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jplatts
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Posts: 7147
Joined: Sat Mar 18, 2017 6:42 pm

Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023?

Tue Mar 28, 2023 9:47 pm

OAK-BLI/EUG/PSP/SBA were the only new nonstop routes that WN had added out of OAK in the last 3 years, but all 4 of these routes are to West Coast destinations that weren't served by WN prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.

On the other hand, AS, F9, MX, and NK have added new nonstop routes out of the San Francisco Bay Area to domestic destinations east of the West Coast in the last 3 years with AS having added SFO-BOI/BZN/MSO/TPA nonstop service, F9 having recently added SFO-DTW nonstop service, MX having added SFO-CVG/SDF/PVU/RIC nonstop service, and NK having added OAK-EWR/PHL nonstop service.

WN is also going to be resuming OAK-BWI nonstop service on 9/5/2023.

Here are the Q3 2022 PDEW's out of the San Francisco Bay Area to the top remaining contiguous U.S. markets that don't currently have WN nonstop service from SFO/OAK/SJC:
SFO/OAK/SJC-NYC - 4420
SFO/OAK/SJC-BOS - 1758
SFO/OAK/SJC-MSP - 835
SFO/OAK/SJC-MIA/FLL - 762
SFO/OAK/SJC-PHL - 625
SFO/OAK/SJC-MCO - 603
SFO/OAK/SJC-DTW - 584
SFO/OAK/SJC-CLT - 340
SFO/OAK/SJC-RDU - 322
SFO/OAK/SJC-TPA - 248
SFO/OAK/SJC-IND - 244
SFO/OAK/SJC-CLE/CAK - 225
SFO/OAK/SJC-PIT - 221
SFO/OAK/SJC-SAT - 220
SFO/OAK/SJC-CMH - 199
SFO/OAK/SJC-TUS - 161
SFO/OAK/SJC-CVG - 154
SFO/OAK/SJC-BZN - 153
SFO/OAK/SJC-RDM - 146
SFO/OAK/SJC-BDL - 121

Several of the destinations above such as CMH/IND/MSP/MCO/PHL/SAT/TUS previously had WN nonstop service out of OAK.

WN also likely needs to defend market share against AS/MX/F9 in the San Francisco Bay Area market, even though there are many WN FF's in the East Bay and Silicon Valley who would be willing to connect on WN to destinations that WN doesn't serve nonstop from OAK or SJC.

Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023? If so, which new nonstop routes would WN be likely to add out of OAK?
 
jplatts
Topic Author
Posts: 7147
Joined: Sat Mar 18, 2017 6:42 pm

Re: Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023?

Tue Mar 28, 2023 9:56 pm

Here are the Q3 2022 PDEW's of the top contiguous U.S. destinations traveled to from the San Francisco Bay Area that don't currently have any nonstop service out of SFO/OAK/SJC:
SFO/OAK/SJC-BDL - 121
SFO/OAK/SJC-BUF - 105
SFO/OAK/SJC-MKE - 104
SFO/OAK/SJC-ELP - 98
SFO/OAK/SJC-OKC - 94
SFO/OAK/SJC-CHS - 91
SFO/OAK/SJC-JAX - 87
SFO/OAK/SJC-ORF/PHF - 82
SFO/OAK/SJC-ALB - 80
SFO/OAK/SJC-MEM - 75
 
AntonioMartin
Posts: 1610
Joined: Thu Jul 27, 2017 11:58 am

Re: Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023?

Tue Mar 28, 2023 10:50 pm

Strange they dont serve TUS from the Bay areaq.

On the other hand, what are those numbers, what do they mean?
 
jplatts
Topic Author
Posts: 7147
Joined: Sat Mar 18, 2017 6:42 pm

Re: Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023?

Tue Mar 28, 2023 11:42 pm

AntonioMartin wrote:
On the other hand, what are those numbers, what do they mean?


PDEW means passengers per day each way, which is the average number of passengers traveling from point A to point B per day.

Here is a formula for computing the PDEW:
PDEW = (number of passengers from A to B per day + number of passengers from B to A per day) / 2
 
AntonioMartin
Posts: 1610
Joined: Thu Jul 27, 2017 11:58 am

Re: Any likelihood of WN adding any new nonstop routes out of OAK in 2023?

Thu Mar 30, 2023 1:53 am

jplatts wrote:
AntonioMartin wrote:
On the other hand, what are those numbers, what do they mean?


PDEW means passengers per day each way, which is the average number of passengers traveling from point A to point B per day.

Here is a formula for computing the PDEW:
PDEW = (number of passengers from A to B per day + number of passengers from B to A per day) / 2

Thanks!!!

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