Pressed by the company Gulf to launch a re-engined A380, Airbus has made three requests to Emirates: what could be its contribution to finance the development of the program, the number of copies which it could commit to order, and schedule deliveries. The two sides decided to give time. There will be no announcement of this program during the next Dubai Airshow in mid-November.
Pressed for nearly two years by Emirates to launch a remotorisée version of the A380 (Neo A380 new engine option), Airbus, according to our information, made a proposal in Dubai the company to launch the project, whose cost is estimated at almost three billion.
Airbus has three applications to the company Gulf: how much she was prepared to co-finance for the development of the program; How many copies is she prepared to order and what is the commissioning schedule of devices.
Airbus proposes to re-engine the A380 with Rolls Royce Trent derived XWB engines installed today on the A350-900. A relevant point to several specialists, although it is slightly too powerful engine today. "Then we must see if the device is elongated and if its mass is increased," says one of them. In addition to developing new engines, a repowering involves changing several points, including the wing.
Asked Airbus did not comment. Emirates was not able to do well.
No announcement at the Dubai Airshow
Visibly Emirates would not be willing to finance such co-development. And the aircraft manufacturer and the company Gulf have agreed to donate time, according to a close case in Europe.
"There will be no announcement at the Dubai Airshow. The pressure is relaxed," says a close case. Many observers speculated indeed a launch of Neo A380 at the Dubai Airshow in mid-November. "This leaves time to study not only repowering but also an extension of the A380," says this source.
Tim Clark, CEO of Emirates has repeatedly said his company was ready to order 200 copies. Pillar of the A380 program since its launch in 2000, Emirates has already ordered 140 superjumbo, of which 67 are in service today.
Since the beginning of the year, Airbus insists that improving the A380 take place "one day" but it was not the time. The manufacturer is extremely careful to invest as much money without knowing whether there is a real market. "It's a very small market that we dominate today", stated earlier this year John Leahy, Airbus commercial director of the.
| Read Airbus he was right too soon?
The experience of the current A380 is not reassuring indeed. The program was launched in 2000 and only 317 copies were sold, 44% to a single customer, Emirates. So, if the A380 entered service in late 2007 only, the weakness of its sales already raises the question of its future.
Exhaustion of production within 5 years?
Many experts believe, that under the current order book, it is urgent to launch the Airbus A380 Neo if wants to have time to develop (4-5 years minimum) before production of the current model runs out.
With 146 aircraft to deliver a good fifteen of which is uncertain (4 Transaero, 6 Virgin, 2 Air France, Air Austral 2), the production will be exhausted by 2020. Unless garner new orders hope as the direction (it ensures that a contract could be announced by the end of the year) or reduce the rate of production, which is now 2.2 aircraft per month. In 2015, Airbus will deliver between 23 and 25 A380.
A rate one would even be considered by less than two years if the level of orders did not change. "What is the minimum to maintain skills," said one observer. "This would increase production costs and would mean a termination of the program," said one.
Well well... Looks like Airbus is maybe exploring a financing scheme with EK to enable a "one customer" launch. The translation isn't perfect but seems to say that EK doesn't want to co-finance the NEO.
Those TXWB engines would be huge for the A380; this almost certainly means a stretch. Could the engines be TXWB plus the Advance's HP spool? Otherwise seems like Airbus is giving up on the Advance in its current proposals. Given backlog problems, they probably can't wait for the Advance even if RR sees a business case for putting it on the NEO.
23 to 25 deliveries this year? KarelXWB says 25 each of the next few years in the production thread.