Moderators: richierich, ua900, PanAm_DC10, hOMSaR
JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
MSJYOP28Apilot wrote:JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
The average weight was increased by the FAA from 185 summer and 190 in winter to 205 summer and 210 winter. To put in perspective, a 737 with 184 seats now weighs 3,600 lbs more. This increase in weights also comes when airlines are jamming more seats on planes. Most fuel stops and weight restrictions this summer are because of this increase in weight. At places like RNO, LAS, MDW the choice is often bump 20-30 people or make a fuel stop.
JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
MSJYOP28Apilot wrote:Airlines have been struggling with the recent FAA mandated increase in passenger weights. Weights were increased to 205 lbs per person in the summer and 210 lbs per person in the winter. This has caused major issues for airlines that operate at short runway airport like MDW and hot airports like RNO and PHX. Fuel stops and weight restrictions are much more common this summer than in the past. 50 seat operators have been getting it really bad as already weight sensitive planes are now weighing even more. A full narrowbody plane weights about 3000-5000lbs more than it did a month ago.
The winter will be a real challenge. 737NG and A321/A320/A319s will struggle big time with full passenger loads to fly transcons in the winter. The heavier weights will mean higher burns, weights closer to maximum structural, and likely more fuel stops. Jetblue will likely struggle big time to make their A320s work on most days flying transcons. 50 seat regionals will struggle to carry 30-35 passengers whenever a long alternate is required by winter weather and fog. These updated weights will hurt airlines that try to use the A321NEO or A321LR on longer Europe or Hawaii routes.
Will the airlines soon be lobbying for the weights to return to previous standard? Will we see seats removed from planes or engine upgrades to allow for greater payload uplifts?
FriscoHeavy wrote:JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
Cubsrule wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.LH707330 wrote:
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
How long has it been since a US carrier weighed carryons? OW did until they ceased to exist I believe, and they (obviously) were operating AA coded flights.
N1120A wrote:Cubsrule wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
How long has it been since a US carrier weighed carryons? OW did until they ceased to exist I believe, and they (obviously) were operating AA coded flights.
Carry on weight enforcement is pretty negligible. The real issue is average passenger weights, which Americans are particularly averse to giving enough of a sample size for.
Also, I believe the airlines have adopted reasonable estimated carryon weights.
Cubsrule wrote:N1120A wrote:Cubsrule wrote:
How long has it been since a US carrier weighed carryons? OW did until they ceased to exist I believe, and they (obviously) were operating AA coded flights.
Carry on weight enforcement is pretty negligible. The real issue is average passenger weights, which Americans are particularly averse to giving enough of a sample size for.
Also, I believe the airlines have adopted reasonable estimated carryon weights.
I don’t know of any study on this, but I wonder the extent to which carryon weighing could smooth out passenger weight disparities. I’ve definitely carried on roller bags that were mostly full of paper and REALLY heavy.
N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
LH707330 wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.LH707330 wrote:
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
It's a fairness vs equality thing: the equal option is everyone pays the same regardless, but the fair option is to pay for what you use, i.e. by passenger GW, including all bags. The optimally fair pricing calculator would give me LxWxH and mass inputs for everything I want to bring, including myself, and then spit out a price. That's how it works for most other payloads, people just get emotional when pay-for-what-you-use pricing is applied to humans as a cargo.
For the record, my passenger GW is higher than 205 lbs in most cases, so I would probably pay more as a result. I still think that's fair and reasonable.
LH707330 wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.LH707330 wrote:
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
It's a fairness vs equality thing: the equal option is everyone pays the same regardless, but the fair option is to pay for what you use, i.e. by passenger GW, including all bags. The optimally fair pricing calculator would give me LxWxH and mass inputs for everything I want to bring, including myself, and then spit out a price. That's how it works for most other payloads, people just get emotional when pay-for-what-you-use pricing is applied to humans as a cargo.
For the record, my passenger GW is higher than 205 lbs in most cases, so I would probably pay more as a result. I still think that's fair and reasonable.
N1120A wrote:LH707330 wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
It's a fairness vs equality thing: the equal option is everyone pays the same regardless, but the fair option is to pay for what you use, i.e. by passenger GW, including all bags. The optimally fair pricing calculator would give me LxWxH and mass inputs for everything I want to bring, including myself, and then spit out a price. That's how it works for most other payloads, people just get emotional when pay-for-what-you-use pricing is applied to humans as a cargo.
For the record, my passenger GW is higher than 205 lbs in most cases, so I would probably pay more as a result. I still think that's fair and reasonable.
It is not fair nor reasonable to create a rule forcing men to pay more for flights than women, nor is it fair or reasonable to force certain ethnicities that are genetically larger to pay more.
kalvado wrote:LH707330 wrote:N1120A wrote:US 5481 wouldn't have happened if the airplane had been maintained properly. The crew couldn't trim the aircraft to handle the overweight, out of envelope condition. That goes to show just how robustly the 1900 was built and how Swiss cheesed they got.
At this point, most airlines are operating their aircraft well within the range band. The most densely fitted planes, narrowbodies, are rarely operating anywhere near the limits, and long range widebodies are not anywhere near max capacity. This probably will not be a major deal.
I mean, charging by weight would be fundamentally discriminatory for all sorts of very real reasons, and not just the oft debated merits (or lack thereof) of obesity as a protected class.
It's a fairness vs equality thing: the equal option is everyone pays the same regardless, but the fair option is to pay for what you use, i.e. by passenger GW, including all bags. The optimally fair pricing calculator would give me LxWxH and mass inputs for everything I want to bring, including myself, and then spit out a price. That's how it works for most other payloads, people just get emotional when pay-for-what-you-use pricing is applied to humans as a cargo.
For the record, my passenger GW is higher than 205 lbs in most cases, so I would probably pay more as a result. I still think that's fair and reasonable.
It may be reasonable to differentiate, but is there that much of difference?
There are per-flight (flight crew, frame hours &cycles, MTOW weight based fees), per-seat (1 FA per 50 seats, facility charges) and per-pound (fuel, engine wear) components of the cost for a given route. There may be secondary effects - like heavier flight cannot climb to optimal altitude; but those would be secondary effects.
Per-flight costs are effectively allocated on a per-volume (per-footprint) basis - J pays more than E+, and regular Y is even less. This also happens elsewhere, UPS and FedEx charge "volume-based weight" or whatever they call it, as their planes are often volume-limited. Then yield management messes it all up, but extra charges for extra floor space are there.
Per-seat costs are partially hidden, partially show up as "fees and taxes"
Per-pound costs MAY be proportionally allocated based on actual pax weights, but would constitute a fairly small portion of the price. I did the math at some point, and came up with $20 per 200 lb person for a 3 hour 737 flight. This is a ballpark estimate, of course. Yet, that is a difference between overweight 300 lb and anorexic 100 lb pax, real spread would be below $10 - and cost more in collection than the revenue.
planecane wrote:Why can't scales be installed at the gates? I would think that a pad for each gear strut would be well within the technological limitations in 2021. Then, everything can be based on an exact weight.
That or a scale that each passenger walks over with their carry on items. They can get the checked baggage weights from check in and any cargo can be weighed as well.
planecane wrote:Why can't scales be installed at the gates? I would think that a pad for each gear strut would be well within the technological limitations in 2021. Then, everything can be based on an exact weight.
That or a scale that each passenger walks over with their carry on items. They can get the checked baggage weights from check in and any cargo can be weighed as well.
Starlionblue wrote:planecane wrote:Why can't scales be installed at the gates? I would think that a pad for each gear strut would be well within the technological limitations in 2021. Then, everything can be based on an exact weight.
That or a scale that each passenger walks over with their carry on items. They can get the checked baggage weights from check in and any cargo can be weighed as well.
Weighing aircraft accurately out in the open is very difficult. The slightest gust of wind will change the numbers. Hence why aircraft must be weighed in a hangar with the doors closed.
More to the point, as Snuffaluffagus says, any such system would cost money without any associated return.
planecane wrote:Starlionblue wrote:planecane wrote:Why can't scales be installed at the gates? I would think that a pad for each gear strut would be well within the technological limitations in 2021. Then, everything can be based on an exact weight.
That or a scale that each passenger walks over with their carry on items. They can get the checked baggage weights from check in and any cargo can be weighed as well.
Weighing aircraft accurately out in the open is very difficult. The slightest gust of wind will change the numbers. Hence why aircraft must be weighed in a hangar with the doors closed.
More to the point, as Snuffaluffagus says, any such system would cost money without any associated return.
I wasn't thinking about lift from a slight breeze changing the weight on the scales. Thanks for pointing that out!
LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:JibberJim wrote:So have the weights actually increased? Passengers have got fatter over the pandemic? Or is this purely the extra weight of the extra fuel that's required to be loaded based on the passenger weights, if so then can it really have that much impact tankering a bit of extra fuel? Even the 50seat plane is only seeing what a 2% increase in planned weight when full, so the equivalent of leaving one person behind, and even less on larger planes?
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
CRJ900 wrote:Are the weights for passenger only, or is it passenger+baggage?
Bombardier used 225lbs as standard weight for years on their CRJ and Q aircraft, I assume that was pax+bag but that must have given the airlines some wiggle room, especially with the CRJ700 and CRJ900 which had better runway performance and larger fuel capacity than the 50-seaters.
DiamondFlyer wrote:These new weights are going to be the quickest reason that the 50 seat RJ goes away, even in summer, on shorter flights, they are payload limited. Throw in an alternate, and they're no longer a 50 seat jet. Come winter, with an alternate, you're looking at a 45 seat jet in some cases.
Okcflyer wrote:planecane wrote:Starlionblue wrote:
Weighing aircraft accurately out in the open is very difficult. The slightest gust of wind will change the numbers. Hence why aircraft must be weighed in a hangar with the doors closed.
More to the point, as Snuffaluffagus says, any such system would cost money without any associated return.
I wasn't thinking about lift from a slight breeze changing the weight on the scales. Thanks for pointing that out!
It’s not so much about the wind causing lift (weight reduction) as that’s pretty immaterial. What it does do is create eccentric loading.
Take a scale outside and hold a large piece of cardboard on a windy day. Your weight on the scale will increase from the wind load on the cardboard. The leeward side ends up with a compression force resisting the lateral wind load as your body behaves like a beam.
In an ideal simple case, the windward side would lighten and net total unchanged. But in real world, a list of other factors typically yields a net weight increase.
Wind loading in buildings is non-trivial. In tall slender buildings, it usually becomes a dictating load case. Similar story in the trucking industry (scales).
In the case of a airplane, it means landing gear weights are constantly changing due to varying wind. Leeward side is heavier than actual. Windward side lighter. It’s likely the total weight measured more than it would have been had the example same plane been measured in a still environment.
Btw, it is pretty easy to implement a system to about 0.5% accuracy on the landing gears using pretty affordable tech. Some freighters offered this as an option. But it’s not reliable enough to further improve the already statistically validated system.
CRJ900 wrote:DiamondFlyer wrote:These new weights are going to be the quickest reason that the 50 seat RJ goes away, even in summer, on shorter flights, they are payload limited. Throw in an alternate, and they're no longer a 50 seat jet. Come winter, with an alternate, you're looking at a 45 seat jet in some cases.
Then perhaps all CRJ700 will be turned into CRJ550 then, giving pax a much better experience from smaller airports.
kalvado wrote:Okcflyer wrote:planecane wrote:
I wasn't thinking about lift from a slight breeze changing the weight on the scales. Thanks for pointing that out!
It’s not so much about the wind causing lift (weight reduction) as that’s pretty immaterial. What it does do is create eccentric loading.
Take a scale outside and hold a large piece of cardboard on a windy day. Your weight on the scale will increase from the wind load on the cardboard. The leeward side ends up with a compression force resisting the lateral wind load as your body behaves like a beam.
In an ideal simple case, the windward side would lighten and net total unchanged. But in real world, a list of other factors typically yields a net weight increase.
Wind loading in buildings is non-trivial. In tall slender buildings, it usually becomes a dictating load case. Similar story in the trucking industry (scales).
In the case of a airplane, it means landing gear weights are constantly changing due to varying wind. Leeward side is heavier than actual. Windward side lighter. It’s likely the total weight measured more than it would have been had the example same plane been measured in a still environment.
Btw, it is pretty easy to implement a system to about 0.5% accuracy on the landing gears using pretty affordable tech. Some freighters offered this as an option. But it’s not reliable enough to further improve the already statistically validated system.
I would suspect that design safety margins would take care of few %% overweight. An often quoted US5481 had a technical issue on top of weight issue, making it unmanageable.
What automatic weighting can do, though, it may help catching gross errors in loading data - like EK407 had. Not sure if extra cost and weight would justify few (any?) avoided accidents.
dfwjim1 wrote:LH707330 wrote:FriscoHeavy wrote:
Yes, people actually weigh more now than they did the last time this was measured some time back (years and years ago). This was in the works long before a few pounds from Corona and has nothing to do with the pandemic.
True, but the rona definitely steepened the curve: https://www.healthline.com/health-news/ ... e-pandemic
I wonder if an airline will ever charge by passenger GW, that would solve the problem.
Spirit Airlines would make a lot more money if their passengers paid by their weight.