I believe we most definitely -will- back Taiwan, we are obligated by treaty (The Taiwan Relations Act of 1979) and contrary to what some may hope, we will back that island. If we had different leadership in Washington -at the current moment-, then I would tend to worry much more. But now that *Adults* are back in charge, I tend to believe that Taiwan's cause and stability of situation is far more enhanced. That doesnt mean the PRC wont stop in it's quest to attempt a blitzkrieg on Taiwan be it through missiles or a blockade or special forces actions here and there, but not as likely. Over time though, this equation will begin to shift away from Taiwan's favor if they cannot modernize their military.
I'll refer you to the following article posted on the NewsMax.com website. I agree in many ways with the author of the article. Here's the link, have a gander at this and think it over -carefully-:
The issue of accidents occurring in the military services at an alarming level is testimony to the woeful under-budgeting for *operations, maintenance and training* and diverted to fund ongoing -peacekeeping activities- across the globe at the highest level in decades. It has stretched the forces thin and in many cases, to the breaking point. This is what the US military services have been imposed and in any ways -castrated- with, thanks to atle-brained policy making. It began immediately after the Gulf War and the fall of the Soviet Union, it accelerated to a *fever pitch* during Der Schlickmeisters magnificent "romp", which defined the period of incredible self-absorbedness that the author of the article identifies. Afterall, many in the US public are the "man in the mirror" no? Some are absolutely lost on or defining it, which this article linked here hints at. It gives good insight how the US was asleep at the wheel, and how close this could be. I agree with the author that when push comes to shove though, that it will change quickly if we do get into a combat situation with the PRC versus Taiwan.
The PRC of course is banking that our own loss of wits by stroking this very thing we are 'lovestruck with' in some areas will overcome us and that is what they are banking on. A thorough reading of Sun Tzu's "Art of War" is an excellent preparation to just begin to understand the contemporary PRC government's mind I might add. To ignore it, is a fools pleasure. It was written centuries ago, and looking at the present day, is as pertinent as ever.
As to Tibet, let's not get started there. We can talk about the mandatory sterilizations and other "measures" the PRC has used to "control them". They have employed draconian measures to wipe the Tibetan race off the face of the earth! Wonder why it's so difficult to get a visa to vist there? Why not ask Richard Gere that question too? He's a very active Tibet activist. Why not take a view of the movie "Seven Years in Tibet" while at it too. That's a pretty good movie/drama that seems to put a pretty decent perspective I think on the whole issue from the beginning.
Of course, in "PRC apologist-lackey-flunkie-stooge-Nouvelle Lord HawHaw speak" it's verboten to discuss "Internal PRC affairs". Of course this defines the true-opportunist-they-are method they use to deflect challenge on any issue. They believe they are unchallengeable and make no apologies for the arrogant smugness they display. Of course the PRC can buy and influence US Presidential elections, or steal nuclear secrets. If that's not an "internal --US-- affair" then what is? But no-one challenges that of course. The contrasts and contradictions of convenience for the opportunists that coddle Beijing are obvious and apalling. You can never ask the PRC to be accountable for their actions, for in their view it is best to roll over and capitulate to their demands.
If you DARE challenge them you autmoatically fall to ridicule as being a "Sino-phobe" or other untruths and inaccuracies that are used to conveniently emotivize or change the subject which inevitably leads to no change and no demand accountability. They like this approach because it plays well and unfortunately it works with some.
This effort is generally what can be deduced as -disinformation-.
Brings me to a story in the Taipei Times a few years ago that detailed the phenomenon of "Little emperor syndrome" occurring inside the PRC. Young bullies that do well in school, but terrorize a playground and are allowed to get away with it because they are -doing well in school-. Parents in the PRC dont know how to approach it because in their culture, academic excellence is everything thanks to a skewed interpretation of Confucius. Ergo, these "smart bullies" are never expected to be held accountable for beating the snot out of a kid for his lunch money or whatever else. The parents of the smart young brigand literally -dont know- what to do with them! This sounds crazy but it's absolutely TRUE. These kids are spoiled -rotten-.
The problem sounds similar to the problem the gangsters that run the PRC government have. To wit: They lie, they -actively- get involved in other countries "internal affairs" (Presidential elections) and then have the -nerve- to scream "violation of internal affairs" when we want to keep our eyes on them or when they threaten Taiwan and we dare say something about it, they are spoiled rotten in that everyone wants to build a factory in their country to take advantage of their cheap-skate labor rates (How does 20 cents a -day sound to you eh?..could you live off of that? That sounds GREAT to bloat "shareholder value" no?), they have been allowed to bully people inside their own country even if they sign UN agreements on human rights, they steal nuclear technology from other countries, they sell weapons of mass-destruction to rogue states, and overall show the signs of being a totally undisciplined bunch of thugs.
Does this fit the mold of a brat to you?
Disciplinary-wise, this leads me to deduce that they werent spanked *hard enough* when they should have been and are spoiled with *rewards* when they commit their egregious acts without any sort of retribution to ever be contemplated. We and others tend to shower them with more rewards, access and perks after they commit an act that is objectionable and monstrous.
There's no comparison at all between the US Civil War and the illegal invasion and annexation of Tibet by the hostile Chinese PLA forces that slaughtered the Tibetan people then. Again, see "Seven Years in Tibet" for a pretty decent rendition of that. BTW: The PRC didnt like that movie either and screamed (you guessed it) "Interference in Internal Chinese affairs"! (LOL!)