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Aesma wrote:Considering the issues Boeing is having with assembling the big barrels, you have to wonder what would have happened had they gone for panels.
Max Q wrote:I’d be very surprised if future clean sheet jet transports have composite fuselages
The enormous complexity and cost of construction doesn’t seem to pay off. There doesn’t seem to be much weight savings over conventional aluminum which is still improving, most of the fuel efficiency in the 787 and A350 comes from the advanced engines and aerodynamics
Avatar2go wrote:Max Q wrote:I’d be very surprised if future clean sheet jet transports have composite fuselages
The enormous complexity and cost of construction doesn’t seem to pay off. There doesn’t seem to be much weight savings over conventional aluminum which is still improving, most of the fuel efficiency in the 787 and A350 comes from the advanced engines and aerodynamics
The benefit of composites is in strength-to-weight ratio. Which allows greater flexibility in design, in return for greater complexity in construction. It's a trade like anything else.
Composites are not going away, as there will be improvements in manufacturing and assembky technologies. Aluminium is not going away either, there will always be some applications where it is preferred over composites. They are both tools in the toolbox for aircraft designers.
rjsampson wrote:
I'm possibly mistaken, so someone please correct me regarding the strength of composite vs. aluminum tubes. My understanding is that composite fuselages are largely able to maintain a 6,000' cabin altitude over their lifetime cycles vs. the typical 8,000' altitude of aluminum fuselages. If this is indeed the case: That's a very powerful metric for the strength composites over metal alloys.
But that's only one datum, which I don't know to be correlative. So if it's NOT the fuselage construction material, what would account for the lower cabin altitudes (in airliners only.. bizjets are a whole different animal) in which the newer aircraft are flying their passengers?
Chemist wrote:Is one method cheaper? What about weight? I assume that barrels are cheaper for assembly.
rigo wrote:Chemist wrote:Is one method cheaper? What about weight? I assume that barrels are cheaper for assembly.
I'm a total layman in this area but Boeing's method is possibly cheaper considering that the nominal price of a 787 is surprisingly low and equal to the official price of an A330neo (while being a more modern and more competitive aircraft).
StTim wrote:rigo wrote:Chemist wrote:Is one method cheaper? What about weight? I assume that barrels are cheaper for assembly.
I'm a total layman in this area but Boeing's method is possibly cheaper considering that the nominal price of a 787 is surprisingly low and equal to the official price of an A330neo (while being a more modern and more competitive aircraft).
Where are you getting your figures from? For all companies that sort of information is highly confidential.
I know it is commonly discussed here but I have seen no real proof- just A-Net lore.
rigo wrote:StTim wrote:rigo wrote:
I'm a total layman in this area but Boeing's method is possibly cheaper considering that the nominal price of a 787 is surprisingly low and equal to the official price of an A330neo (while being a more modern and more competitive aircraft).
Where are you getting your figures from? For all companies that sort of information is highly confidential.
I know it is commonly discussed here but I have seen no real proof- just A-Net lore.
I'm referring to the publicly known prices, not the actual deals between Airbus or Boeing and the airlines. A simple google search for "787-9 price" returns USD 292.5M, while for the A330-900 it gives USD $296.4M. So according to the official figures at least, 787-9 is in fact cheaper.
Starlionblue wrote:rigo wrote:StTim wrote:
Where are you getting your figures from? For all companies that sort of information is highly confidential.
I know it is commonly discussed here but I have seen no real proof- just A-Net lore.
I'm referring to the publicly known prices, not the actual deals between Airbus or Boeing and the airlines. A simple google search for "787-9 price" returns USD 292.5M, while for the A330-900 it gives USD $296.4M. So according to the official figures at least, 787-9 is in fact cheaper.
The official figures are just numbers without much real-world significance.
Avatar2go wrote:Aesma wrote:Considering the issues Boeing is having with assembling the big barrels, you have to wonder what would have happened had they gone for panels.
The Boeing 787 quality control issues evolved over time, and are not inherent to the method itself. It requires exacting tolerances and assembly. Boeing is perfectly capable of that precision, it just wasn't maintained as it should have been.
I don't think there is a clear verdict of one method over the other. Both have advantages and disadvantages.
rigo wrote:
The weight argument always revolves around the fact that Airbus can use larger panels whereas Boeing doesn't need fasteners at the quadrants. But doesn't that tradeoff work out differently depending on the diameter and length of the fuselage? Is it possible that the barrels assembly method is optimal for the 787 and panels are optimal for the A350?
Avatar2go wrote:rigo wrote:
The weight argument always revolves around the fact that Airbus can use larger panels whereas Boeing doesn't need fasteners at the quadrants. But doesn't that tradeoff work out differently depending on the diameter and length of the fuselage? Is it possible that the barrels assembly method is optimal for the 787 and panels are optimal for the A350?
Actually the fasteners are just one part of the weight equation. There is also the thickness & composition requirements of the materials. Boeing uniform barrel sections are inherently stronger per unit weight. But Airbus using the panel sections, can optimize them to be thicker or thinner for the loads at their location. So it's complicated and there is not a clear advantage of one over the other.
The aspect that dominates the assembly decision more than weight, is the investment in tooling vs labor. Boeing shot for the moon in developing tooling and techniques at an entirely new scale, but that would reduce labor and enable high production rates. Airbus took a less risky approach, with large panels that are easier to fabricate, but more labor intensive. Then went after the labor costs with increased automation.
Once those decisions are made, they were both fully committed, there is no going back on those investments. The overall goal was to develop the technology at the lower production rates of the widebody, but hopefully then apply it to the higher production rates of a narrow body.
That is proving difficult for both approaches. Both Boeing and Airbus are working on this transition, but the economics are not as good for smaller aircraft that need to be produced at higher rates. So it's a work in progress. But is the ultimate payoff for the methods they each have chosen.
One indicator will be if either adopts the processes of the other in the next generation of narrow bodies, or if they will stick with what they have now. This will need to evolve in the direction of lowest cost/greatest benefit. So if those are about the same, there won't be much change in approach.
rigo wrote:
I remember reading somewhere that the consensus was that composite fuselages currently make no sense for narrowbodies, as at those sizes, the weight savings would be too small to justify the extra cost. The fact that none of the recent narrowbody designs (A220, C919, MC-21) uses a composite fuselage.seems to confirm that.
Starlionblue wrote:rigo wrote:StTim wrote:
Where are you getting your figures from? For all companies that sort of information is highly confidential.
I know it is commonly discussed here but I have seen no real proof- just A-Net lore.
I'm referring to the publicly known prices, not the actual deals between Airbus or Boeing and the airlines. A simple google search for "787-9 price" returns USD 292.5M, while for the A330-900 it gives USD $296.4M. So according to the official figures at least, 787-9 is in fact cheaper.
The official figures are just numbers without much real-world significance.
Faro wrote:Starlionblue wrote:rigo wrote:
I'm referring to the publicly known prices, not the actual deals between Airbus or Boeing and the airlines. A simple google search for "787-9 price" returns USD 292.5M, while for the A330-900 it gives USD $296.4M. So according to the official figures at least, 787-9 is in fact cheaper.
The official figures are just numbers without much real-world significance.
True...simply the ballpark comparison does carry some water...reasonably, and broadly speaking, the two aircraft seem to be similar in price...
Faro
rigo wrote:Faro wrote:Starlionblue wrote:
The official figures are just numbers without much real-world significance.
True...simply the ballpark comparison does carry some water...reasonably, and broadly speaking, the two aircraft seem to be similar in price...
Faro
I think the effective deals offered to airlines would obviously be different, but not *that* different - I suppose some may buy 787s for say 240M but certainly not 60M. And the discounts given by Airbus and Boeing would presumably be roughly the same anyway.