|Quoting RickNRoll (Reply 44):|
QANTAS would have done well to buy the 777 at some time in the past but the replacement for the 777 now is the A350.
No one is talking about replacing 777's, bit point less anyway when QF
don't operate them. The discussion is whether QF
would order 778/779's to replace at first the remaining 744's and possibly in the future the 380's as well.
The 779 would be, on paper a near perfect replacement for the 744's, right there you are looking at a fleet of at least 10. A mixed order for some 778's would also give flexibility in the fleet and allow DFW
to be operated without restrictions. While the 779 is mentioned as a possible replacement for the 380's, no one is expecting that to happen overnight. Even if QF
ordered the 779 today, it is at least 5 years before they would arrive, a near perfect time line to replace the 747's. If they were also intended to replace the 380's, then you are looking at least the mid 2020's before it would start to happen. A mixed fleet of 789's and maybe 7810's, together with 778/779's gives a fleet with great flexibility.
The 380 at QF
at present is suited to LAX
and maybe HKG
, they really are restricted to those final destinations, they lack the flexibility to be used to just about every other destination that QF
serve. They won't be gone tomorrow, in fact they probably have at least 10 years left at QF
, before they start to leave, but I would be very surprised if QF
exercise the options they have for the 380. The exception would be if there was to be a major conflict in the Middle East drastically affecting the ME3. In such a situation, as long as the rest of world travel doesn't dry up as well, then I could see additional 380's being acquired to operate to Europe, but once again through South East Asia and perhaps China.