2): Oh, please can they serve HKG! If one of the A321 takes over a route using the 767/330. |
Quoting cjpmaestro (Reply 6): Quoting Abeam79 (Reply 5): I can see HA and B6 make a merger. I've heard friends at B6 say that is a mild rumor. B6 has the A321's and domestic markets HA needs, and HA has the widebodies and pacific market B6 can certainly benefit. HA parks their A330's at B6's T5 in JFK so the B6 ground crew are all trained to handle A330, and the terminal is able to handle it. Both airlines are also high caterers to leisure markets. I think it would be a great unity. Throw in VX or maybe Alaska and you would have quite a nice trifecta merger, primed and ready to take on the big 3 domestically and internationally. I've always thought HA and AS would be a good fit. Geographically and route-wise |
Quoting infiniti329 (Reply 1): what good is an airline that dosent grow? |
Quoting Abeam79 (Reply 5): I've heard friends at B6 say that is a mild rumor. |
Quoting cjpmaestro (Reply 6): I've always thought HA and AS would be a good fit. |
Quoting EddieDude (Reply 8): There were rumors some weeks ago that AM was considering flying to HNL from MEX (probably once or twice per week) using its Dreamliners. I have always wondered whether MEX-HNL could be profitable (without reaching a conclusion), but if it were to happen, I think HA would be in a much better position to launch this flight. I could see this route as a HA-operated flight with DL and AM codeshares. Any opinions? |
Quoting TWA772LR (Reply 16): I think when the big 3 merger dust settles in the next 5-10 years, they will go shopping for the smaller airlines. HA, VX, and F9 seem to be the perfect airlines to acquire for the sake of adding planes, adding routes, and eliminating competitors, and nothing more. |
Quoting hz747300 (Reply 2): Oh, please can they serve HKG! If one of the A321 takes over a route using the 767/330. |
Quoting infiniti329 (Reply 1): I think the 321s should be used to launch smaller cities that can't support a 767 or 330. |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 22): I would like for HA to add another flight from PHX to go directly to OGG. Every flight I have been on from PHX has been full and I think that they would win the fight with US/AA. |
Quoting hkcanadaexpat (Reply 20): Neither the 767 or the 330 has the legs to do HNL-HKG with significant loads. Otherwise CX/KA would be flying the route using theirs (they've looked at it many many times and determined the 777 is too much plane for the forecast traffic). Once HA receives its A330neos, those frames may have the numbers to make HKG work, i'm not sure. A |
Quoting cathay747 (Reply 23): Quoting aztrainer (Reply 22): I would like for HA to add another flight from PHX to go directly to OGG. Every flight I have been on from PHX has been full and I think that they would win the fight with US/AA. That would be sweet, wouldn't it? And I agree...not just US/AA, but HA could beat the pants off any of the big 3. |
Quoting MIflyer12 (Reply 25): AA has a lot more feed into PHX than HA can conceivably get for beyond traffic thru HNL or OGG. I wouldn't bet against AA at PHX. Whether there's enough traffic for both to exist at PHX is less clear. |
Quoting ua2162 (Thread starter): They're a great airline but I wonder if they've reached their potential. The A321s on order will allow them to serve west coast markets from cities such as KOA. However, I can't imagine them really expanding beyond the cities they already serve, especially within the international market. My gut feeling is they have found their niche and they should continue to focus on this. Thoughts? |
Quoting cjpmaestro (Reply 6): I've always thought HA and AS would be a good fit. Geographically and route-wise |
Quoting hnl-jack (Reply 26): |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 22): |
Quoting MaxiAir (Reply 24): |
Quoting PITrules (Reply 21): I think PER-HNL would be a good fit: -would be PER's only flight to the US -more direct routing to LAX and SFO than via SYD -one stop connections to other US west coast destinations instead of two stops currently required -Hawaii remains popular with Australians |
Quoting bunumuring (Reply 31): Perth-US passengers would mainly go through Sydney or possibly Auckland (on Air New Zealand) or Melbourne (on Qantas/VA/United). |
Quoting bunumuring (Reply 31): Perth-Honolulu would be a very risky route in my opinion, but possible as a 'niche' market. I doubt very very much it would ever be anything more a few flights per week.. |
Quoting Sevensixtyseven (Reply 29): The biggest roadblock I see to this is the early departures/late arrivals of HA's North America flights. Take HA35/36, for example. There are very few WN arrivals (if any) that get into PHX in time for the 8:00am departure, and even fewer WN departures that leave PHX after the arrival of HA 36. The only 3 flights I can see working for connects with WN are HA's evening LAS and LAX flights, and the 1:55am LAS departure. Otherwise, I actually think your idea is a good one. It opens up a massive amount of feed for HA, and WN has zero risk with the high cost of flying to Hawaii. The only two roadblocks I can see is syncing the arrivals and departures to better connect flights, and co-locating in the same terminals where possible to make transfers easier. |
Quoting Sevensixtyseven (Reply 29): I doubt the A321 would be able to get off the ground for the 2600 mile route in the Arizona summer heat. |
Quoting cathay747 (Reply 23): That would be sweet, wouldn't it? And I agree...not just US/AA, but HA could beat the pants off any of the big 3. |
Quoting hnl-jack (Reply 26): At the current levels, both US and HA seem to be doing OK, but before HA adds additional capacity or flights from PHX, I think they'll play wait and see what AA does with the market. If AA decides it wants to take on HA they have could present some real problems for my favorite airline. On the other hand, if AA decides it doesn't need a major hub in PHX and cuts back, HA might upgage to an A-330 or add an A-321 next year. In any case, I think it will be at least a year before we see any changes in PHX by HA. |
Quoting PITrules (Reply 33): PER-US is not a matter of "if", but "when". IIRC the city of Perth is now about the same size as BNE was when it re-established a link to LAX about 10 years ago via QF, with a 747 no less. The only down side for PER is longer stage length. I agree it would be a niche market for Hawaiian at a few times weekly to start; but isn't that the frequency they started BNE at? And even SYD when they decided to re-enter the Australia market? Those two ramped up rather quickly, and MEL might come before PER, but I don't think PER is that far fetched in the long run. |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 35): |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 35): I do not see PHX getting a A-330 for a long time. With the signed agreement with DL to provide service to their 767 it will be 767 until it gets phase out IMHO. I have tracked the flight to PHX and they rotate some of the planes on multiple days. 588HA has been HA35/36 for the last three days. My last flight landed and there was a MX truck waiting to start working on 587HA when we landed and it was the second trip in a row for that frame. I also can say as a person that has used both, HA has a better product. I would love to see the metric for HA-35 and the island where most of the travelers go to after landing in HNL. With the amount of people in Arizona that fly to OGG that could be a sustainable flight. |
Quoting BeachBoy (Reply 40): As far as their expansion goes, look at their 3 main markets: INTERNATIONAL I think the next international expansion phase will be when NRT gets pre-clearance facilities which will allow HA to offer NRT-KOA-NRT, NRT-OGG-HNL-NRT, and NRT-LIH-HNL-NRT and start a NRT-HNL-NRT flight as well. They may also start serving smaller international markets like MAJ, RAR, APW, YVR (I know it's a big market, but not big enough to support daily widebody service because of AC and WS) when the A321s arrive. I just can't think of any other international market that can support nonstop service relying just on O&D because as many posters have said, there are many other closer and cheaper beach/tropical destinations in Asia. In addition, the secondary Japanese markets also compete against Japan's very efficient bullet train system that makes it difficult to charge a premium for nonstop service to makeup for lower LFs. INTERISLAND No real expansion opportunities except maybe JHM and possibly connecting the dots using 'Ohana like KOA-LIH. US MAINLAND As others have said, the next expansion phase will be when the A321s arrive allowing HA to start direct flights to the other islands and increase frequency on existing routes. As G4's experience showed, there aren't a lot of new markets on the West Coast that can support nonstop service to Hawaii. As other posters have said, no real opportunities east of PHX except for maybe BOS w/ a B6 codeshare unless they workout a codeshare w/ WN allowing for flights to BWI since runways at HOU and MDW are too short. The current biggest limitation to their expansion is the lack of hotel capacity on Oahu and lack of "affordable" hotel accommodations on the other islands. I still wish HA all the best. |
Quoting Sevensixtyseven (Reply 38): If my memory serves me right...HA used to fly HA 35/36 like so...12:30pm or so departure, 4:30pm arrival in HNL, then a 10-11pm departure for a morning arrival, they used to fly this for the codeshare they had with America West, before they got the 757s ETOPS capable and flew everything themselves. It worked because they could scoop up all the East Coast, Midwest, and Mountain West arrivals well in time to connect, and then HA36 got everyone to PHX in time to fly anywhere in the system. One thing is for certain, if they ever did such a thing, they would have to go double daily to HNL out of necessity or one to OGG as an addition, HA35/36 seem like they go out full or close to it every single day. |
Quoting cathay747 (Reply 41): And I really am thinking that the 321neo's could handle PHX-OGG. |
Quoting dfwjim1 (Reply 42): How about Stockton and/or Fresno also? |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 43): It could handle the traffic as right now US/AA has a monopoly of two 752's a day. I still do not think that they will use an A321 to PHX, but depending on the time of departure temperature may not be a problem. The one time I flew US we were weight restricted for a 10:30 departure in June. With the A321, I can see them going to a lot of smaller airports in California. |
Quoting aztrainer (Reply 43): HA-35 was always a 08:00 to 09:00 departure. US has moved their departures up to match HA. You are correct about HA-36 and its departure times from HNL. When I first started to fly it, they would leave 15:00HST and land at 23:45MST. |
Quoting 910A (Reply 45): |
Quoting Prost (Reply 46): Isn't the concrete block around HA's ankle right now the strong US dollar? I imagine routes that looked great on paper 5-7 years look abysmal right now. In July 2010 $1 = ¥94. July 2015 $1 = ¥124. Now, Japan is just one country, but when a Hawaiian vacation has increased 30%, it's going to have an impact. It makes sense for HA to cultivate Hawaii as a luxurious vacation for Chinese visitors, but the visa rules are an impediment. The US mainland seems to be the way to go, and the A321 seems like the perfect plane. |
Quoting 910A (Reply 45): |
Quoting Sevensixtyseven (Reply 47): I remember when it was a 15:00 departure, 23:45 arrival however. |