Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
Deltabravo1123 wrote:After hearing about the new startup Fly Atlantic, I started thinking about other recent European startups like WOW, then PLAY, Primera, Norwegian, I'm sure there are a few others that I have forgotten. Is there something particular about the US that makes it harder to launch such an airline? I think about some airports up in the northeast - particularly Providence, Hartford, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, I'd argue they could all work well as a TATL transit hub given their locations. Not sure if the former two have the adequate facilities and space to serve such a purpose though.
Granted, not many of these startups have done well based out of Europe either. However, it still does not seem to scare away all the investors and entrepreneurs out there. Is it just a matter of time now until we see one launch from the US?
johns624 wrote:In the US, people who fly ULCC normally don't do international.
Lamp1009 wrote:Northern Pacific is supposedly in the works.
teachpdx wrote:Lamp1009 wrote:Northern Pacific is supposedly in the works.
Utilizing ANC the same way that PLAY and Icelandair use KEF is probably the most basic strategy to have a US-based ULCC. There’s no USA connection, it’s all O/D from US airports. It seems more aimed at getting people from Japan and South Korea to popular vacation destinations like NY, CA, NV, and FL rather than getting Americans abroad to Japan or South Korea. To do the latter they would need to partner with a domestic ULCC to connect from those few destinations elsewhere. But they’re missing a huge opportunity to provide easy connections to Canada, Mexico, and Central America/Caribbean because of US transit visa restrictions.
I’m hopeful that they start up and are successful, but I’m not holding out very much hope.
Deltabravo1123 wrote:After hearing about the new startup Fly Atlantic, I started thinking about other recent European startups like WOW, then PLAY, Primera, Norwegian, I'm sure there are a few others that I have forgotten. Is there something particular about the US that makes it harder to launch such an airline? I think about some airports up in the northeast - particularly Providence, Hartford, Pittsburgh, Baltimore, I'd argue they could all work well as a TATL transit hub given their locations. Not sure if the former two have the adequate facilities and space to serve such a purpose though.
Granted, not many of these startups have done well based out of Europe either. However, it still does not seem to scare away all the investors and entrepreneurs out there. Is it just a matter of time now until we see one launch from the US?
Lamp1009 wrote:I mean if demand ever warranted it, they could very easily implement a sterile zone at ANC to get around the transit visa issue. Otherwise, so long as they fly out of Detroit and Seattle, people from Toronto and Vancouver could very much end up utilizing the service. Maybe Flair can pick up for service to Canada, I personally feel anchorage is an underrated market from Canada anyways.
teachpdx wrote:Lamp1009 wrote:I mean if demand ever warranted it, they could very easily implement a sterile zone at ANC to get around the transit visa issue. Otherwise, so long as they fly out of Detroit and Seattle, people from Toronto and Vancouver could very much end up utilizing the service. Maybe Flair can pick up for service to Canada, I personally feel anchorage is an underrated market from Canada anyways.
ANC is already making a bit of headway in that direction, receiving significant exceptions from the DOT back in 2020 for both cargo and passenger transit. But DOT is not CBP, which loves having pax data and therefore a transit visa (which can be expensive and hard to get for many for non-waivered nationalities) before any person sets foot in USA. Ever since 9/11 you aren’t going to skirt around it for any pax inbound to USA whether just transiting or not. And while ANC could likely be easily converted to have sterile transit (and had it at one time IIRC), the likelihood of a rule change from CBP is minuscule at best. Even a connection via Flair as you mention would still require pax to clear US customs on the connection due to CBP rules.
And I’m hoping beyond hope that if Northern Pacific actually takes off (pun intended) that they quickly add SEA to their route map. A one-stop ULCC to Seoul from the PNW would make me the happiest person ever. But right now they aren’t looking at any destinations in the northern US outside of New York.
teachpdx wrote:johns624 wrote:In the US, people who fly ULCC normally don't do international.
That’s an overgeneralization. Just because people fly ULCC in the US doesn’t mean they aren’t international travelers (on that itinerary or at another time).
For example, I like saving up my money and flying very inexpensively on domestic itineraries so I can afford the more extensive international trips.
Other times I will utilize a ULCC to fly to a larger city with cheaper international fares. And then once I get overseas I will utilize ULCCs once again.
I’m currently hopping around Mexico on Volaris and Viva Aerobus. First time flying both airlines and they’re perfectly adequate for the fare.
Yes, there are a fair share of American families where the farthest they will ever travel is on an NK fight to Florida, but there are so many others who actually travel the world extensively and use ULCCs to do it.
UALFAson wrote:teachpdx wrote:johns624 wrote:In the US, people who fly ULCC normally don't do international.
That’s an overgeneralization. Just because people fly ULCC in the US doesn’t mean they aren’t international travelers (on that itinerary or at another time).
For example, I like saving up my money and flying very inexpensively on domestic itineraries so I can afford the more extensive international trips.
Other times I will utilize a ULCC to fly to a larger city with cheaper international fares. And then once I get overseas I will utilize ULCCs once again.
I’m currently hopping around Mexico on Volaris and Viva Aerobus. First time flying both airlines and they’re perfectly adequate for the fare.
Yes, there are a fair share of American families where the farthest they will ever travel is on an NK fight to Florida, but there are so many others who actually travel the world extensively and use ULCCs to do it.
You are n=1. Just because you do something or behave a certain way does not make you reflective of the population as a whole.
Only 37-40% of the American population has passports. I don't know what you do for a living, but even the majority of those folks are not "hopping around Mexico" or building multi-airline do-it-yourself itineraries to traipse around overseas on a regular basis.
Domestic ULCCs mostly cater to people who would either drive instead or not travel at all. Are there occasionally higher-income passengers who fly them for whatever reason? Sure. But the majority of Americans who have the disposable income to be able to afford international travel are not motivated by the presence of an ULCC on their route(s). The overall number of folks who would be willing to purchase such a product is not enough to support the extensive domestic and international route map that would be required to make a U.S.-based ULCC viable, even if you are one of the folks who would.