Nobody is disputing loads don't equal yield. I think everyone is agreeing with that. That is why I carefully said, [from a passenger loading point of view].
And I only talked about loading factor. The operational metric include passenger load factor too. AA has to publish the load factor by geography market. When a route is constantly below par, it drags down the average loading factor.
Of course, if you have any numbers showing AA's yield on this route, please do share with us and prove us doubters wrong.
Plus, all flight history is traceable online. If you can prove any flight was not operating, I am happy to make amend. But we all agree AA and BA both kept filed schedule unless otherwise.
I believe you are using UK CAA Table 12 to pull these numbers.
The fine print of Table 12
(1) Traffic is published for each point pair, where scheduled traffic was reported.
(2) These figures are based on the origin and destination of passengers as reported to UK airport authorities by UK and foreign airlines. Operators are required to report in respect of each service operated,
the point of uplift and discharge of each passenger. The figures may not reflect a passenger's entire air journey: the point at which a passenger disembarks from a particular service may not represent his
(3) Although operators are asked to report all passenger journeys, in some cases the actual point of uplift or discharge is not recorded. In such cases all passengers are allocated to the end point of the
service, i.e. the aircraft's origin or ultimate destination. In the case of the USA, all traffic is recorded to or from gateway points specified in the Bermuda II agreement and subsequent amendments until
March 2008, when this agreement will no longer be in force. The figures in this table include all passengers carried on scheduled and chartered services excluding those carried on aircraft chartered by
If I understand points 2 and 3 (and I may be mistaken), the 36,626 number is the O&D paxs between LHR-PHL. Not the actual butt in seat passenger count including those on connections beyond PHL or LHR.
You read the CAA's definition wrong. Before I report the numbers, I read the article 2 and 3 several times to understand. What CAA is saying, is that airline needs to report entire journey, but the figure in CAA's reporting, I quote,
The figures may not reflect a passenger's entire air journey: the point at which a passenger disembarks from a particular service may not represent his ultimate destination.
Although operators are asked to report all passenger journeys, in some cases the actual point of uplift or discharge is not recorded. In such cases all passengers are allocated to the end point of the
service, i.e. the aircraft's origin or ultimate destination.
What CAA is doing is to simply ask airlines to report the passenger figures between the city pairs (any points to UK) and the disembarkation points. It is not about LHR/MAN O&D, it is about how many passengers one airline carried between the departure points in UK and to its destination.
The language is somewhat confusing is because there are several points for departure in UK (CAA also records UK domestic and UK-European flights), and there were flights like LON-BKK-TPE stopover service (Thus in this case actual point of uplift or discharge may not be recorded). Also as USA carriers they fly people from LONDON to PHL and then onwards to ORD/DFW. In the latter case, CAA only receive reporting on the LHR-PHL journey. Any people took PHL-ORD/DFW as part of their ticket is not counted as LON-ORD/DFW (thus why CAA said only report passenger figures between the city pairs, any points to UK and the disembarkation points).
If you want city pair O&D figures, you need to go to OAG.
CAA's figure is unique UK points of departure by flight segment. Its passenger figure is very factual in reporting total passenger numbers on a flight segment that between any UK departure point and its immediate disembarkation points.
And I don't see how you can dispute the figures. You really need to understand CAA's language carefully. It took me a while to learn and to understand. Maybe you need some time to study too.