Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
sunrisevalley wrote:NZ must be getting to within a few weeks of taking delivery of -NZI. It is at the fuel dock so must be getting close to paint/ first flight or first flight/paint if it is being painted away from KPAE. I note -NZJ is only 8 frames behind it which is only three weeks production at the current 12 per month.
sunrisevalley wrote:http://nyc787.blogspot.com. 'Full Production Table' has ZK-NZI due for delivery on 15 July, with ZK-NZJ on 16 August and presently in stage 1A of final assembly.PA515
sunrisevalley wrote:[
There has been rumor that 2x 789 this year will have an new config, I guess time will tell.
I think that will be next year's deliveries
sunrisevalley wrote:http://nyc787.blogspot.com. 'Full Production Table' has ZK-NZI due for delivery on 15 July, with ZK-NZJ on 16 August and presently in stage 1A of final assembly.PA515
ZK-NBT wrote:Not to much slack now but things could change. Summer 16/17 looks like for 789's.
10 x PVG 3 aircraft
3x NRT 1 aircraft
7x SIN 1 aircraft
4x EZE 1.2 aircraft
4x HNL .6 aircraft
12x PER 2 aircraft
sunrisevalley wrote:http://nyc787.blogspot.com. 'Full Production Table' has ZK-NZI due for delivery on 15 July, with ZK-NZJ on 16 August and presently in stage 1A of final assembly.PA515
Air New Zealand has confirmed the sale of 19.98 per cent of Virgin Australia shares to Chinese conglomerate Nanshan Group.
The sale, first announced on June 10, was completed on Tuesday, the company said in a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange.
“As a result of the sale, Air New Zealand’s holding in Virgin Australia is approximately 5.9 per cent,” the company said.
zkncj wrote:ZK-NBT wrote:Not to much slack now but things could change. Summer 16/17 looks like for 789's.
10 x PVG 3 aircraft
3x NRT 1 aircraft
7x SIN 1 aircraft
4x EZE 1.2 aircraft
4x HNL .6 aircraft
12x PER 2 aircraft
In the recently investor day presentation they mentioned that AKL-PVG 14x weekly could be done with 3x 789s rather than the 2x 789 currently require to run this route daily.
I wonder if we could see some more adjustments to the PVG schedule to allow this to happen, of if they will use the .5 of the allocation somewhere else?
Still think by 2019 we could see the fleet increase to at-least 15 , my understanding was that had around 5-7 purchase rights light surely these are at reasonable prices being an launch customer. With the $260million capital coming in from the virgin sale, I wonder if any of this could be used as an down payment on 789 options?
Come 2017 once the 763s have finally left the fleet, they are going to need to find an replacement for.
AKL-DPS 3-4x weekly seasonal (NS)
AKL-SGN 3-4x weekly seasonal (NS)
AKL-MNL 7x weekly
AKL-KIX 3-4x weekly seasonal (NW)
ZK-NBT wrote:I wonder if NZ are thinking about more aircraft soon? Expansion or part of a 772 replacement?
I wonder if the 772/77W replacement would come in the same order? reducing them down to an single type. The purchase a couple of extra 789s to extend the fleet.
Motorhussy wrote:You suggesting the 789 would be sufficient for the NZ fleet as replacement?.
zkncj wrote:Motorhussy wrote:You suggesting the 789 would be sufficient for the NZ fleet as replacement?.
More simplifying the fleet so having additional 5x 789s for growth into smaller markets, along 15x 350/77X as an direct 77W/772 replacement.
sunrisevalley wrote:I wonder if NZ might pass on a direct 77E replacement. My modelling of the 787-10 (78X) suggest that this could be better than a 13hr airplane when carrying a 77E passenger load. Payload would be >36t which is a 85% passenger load factor and >6t of cargo. Its fuel burn would be some 22% less than the 77E. At 323 passengers it is close to a 13hr airplane. Even this sector time is more than enough for LAX-AKL most days.
Boeing continues to improve the 77W and its fuel burn is starting to get very close to that of the 77E. Probably <4t spread on a 13hr sector. Also they will have some very attractive pricing on it.
Airbus made a plug for the A350ULH for NYC service. Not sure what seat count they propose. But as the 789 weights come down; the RR TEN EIS next year with its 1.5 to 2% SFC improvement; the 789 setup with 260/270 seats becomes a contender for the NYC-AKL 17hr15min. westbound service. Not sure NZ is in the right frame of mind at this time to operate such a service. QF is giving hints that they maybe.
My view is that NZ should negotiate with Boeing on some additional 77W’s and some 78X ‘s. Not sure what firm price rights they have left for the 789’s and whether these are transferable to the 78X. A total of 16 sticks in my mind so that would leave 4. A 77W order of say 3 frames should provide leverage for better pricing on the 78X. There has to be days when a 77W seat count would be advantageous. Looks as if PVG might be able to use one from time to time. Certainly it would be work on IAH at very little extra cost over the 77E.
ZK-NBT wrote:Bingo, that's what I think could happen or similar as a 77E replacement, an improved 78J which could even replace the 77W maybe as well with a bit more premium seating. I can't see them going to the A350 just because it's the best 77E replacement, I think NZ could use potentially a 789/78J fleet by 2025 but they may still go for 779's for LAX/LHR/SFO if they see the need but with a UA JV I'd say you might see UA run daily LAX/SFO-AKL negating the need for NZ to need a 777X.
aerorobnz wrote:
zkncj wrote:ZK-NBT wrote:Not to much slack now but things could change. Summer 16/17 looks like for 789's.
10 x PVG 3 aircraft
3x NRT 1 aircraft
7x SIN 1 aircraft
4x EZE 1.2 aircraft
4x HNL .6 aircraft
12x PER 2 aircraft
In the recently investor day presentation they mentioned that AKL-PVG 14x weekly could be done with 3x 789s rather than the 2x 789 currently require to run this route daily.
I wonder if we could see some more adjustments to the PVG schedule to allow this to happen, of if they will use the .5 of the allocation somewhere else?
Still think by 2019 we could see the fleet increase to at-least 15 , my understanding was that had around 5-7 purchase rights light surely these are at reasonable prices being an launch customer. With the $260million capital coming in from the virgin sale, I wonder if any of this could be used as an down payment on 789 options?
Come 2017 once the 763s have finally left the fleet, they are going to need to find an replacement for.
AKL-DPS 3-4x weekly seasonal (NS)
AKL-SGN 3-4x weekly seasonal (NS)
AKL-MNL 7x weekly
AKL-KIX 3-4x weekly seasonal (NW)
aerohottie wrote:Has MNL been cancelled?
777ER wrote:Yesterday I got an email from NZ stating an Airpoints announcement was due today, anyone know what announcement it was?
aerorobnz wrote:ZK-NBT wrote:Bingo, that's what I think could happen or similar as a 77E replacement, an improved 78J which could even replace the 77W maybe as well with a bit more premium seating. I can't see them going to the A350 just because it's the best 77E replacement, I think NZ could use potentially a 789/78J fleet by 2025 but they may still go for 779's for LAX/LHR/SFO if they see the need but with a UA JV I'd say you might see UA run daily LAX/SFO-AKL negating the need for NZ to need a 777X.
Just reminiscing on some of my earliest posts on airliners net, do you realise that we were having this very discussion about fleet developments for NZ A330/340 vs 777 and the rumour of them getting 777s back in 2004. It makes for an amusing read.
Haha. Indeed well I think I called it back then 772/787. IMO they made the right decision, a 2004/05 built A332 could do Asia but not LAX/SFO/YVR, A333 could have only really done HNL/PER and I'd say current management would be glad they didn't order A340's which didn't seem to make sense anyway be it the A343 or the A346. And the 777 to big for Tasman/Pacific hmm look how many run there now 6/7 a day usually.
Anyway to the present I'll stand by what I said and say 78J if it improves to be a 13 hr aircraft for LAX/LHR/SFO otherwise 779 with maybe a few 778's along with 789's.
Read elsewhere that the 763 will now go early 2017 which tbh seems unlikely unless they bring that 12th 789 foward a year.
viewtopic.php?f=3&t=250493
AKL Airport from 2002
viewtopic.php?f=3&t=153401&p=<a href="tel:1410427">1410427</a>
Times haven't changed much really..
aerorobnz wrote:777ER wrote:Yesterday I got an email from NZ stating an Airpoints announcement was due today, anyone know what announcement it was?
as that the one about airpoints accrual now directly with Z Fuel, New World and another that I forget?
As far as MNL it has been put on hold. Probably lost the slots they wanted and with the 767 shortage it was not possible to fly at any other time. Who knows?
Zkpilot wrote:Just seen a rather cryptic ad from NZ and UA...
It says:
"It's coming....
Find out more on the 4th of July"
4th of July being Independence Day in the US of course....
Thoughts are that they might both go to having 2 Pieces of baggage allowance.
Or they might be about to announce another route (either UA to do a LAX-AKL, with NZ to then fly to say DEN or ORD).
This might be part of the reason why MNL has been postponed?
aerorobnz wrote:I thought that was just the date of the first departure AKL-SFO.
zkncj wrote:aerorobnz wrote:I thought that was just the date of the first departure AKL-SFO.
Maybe launch an new route, at the press conference of the first UA SFO-AKL service? make an hit back of the AA service starting this weekend.
777ER wrote:Wondered when AA started AKL services as over the last week I've seen full length AA advertising on Wellington buses stating the AKL services now operating
aerorobnz wrote:I saw them moving AA checkin signage around AKL Intl today.
flyjetstar wrote:Do we know for sure that MNL has been canx/delayed?
It was only an NBR story, no other media that I saw and nothing from NZ.
zkncj wrote:aerorobnz wrote:I saw them moving AA checkin signage around AKL Intl today.
Doing the think we can fit them in here?Shall be fun to see if they get stairs a couple of buses.
flyjetstar wrote:Do we know for sure that MNL has been canx/delayed?
It was only an NBR story, no other media that I saw and nothing from NZ.
haggis73 wrote:American on Gate 6 for the duration of its stay tomorrow. From Sunday onwards (and this goes for United as well) they will have layover arrivals with bus ops and then towed over mid-late morning for a gate departure.