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Ruscoe wrote:Tim Clark also said a move to DWG was not possible for 10 years.
Is he saying to Airbus, no matter how good the deal, we cannot take any more 380 after mid 2019, when the 115th will arrive. If so it is very good of him to announce this publicly, giving it weight, thus allowing Airbus to make decisions about the 380, with confidence, they know the situation as it is. ( not being facetious)
Ruscoe
Btblue wrote:this does sound like they (Airbus and Emirates) are prepping the landscape for a possible end to A380 production if the Neo isn't realistic enough.
Revelation wrote:Ruscoe wrote:Tim Clark also said a move to DWG was not possible for 10 years.
Is he saying to Airbus, no matter how good the deal, we cannot take any more 380 after mid 2019, when the 115th will arrive. If so it is very good of him to announce this publicly, giving it weight, thus allowing Airbus to make decisions about the 380, with confidence, they know the situation as it is. ( not being facetious)
Ruscoe
Or TC and Airbus have talked privately (as one would presume that they would do, instead of communicating via the media) and TC knows that a decision is already made, and he's "allowing" (your word) Airbus to use this "news" as a way to cushion the impact of such a decision (which many have already seen coming). We shall see...
Clipper101 wrote:I would say it is a hint towards the timeframe [2019] when operators would be asked to start vacating DXB and move towards DWC and make room for EK to be sole operator in DXB before EK itself moves to DWC sometime in 2020’s. The 115 A380’s by then could be the maximum that DXB can handle in mixing operations between VLA (A380) and other smaller types such as A320/B737 in terms of air separation & setting ATC handling priorities.
Clipper101 wrote:Clipper101 wrote:I would say it is a hint towards the timeframe [2019] when operators would be asked to start vacating DXB and move towards DWC and make room for EK to be sole operator in DXB before EK itself moves to DWC sometime in 2020’s. The 115 A380’s by then could be the maximum that DXB can handle in mixing operations between VLA (A380) and other smaller types such as A320/B737 in terms of air separation & setting ATC handling priorities.
Now I also got to remember that the last 50 A380 order was split into two batches, so we have 115 A380 which will be delivered by 2019 and should include only the first 25 A380’s from the first batch (90 [from earlier orders]+25 [1st batch of the last order of 50] = 115). Therefore, still EK should be expecting a further second 25 A380 batch from AI (may be after 2020 in-time for DWC)!
Dutchy wrote:Ok, A380 limits, but why mentioning the A380 only, they have tons of B77W. So what is the problem? Gate restricted, slot restricted, the capacity of the terminals themselves?
Channex757 wrote:Dutchy wrote:Ok, A380 limits, but why mentioning the A380 only, they have tons of B77W. So what is the problem? Gate restricted, slot restricted, the capacity of the terminals themselves?
A combination of factors. Runway and stand capacity, as well as air traffic control.
EK could also be implying that the only way to grow past this hard limit is to grow the A380 itself. Instead of the spin above, is Sir Tim agitating for the A380-900NEO again? Might this even indicate some deal has been done with Airbus to push forward with the modest stretch and re-engine project?
Unlikely at this stage but as with anything in Dubai and with Emirates, who knows?
Revelation wrote:Ruscoe wrote:Tim Clark also said a move to DWG was not possible for 10 years.
Is he saying to Airbus, no matter how good the deal, we cannot take any more 380 after mid 2019, when the 115th will arrive. If so it is very good of him to announce this publicly, giving it weight, thus allowing Airbus to make decisions about the 380, with confidence, they know the situation as it is. ( not being facetious)
Ruscoe
Or TC and Airbus have talked privately (as one would presume that they would do, instead of communicating via the media) and TC knows that a decision is already made, and he's "allowing" (your word) Airbus to use this "news" as a way to cushion the impact of such a decision (which many have already seen coming). We shall see...
KTPAFlyer wrote:Why not build a new Concourse? Problem solved.
behramjee wrote:isn't FZ moving a part of its current S17 operation to DWC in W17 on a more permanent basis thus freeing up many slots at DXB? or is this just a myth?
Btblue wrote:115 aircraft may well be the limit but they will need to replace older frames as and when the time comes... IF they still need them. But this does sound like they (Airbus and Emirates) are prepping the landscape for a possible end to A380 production if the Neo isn't realistic enough.
jumbojet wrote:Btblue wrote:115 aircraft may well be the limit but they will need to replace older frames as and when the time comes... IF they still need them. But this does sound like they (Airbus and Emirates) are prepping the landscape for a possible end to A380 production if the Neo isn't realistic enough.
When half of the 380's will probably be parked at the airport, sitting and doing nothing, than 115 will definitely be the limit. Unless of course, the UAE government kicks in its usual dose of government subsidies to keep those half empty planes flying.
zkojq wrote:jumbojet wrote:Btblue wrote:115 aircraft may well be the limit but they will need to replace older frames as and when the time comes... IF they still need them. But this does sound like they (Airbus and Emirates) are prepping the landscape for a possible end to A380 production if the Neo isn't realistic enough.
When half of the 380's will probably be parked at the airport, sitting and doing nothing, than 115 will definitely be the limit. Unless of course, the UAE government kicks in its usual dose of government subsidies to keep those half empty planes flying.
You've got it wrong, the money flows the other way. Last year EK paid a 700,000,000 divided to the government!
Also can I please have a source on your half-empty comment? Every time I've flown EK in the last couple of years the A380s have been very full. Have you even flown EK?
jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty. No airline that counts on their own money to survive would keep both flights let alone one of them.
jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty. No airline that counts on their own money to survive would keep both flights let alone one of them.
KarelXWB wrote:jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty. No airline that counts on their own money to survive would keep both flights let alone one of them.
One flight don't set the standard. According to Emirates' financial reports, average load factors are in line with industry standards.
zkojq wrote:You've got it wrong, the money flows the other way. Last year EK paid a 700,000,000 divided to the government!
No way you buy hundreds of the most expensive commercial planes in the world, fly a good portion of them at way less than capacity, charge ridiculously low fares yet pay your staff competitive wages and make all that money they say they make to give back to the UAE government. Just think about that for a second. No way they survive without regular financial handouts from its government, no way.
emiratesdriver wrote:This statement is yet another pre-emptive message to smooth the way for the 380 project to end, it will be considered in time as TCs folly he took so many.
Structurally DXB will have no trouble coping with 115 frames...but if EK wants to survive and evolve they will do their best to get the fleet back to 60-80 as quickly as leasing allows.
jumbojet wrote:KarelXWB wrote:jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty.
One flight don't set the standard.
No way you buy hundreds of the most expensive commercial planes in the world, [...] No way [...] no way.
AA737-823 wrote:OF NOTE, Wikipedia shows 94 in fleet, with 48 on order. That's far more than 115.
Strato2 wrote:emiratesdriver wrote:This statement is yet another pre-emptive message to smooth the way for the 380 project to end, it will be considered in time as TCs folly he took so many.
Structurally DXB will have no trouble coping with 115 frames...but if EK wants to survive and evolve they will do their best to get the fleet back to 60-80 as quickly as leasing allows.
For a supposed insider you seem to know very little. EK's plan never was to operate more than 115 frames at a time. The latest A380 order for Emirates is for 50 aircraft out of which 25 are for replacements which will make 115 as the active fleet. It is of course nothing new here when the A380 is considered that many members will make their own interpretations on what has been said regardless of what actually has been said.
jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty. No airline that counts on their own money to survive would keep both flights let alone one of them.
emiratesdriver wrote:Strato2 wrote:emiratesdriver wrote:This statement is yet another pre-emptive message to smooth the way for the 380 project to end, it will be considered in time as TCs folly he took so many.
Structurally DXB will have no trouble coping with 115 frames...but if EK wants to survive and evolve they will do their best to get the fleet back to 60-80 as quickly as leasing allows.
For a supposed insider you seem to know very little. EK's plan never was to operate more than 115 frames at a time. The latest A380 order for Emirates is for 50 aircraft out of which 25 are for replacements which will make 115 as the active fleet. It is of course nothing new here when the A380 is considered that many members will make their own interpretations on what has been said regardless of what actually has been said.
Strato, the numbers are largely irrelevant, it doesn't take an insider nor a rocket scientist to understand where the mouth music is leading. Appearances in the Middle East can be decidedly deceiving, I've been at EK since the 310 days so for TC to come out and reiterate his position whilst HRH speaks about changes in the fleet makeup is laying the ground work for a significant change in direction and focus, for me that seems a fairly obvious end to the 380 in any form along with a change in business strategy.
For context consider this, EK have prided themselves on innovation and leading the pack, the fact is from a revenue and hard consistent product perspective they are trailing their competitors and losing ground.
TC is oft quoted but rarely does he repeat specific details.
4 x 380s and 5 x 777's resting this week..."awaiting essential maintenance"
Watch this space, from Costa or anywhere else if you choose.
jumbojet wrote:fly a good portion of them at way less than capacity
jumbojet wrote:charge ridiculously low fares
jumbojet wrote:pay your staff competitive wages
dtw2hyd wrote:Now with probably no lessor ready to lease these frames, DAE(may be AWAS) has to run these leases thru their system as a face saving measure.
Unfortunately AWAS is a private equity owned.
Clipper101 wrote:The two additional A380’s Wiki is talking about should be those two A380’s destined for Skymark. I would not be surprised if these should make for the early retirement of oldest two from EK fleet, A6-EDA/B (MSN011 & 013) both delivered 2008
parapente wrote:Please correct me if I am wrong (as I may be) but I thought that BA was the first airline to receive A380's with 'all' the weight taken out and the new wing (revised twist).Possibly also with an engine PIP.
blrsea wrote:jumbojet wrote:Just take a look at DXB-SEA-DXB. Worse than half empty, both flights are like 75% empty. No airline that counts on their own money to survive would keep both flights let alone one of them.
I have taken this flight around 4 times in last 15 months, including middle of the week, and it was almost full both ways. Only once did I see a few seats in the back empty. I dont know how many days data you are looking at now. May is a bit slow month, but after June 10th, the fares go up pretty much across the board from US due to summer vacation of schools. Fares to India used to be pretty high in summer usually.